Message from @Earl of Morrrrgantown
Discord ID: 488729855307939841
It was a major victory for the VC i remember that much
however there were also mass executions or something like that
QOTD: With only 57 days until the midterm elections(may god have mercy on you if haven't registered yet, for I will have none), how many Senate Seats and How many House Seats should we expect to have in the 116th Congress, with a worst case scenario, your predicted scenario and the best case scenario? <@&479643036951904267>
Use this website to visualize your predictions
For the Senate, this is my worst case scenario:
This is my predicted scenario: http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/lV19A8
This is the best case scenario: http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/8rkrjl
<@&479643036951904267> You don't need to use a house map if you don't want to, just give a number. (Currently, we have 237 House seats, there are 5 vacancies and the Dems have 193 House Seats)
I like the one where there's a libertarian state
it'll go to 215/220 probably
I think the GOP will have 231 and the dems 207
Once the 2020 comes, I think the GOP will will gain at least 5-10 seats. They could have 15 or more if the Democrats have a weak candidate
there's no way the gop only loses 6 seats
it'll be at least like 20
@21tagtmeiern The GOP could lose the house but I think they have a chance of keeping it. The blue wave narrative is intended to discourage the right from voting
they definitely have a chance
especially cause the democratic party is poorly managed
@21tagtmeiern I'm in a discord server which is dedicated to a red storm in 2018. We analyze primaries, every poll that comes out, past election cycles and demographic data
best case scenario is 243/192
worst case is 212/213
QOTD: How many Americans are left with at least 75% ancestry from one region, in your opinion?(ex-75% British, 75% French, 75% Italian, etc)
Also, how many founding stock Americans are left in your opinion?
<@&479643036951904267>
Oof
10 percent or less I would say
If we are talking about direct British ancestory
Too few
tfw southern and eastern euros replaced all the anglos
Mfw the Eternal Saxon
Anglo pride America wide
10%
That is impossible to know
hmmm, if we take whites only and make them out to be the say "core" of this thought experiment then I'd say -> some 60% possibly more but its unlikely. I dont think inter ethnic mixing has gone that deep, generally speaking if you put one colony in one territory and they are ethnicy X do the same somewher eelse, they will only ix at the boarder and mixing shouldnt reach deep into th eheart of the territory. As such we get some 10% OF each group X & Y mixing producing XY along the boarder.
However for the US? I cant be certain but it would be really interesting and enlightening to see how this plays out.
(If we inclde all races then id say as low as 30% if not less)
@Earl of Morrrrgantown do qotd correctly next time
a) this is a shit question
b) probably less than 0.01% since i don’t live in america
Yes
@qotd how t f did we miss that
wat