Message from @Pielover19

Discord ID: 453254757595742209


2018-05-25 20:46:39 UTC  

Renacci can't beat Brown

2018-05-25 22:16:47 UTC  

And why?

2018-05-26 06:39:55 UTC  

>Cruz vs. Rourke leaning GOP

2018-05-26 06:39:57 UTC  

good joke

2018-05-26 06:40:26 UTC  

it's safe, mate.

2018-05-26 06:40:28 UTC  

trust me.

2018-05-26 06:42:16 UTC  

I'll eat my shoes if Cruz loses.

2018-05-26 06:49:56 UTC  

@[Lex] I hope you have tasty shoes

2018-05-30 17:46:13 UTC  

@Pielover19 where's the updated senate map

2018-06-02 02:10:32 UTC  

You know, I'm not sure if I should put Ohio in the Lean Blue category.

2018-06-02 02:10:57 UTC  

I think I'll wait for more polling to see if Brown continues to lead by such a margin.

2018-06-02 02:12:08 UTC  

If another poll shows such a lead, I'll put it in Lean Blue.

2018-06-02 04:22:41 UTC  

cuck

2018-06-02 04:25:55 UTC  

lean?

2018-06-02 04:25:59 UTC  

It should be likely @Pielover19

2018-06-02 04:28:02 UTC  

sad!

2018-06-02 04:28:56 UTC  

Ohio only has an R+3 on the PVI and Sherrod Brown has been in the Senate for a DECADE

2018-06-02 04:29:13 UTC  
2018-06-04 17:50:38 UTC  

@Pielover19 TICK TOCK

2018-06-04 17:51:51 UTC  

Sorry, I'm making it now.

2018-06-04 17:52:35 UTC  

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGE:
Ohio: Tossup - Lean Democrat

2018-06-04 17:53:05 UTC  

*6 months later*

2018-06-04 17:53:12 UTC  

After two polls showed a strong trend in Brown's favor, I decided to move it to Lean Democrat.

2018-06-04 17:53:22 UTC  

Those polls could be biased though

2018-06-04 17:53:34 UTC  

They were from reputable sources.

2018-06-04 17:53:56 UTC  

Still, any sort of big Trump accomplishment could push any of these Lean Blue seats into Tossup territory.

2018-06-04 17:54:10 UTC  

Which sources were they?

2018-06-04 17:56:02 UTC  

Fallon Research and the 1984 Society.

2018-06-04 17:56:09 UTC  

All decent sources.

2018-06-04 17:56:21 UTC  

This was on the edge of Lean Blue, anyway.

2018-06-04 17:56:30 UTC  

What’s the margin of error?

2018-06-04 17:56:51 UTC  

Brown was in the lead by around 14 in both polls.

2018-06-04 17:56:56 UTC  

No margin of error could change that.

2018-06-04 17:57:09 UTC  

If the elections were held today, here's what I think they would look like:

2018-06-04 17:58:10 UTC  

Republicans pick up North Dakota, Florida, West Virginia, Indiana, and Missouri, but lose Nevada and Arizona, for a net gain of three.

2018-06-04 17:58:45 UTC  

That sounds biased though

2018-06-04 17:59:03 UTC  

The guy only won by 1% in the last election

2018-06-04 18:03:48 UTC  

Ohio should be likely

2018-06-04 18:03:48 UTC  

Mandel was a much better candidate, though.