You snooze, you lose. 🤷‍♂️

Florida is getting alot of support for Trump recently. Marist is a left leaning poll but have apparently found ties and the same could be said with Florida Atlantic Univeristy.

We could see Florida up 2 points for Trump on November 3rd.

we went red for Trump in 2016, going to be even more red for 2020. the only city in Florida the dems and left leaning pollsters like to talk about is Miami because of it's high democrat voting hispanics. now, even that is starting to look bad for them and Trump is looking really good even there.

Seems to look pretty good for Trump in a swing state like Florida and it's 29 Electoral Votes similar to how Ohio was looking in the 2016 election. Speaking of Ohio, the first debate between Trump and Biden will happen in Cleveland, Ohio in 10 days (at September, 29) moderated by Fox News' Chris Wallace. This debate will finally show some transparency between both candidates but especially Joe Biden as we have not seen many appearances in other states and for the fact that he refuses to answer many hard-hitting questions from reporters to the CNN town hall.

IF the debates even happen. they rely so heavily on teleprompters, and cut up/spliced pre-recorded videos to make Biden look good.

this is my map, based off of mid term stuff and modern polling data

im a pessimist keep that in mind

its going to be super close, and as much as i want him to win, i dont see a super easy path forward

Im really not seeing people all the sudden see looting in their city and put two and two together and vote red, i see looting areas voting blue due to the medias twisting of the riots

and blaming it on trump

mn is red because of how close the race is, and its always a pretty blue area and hasnt gone blue in so long, and for trump to have a good chance, i put it red

would like to hear someone rebut my points and point me in a more realistic map in their opinion

Kansas, Missouri, Indiana, and South Carolina are pretty safe for Republicans (Iowa could maybe follow if we see how the results would turn out). Michigan is a state which looks Red for John James in the senate because of his poll numbers right now compared to his governor race polls and this might follow into the presidential polls aswell. Maine's 2nd Congressional seat is all red and has a low chance to change back for Democrats. Nebraska 2nd is either way on lean red/lean blue (Idk about this area but if I had to choose, maybe red 🤷 ) Everything else seems fine but could be different from the actual results on election day.

It's a shame Oregon doesn't have any polls.

Remember, it is usually very difficult to poll the Midwest (Rustbelt area) because most of the people are at work and don't respond to the polls as often.

Nevada in 2020 = Wisconsin in 2016 in my own opinion. Joe Biden might never go to Nevada similar to how Clinton never went to Wisconsin. It's just a parallel guess I'm calling... hopefully this proves true in 2020.

CNN has an article saying Biden is beating Trump like 57% to 41%. They go as far as Biden could win in a blowout. https://www.cnn.com/2020/09/20/politics/poll-of-the-week-joe-biden-blowout-donald-trump-election/index.html

This could be another one of those "The polls were wrong".

Nancy won a blowout

Rasmussen has trump leading and they were right last time

What’s that source? ^

That’s good if it’s true

Rasmussen, which has correctly predicted the popular vote for 2016.

@Kingsum I think the word you were looking for in the poll was "Democratic Socialism" right?

Wait shit you right

They always make up dumb stuff so I just picked a random

lol no worries. it took me a second to realize it wasnt right

Technically they are different, though they do result in the same thing.

https://www.270towin.com/maps/rkLwJ my guess

California and Washington tilt red?

wasn't california only lost by 50-60k votes? I have no idea

California was lost by over 4 million in difference and would never, by any circumstances, go back to Red in the 2020 election.

i think PA might flip

Although a small sample size, it's still pretty surprising to see a large swing state poll favoring Trump.

@Dumpet I honestly think Pennsylvania will stay Red for 2020.

Same with all the other states Trump has won.

Oh wait I thought they were blue

Yeah I think trump has them in the bag. Im from NJ where everyone is blue so i thought they were too