Message from @FLanon

Discord ID: 427872705233158156


2018-03-26 16:47:30 UTC  

they'd be massacred

2018-03-26 16:47:40 UTC  

we'd even see Republicans get net gains

2018-03-26 16:47:43 UTC  

however,

2018-03-26 16:47:51 UTC  

this isn't a normal environment

2018-03-26 16:48:07 UTC  

Trump _OPENLY_ pushes for gun control

2018-03-26 16:48:41 UTC  

Republicans aren't as active on gun rights as Democrats are on gun control

2018-03-26 16:48:54 UTC  

When the leader of the GOP is not for gun rights,

2018-03-26 16:49:10 UTC  

and the GOP Congress doesn't stand up for gun rights,

2018-03-26 16:49:40 UTC  

the normal swing of gun owners voting Republican doesn't occur

2018-03-26 16:51:01 UTC  

so again, Trump needs to stop trying to appeal to Democrats and Republicans need to speak up

2018-03-26 16:51:05 UTC  

But,

2018-03-26 16:51:22 UTC  

it's possible neither gun policy or healthcare dominate the midterms,

2018-03-26 16:51:35 UTC  

in every election cycle,

2018-03-26 16:51:49 UTC  

midterm elections have always been a wave against the party in power,

2018-03-26 16:52:01 UTC  

except under two circumstances

2018-03-26 16:52:10 UTC  

Bill Clinton's second midterms

2018-03-26 16:52:23 UTC  

and George Bush's first midterms

2018-03-26 16:52:41 UTC  

there were extraordinary circumstances surrounding these events,

2018-03-26 16:52:48 UTC  

9/11

2018-03-26 16:52:55 UTC  

and Clinton's impeachment

2018-03-26 16:53:22 UTC  

Woah hold on a moment

2018-03-26 16:53:29 UTC  

9/11 saw Americans put their political differences aside and rally under Bush

2018-03-26 16:53:41 UTC  

it's how Bush won in 2004 despite everything else

2018-03-26 16:54:03 UTC  

December of 1998 was the impeachment, wasn't it?

2018-03-26 16:54:18 UTC  

Clinton's impeachment caused Democrats to not lose seats because he was actually popular

2018-03-26 16:54:35 UTC  

@FLanon and?

2018-03-26 16:55:12 UTC  

Wasn't that after the midterms?

2018-03-26 16:56:01 UTC  

I wouldn't really know the dynamics since I wasn't really around

2018-03-26 16:56:02 UTC  

Republicans were building it up

2018-03-26 16:56:26 UTC  

Republicans had been talking about impeaching Clinton since the second the Lewinsky scandal dropped

2018-03-26 16:58:22 UTC  

Anyways, I get it, we need something extraordinary to have net gains

2018-03-26 16:58:58 UTC  

As much as I hate to say it,

2018-03-26 16:59:10 UTC  

Immigration is not an important issue among ALL voters,

2018-03-26 16:59:15 UTC  

but it is among Republicans,

2018-03-26 16:59:28 UTC  

if Trump wants to maximize his base's turnout

2018-03-26 16:59:36 UTC  

he MUST implement the immigration agenda

2018-03-26 16:59:49 UTC  

he can forget about Independents,

2018-03-26 16:59:53 UTC  

Democrats,

2018-03-26 16:59:58 UTC  

it won't matter.

2018-03-26 17:00:05 UTC  

I feel that Republicans, especially Trump's base would be especially motivated by a justice move

2018-03-26 17:00:08 UTC  

Trump's base is 35% of the population