Message from @Deleted User
Discord ID: 472112934798098433
I mean I can't be objective
what do you think the people in the middle (moderates, independents, 'normies') thought ?
Hm. Stewart definitely came off as strong and aggressive in a positive fashion. The type of temperament which isn't aggressive enough to alienate doves but sufficient to attract hawks.
I believe his debate approach will likely allure independents, less so moderates.
Freitas is a good guy
Respect
very honorable
He's earned the right to continued support now.
Whenever he runs again
(though not if he isn't the best candidate, of course)
Mark Warner is up for reelection in 2020
and Northam is up for reelection in 2021
@Deleted User Virginia has one-term limits on its Governorship.
So Northam actually isn't.
wow I think I remember reading about that, but I forgot
if Trump manages to win Virginia in 2020, maybe Freitas can ride his coattails
Maybe
Could be hard to swing that state back, but it's possible if Trump can get a lot accomplished
yeah, some states are more elastic than others
however, the white vote in Iowa is very elastic. That's why Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016 won it at a decent margin
notably, Florida isn't very elastic. It swung slightly to the left for Obama, just barely enough for him to win
VA's always a close loss for us
and same for Trump, except to the right
Oh yeah FL is always close
The year the Rs nearly lost Montana, Obama only won the state by 3 points
one thing you'll notice when you compare Romney's results in VA to Trump's results is that Trump did better in western Virginia and rural portions of the state, but Romney did better in NoVa and most other suburban areas
which lead to Romney doing a bit better than Trump in terms of raw vote - Romney got 1.822 million and Trump got 1.769 million
if Trump can win back those Romney - Hillary voters
while generating even higher turnout in the rural areas he won
I think Stewart can do well in spots like Prince William County
that's the key
Candidates lost that county a lot, but Stewart did a great job serving them
Now that I look back at that debate, if I had to decide who "won" if I'm looking through a normie perspective, Stewart did if only because of the Rubio-tier shit Kaine tried to pull
Like what?
"make it nasty, make it personal, make it up"
Plus, if Trump wins this trade war and everyone lowers all their tariffs, all those "farmers that are suffering because of these tariffs" that Kaine was talking about won't be voting for the dems.
And Trump *will* win the trade war, it's a matter of how long it'll take.
one thing to note is that Trump withdrew all resources out of Virginia some time before the election in order to focus on the Rust Belt
maybe he would have done quite a bit better in Virginia if he hadn't