Message from @Wizord

Discord ID: 567644122043645953


2019-04-16 09:24:11 UTC  

Do you think the benefit was one way?

2019-04-16 09:24:11 UTC  

Boo

2019-04-16 09:24:25 UTC  

Why would a trade ever happen if it didn't benefit both parties?

2019-04-16 09:24:39 UTC  

Here's the way I view it, through a lens of economic efficiency:

2019-04-16 09:25:18 UTC  

the manufacturing jobs that disappear when you cut tarrifs were only able to exist with the protection of the government

2019-04-16 09:25:28 UTC  

If Apple produces iPhones in Asia, we get iPhones more cheaply and they get jobs.

Who won?

2019-04-16 09:25:53 UTC  

they couldn't make their products as quickly and cheaply as some chinese lads

2019-04-16 09:26:19 UTC  

so when we cut the tariffs, we improve global efficiency,

2019-04-16 09:27:03 UTC  

this does raise political problems, since those factory workers get mighty pissed off about it

2019-04-16 09:27:06 UTC  

If efficient means a job going to whoever can do it most cheaply, sure.

2019-04-16 09:27:09 UTC  

and lots of towns die

2019-04-16 09:28:06 UTC  

So realpolitik probably means that they're gonna want some form of compensation for their losses

2019-04-16 09:29:05 UTC  

So we skim a few of the gains generated by efficiency and cheap goods, e.g. with a VAT, and use the funds to invest in the productivity of those areas/industries with job losses

2019-04-16 09:29:31 UTC  

e.g. with job training

2019-04-16 09:30:17 UTC  

then they'll be in a position of having well-paid jobs not because big govt protects them, but because they're actually highly productive

2019-04-16 09:34:00 UTC  

That doesn't sound so bad.

2019-04-16 09:34:20 UTC  

One weakness of many economists I think is that it all works out from a number perspective.

2019-04-16 09:34:22 UTC  

`then they'll be in a position of having well-paid jobs not because big govt protects them, but because they're actually highly productive`
right right, which is why even though our populations are more highly educated than ever before, still our lower and middle classes have stagnated for a generation because there just aren't that many high paying service jobs

2019-04-16 09:34:35 UTC  

genius

2019-04-16 09:34:36 UTC  

But people are not flexible worker drones that can just reallocate themselves to another industry on a whim.

2019-04-16 09:35:05 UTC  

I'm just waiting until AI overlords don't need humans for any tasks

2019-04-16 09:35:10 UTC  

On the balance sheet of the national economy it might look like it all balances out, but not on a local scale, which is where politics comes in.

2019-04-16 09:35:35 UTC  

If we can help people to meet that ideal of economic flexibility, maybe that is a good approach.

2019-04-16 09:37:42 UTC  

This would be one of my loudest criticisms of the neoliberal approach over the past few decades: failing to soften the blows that their policy lands on certain classes & areas

2019-04-16 09:38:17 UTC  

the thing is they're not ultimately doing this for the benefit of the community

2019-04-16 09:38:24 UTC  

they're doing it for the benefit of their rich donors

2019-04-16 09:38:59 UTC  

also related, the incessant need to bring in and endless stream of migrant workers

2019-04-16 09:39:14 UTC  

the politicians have very clear loyalties

2019-04-16 09:39:16 UTC  

I'm not sure if we have a need.

2019-04-16 09:39:17 UTC  

and it is not to the people

2019-04-16 09:39:49 UTC  

I can't really speculate on the motivations, it's pretty specific to the political system

2019-04-16 09:39:57 UTC  

it's not specific

2019-04-16 09:40:01 UTC  

But I take the same hammer to migration

2019-04-16 09:40:09 UTC  

it's general, all western countries are pursuing the same policy

2019-04-16 09:40:45 UTC  

It benefits some chunks of the population, harms others, overall good for global efficiency

2019-04-16 09:41:07 UTC  

It might be if we had a free market.

2019-04-16 09:41:18 UTC  

Therefore, skim some of the benefits (extra taxes on migrants, limited access to welfare) and use them to compensate the natives who lose out

2019-04-16 09:41:21 UTC  

I don't see the efficiency if half of them come for welfare.

2019-04-16 09:41:26 UTC  

^^

2019-04-16 09:42:03 UTC  

In Europe migrants have a welfare use 4x that of the native population.

2019-04-16 09:42:20 UTC  

That extends on average to 5 years after their arrival.