if Trump is in a good spot I think Gardner can pull it off

unless Trump does extraordinarily well, I don't see us getting it again

the Democrats know that it'll be vulnerable though

not out of the realm of possibility

well, Trump never bothered targeting Colorado in 2016 I think

Alabama is also coming up, Doug Jones is getting shlonged

what's even less safe than Colorado for the GOP is Doug Jones' seat in AL for the Democrats

yep

hopefully we can pick up better steam in Michigan and New Hampshire for the Senate

Colorado folks really aren't very fond of Mr. Trump. from what I've heard from locals.

ok, so the battleground races are

Colorado, Alabama, Michigan, New Hampshire, Maine, maybe Virginia

yeah, include Virginia

They seem to be quite character-sensitive voters.

really?

well, lots of stoners there

I mean, maybe lots of the Libertarian 2016 voters might come to Trump in 2020

Colorado is a lost cause in my opinion due to marijuana migration and Hispanic demographic change.

As well as urbanisation in the state.

ok, so the best case scenario in 2020 for us IMO is

We keep Colorado and Maine
we take Alabama, Virginia, New Hampshire, and Michigan

But definitely worth targeting for the gubernatorial/house races in future elections.

Alabama should be a relatively easy take from Mr. Jones.

Trump only lost Colorado by 5 though, but it didn't shift much at all from 2012

Perhaps it can be won then but Trump will have to clean up.

so if we manage to get up to 56 Senate seats this year, optimistically speaking

and if 2020 also works out really well, that's another shot at getting up to 60 Senate seats

I believe Trump has improved his image since 2016 so he likely has a better chance.

suburban voters might come home to Trump in 2020

so Colorado can be winnable

hispanics and stoners though are another thing

maybe the stoners can just stick with the lolbertarian instead of voting for the D

If he wins more of the suburban female (suburban males significantly voted for Donald) he should win it.

So he'll have to pivot hard for that vote.

He'd have to go hard on the law and order message

Or have an opponent who's too radical for the national stage

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-nvsen-2.html Nevada back up @Julien Blanc @FLanon

Ted currently up by 10 over Beta

great news

Et tu, Beta?

I was looking at the 2020 map recently, funny that you bring it up. I think Alabama is an instant-win. Colorado and Maine are the most vulnerable. Iowa and North Carolina are competitive, but have a republican advantage. Potential pickups in New Hampshire, Michigan, and Virginia. The presidential election alone should prevent any double digit deficits like the ones that /our candidates/ are running now. Any pickups beyond AL are pretty difficult, assuming we don't get well-known well-funded candidates. Warner is well known, and the NH Senator survived Scott Brown in 2014. If I recall correctly, that was the only swing state dems won. The good news about this map is that if we win around 54 seats then it'll be next to impossible for the dems to take the senate that year, and republicans will also be reclaiming a lot of 2018 house losses. The first half of Trump's second term will be very active!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5H2_MsWTI7s

Bredesen vs Blackburn debate

@Amsel yeah, Democrats will be gunning for Colorado, Maine, Iowa, and North Carolina

if Trump is in a really bad position, they have a good shot at all of them