Message from @zakattack04
Discord ID: 484214135060430852
RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:
Florida: Tossup to Lean Republican
@Pielover19 How do you justify the GOP lean on OH?
This is governors race.
Oh, I know.
Cordray is ahead of DeWine in polling though.
No polls since June.
And it's not like these polls have been accurate so far.
I see.
It seems the trump train is steaming ahead
Keyword seems
I'd say tilt personally.
We honestly don't have much data from this race. Especially data since he called DeWine a Nazi.
Lots of events in this race with no new polling!
@Pielover19 Michigan should be tilt democrat.
Pretty sure like every poll has the democrat ahead.
>called DeWine a Nazi
Updating
Your Michigan is a meme
IL on point though.
Michigan is Tilt Democrat.
Well, the RCP avg. is 8.2+ with the most GOP favourable poll being +5 for the Democrat.
I'd say it's a Democrat lean/likely.
@Pielover19 then why is it tilt republican on his graph was my point
Seems like wishful thinking
@zakattack04 A big part of why is that Snyder, one of America's least popular Governors, was defeated in the primary--word hasn't spread that his faction of the MIGOP was defeated yet.
So why is it tilt red
Because we don't have incumbent advantage anymore
because the Senate race is increasingly looking good for Republicans, and voters in the area are tending to prefer Republican governors over Democrats governors, at least at the state level
If you say so
I think you're going to realize it's not that good but we'll see
Im in class so I gotta brb
Statistically speaking, the presence ofJohn James on the ballot should actually impact the black vote substantially.
especially considering Trump's relatively high approval ratings among blacks
I might have to off myself if Stacey (Goblin Queen) Abrams ends up being my governor
I'm a kemp voter, got to go to the Pence Kemp rally and see the Lighting Man in person