Message from @Wardog
Discord ID: 758035394691596341
this is my map, based off of mid term stuff and modern polling data
im a pessimist keep that in mind
its going to be super close, and as much as i want him to win, i dont see a super easy path forward
Im really not seeing people all the sudden see looting in their city and put two and two together and vote red, i see looting areas voting blue due to the medias twisting of the riots
and blaming it on trump
mn is red because of how close the race is, and its always a pretty blue area and hasnt gone blue in so long, and for trump to have a good chance, i put it red
would like to hear someone rebut my points and point me in a more realistic map in their opinion
Kansas, Missouri, Indiana, and South Carolina are pretty safe for Republicans (Iowa could maybe follow if we see how the results would turn out). Michigan is a state which looks Red for John James in the senate because of his poll numbers right now compared to his governor race polls and this might follow into the presidential polls aswell. Maine's 2nd Congressional seat is all red and has a low chance to change back for Democrats. Nebraska 2nd is either way on lean red/lean blue (Idk about this area but if I had to choose, maybe red 🤷 ) Everything else seems fine but could be different from the actual results on election day.
It's a shame Oregon doesn't have any polls.
Remember, it is usually very difficult to poll the Midwest (Rustbelt area) because most of the people are at work and don't respond to the polls as often.
Nevada in 2020 = Wisconsin in 2016 in my own opinion. Joe Biden might never go to Nevada similar to how Clinton never went to Wisconsin. It's just a parallel guess I'm calling... hopefully this proves true in 2020.
CNN has an article saying Biden is beating Trump like 57% to 41%. They go as far as Biden could win in a blowout. https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/20/politics/poll-of-the-week-joe-biden-blowout-donald-trump-election/index.html
This could be another one of those "The polls were wrong".
Nancy won a blowout
Rasmussen has trump leading and they were right last time
What’s that source? ^
That’s good if it’s true
Rasmussen, which has correctly predicted the popular vote for 2016.
Wait shit you right
They always make up dumb stuff so I just picked a random
lol no worries. it took me a second to realize it wasnt right
Technically they are different, though they do result in the same thing.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/rkLwJ my guess
California and Washington tilt red?
wasn't california only lost by 50-60k votes? I have no idea
California was lost by over 4 million in difference and would never, by any circumstances, go back to Red in the 2020 election.
i think PA might flip
Although a small sample size, it's still pretty surprising to see a large swing state poll favoring Trump.
Same with all the other states Trump has won.
Oh wait I thought they were blue
Yeah I think trump has them in the bag. Im from NJ where everyone is blue so i thought they were too
My prediction
Honestly, just looking at everything, I strongly believe that in a free and fair election, Biden doesn't stand a chance. Unfortunately there is a lot of voter fraud, especially here in California, with people voting twice, illegal immigrants voting, and mail in voting , and votes being collected by third parties.
Did you know that orange county used to be a conservative stronghold, but the year that we started allowing third parties to manage the votes, we've apparently only been electing democrats?
I live in a very democrat city in New York but if I drive outside into the more rural areas there are way more trump signs so I wouldn’t be surprised if ny us close
Tons of Trump flags and American flags in WA state! Voting system and local governments are corrupt though! Everyone on my block is for <:TrumpSmile:720121948088041513> so I just 🙏 our voices are heard!
I hope we can get enough people to win that state. If it's a possibility, vote in person to avoid any mail-in-ballot corruption. Your voices will be heard on November 3rd!