Message from @Marini

Discord ID: 427943538181931018


2018-03-26 21:30:59 UTC  

It's not all trumps fault

2018-03-26 21:31:18 UTC  

obviously Trump will never be higher than 50% approval

2018-03-26 21:31:40 UTC  

and he doesn't need to be

2018-03-26 21:31:43 UTC  

but

2018-03-26 21:31:58 UTC  

>believes approval rating polls

2018-03-26 21:31:59 UTC  

these polls show something crucial,

2018-03-26 21:32:19 UTC  

when you divide the approval and disapproval

2018-03-26 21:32:50 UTC  

Yeah the polls are screwed with, they use only select demographics, some republicans are too scared to poll

2018-03-26 21:32:52 UTC  

Trump's "somewhat approve" group is larger than the "strongly approval group"

2018-03-26 21:33:20 UTC  

while his "strongly disapprove" group is large than his "somewhat disapprove" group

2018-03-26 21:33:33 UTC  

that means there are more Democrats energized to vote for him

2018-03-26 21:33:37 UTC  

If they somewhat approve more than dems we're good

2018-03-26 21:33:38 UTC  

*against him

2018-03-26 21:33:52 UTC  

Because the polls are bad

2018-03-26 21:33:57 UTC  

rather than those who are energized to vote for him

2018-03-26 21:34:01 UTC  

how do you know?

2018-03-26 21:34:07 UTC  

And dems think they're on the right side of history

2018-03-26 21:34:17 UTC  

pick one:

2018-03-26 21:34:24 UTC  

the polls oversample Democrats

2018-03-26 21:34:36 UTC  

or Democrats are brainless lackeys

2018-03-26 21:34:50 UTC  

The polls oversample brainless democrats

2018-03-26 21:35:00 UTC  

um

2018-03-26 21:35:03 UTC  

okay then,

2018-03-26 21:35:12 UTC  

tell me something

2018-03-26 21:35:25 UTC  

what do you think is the composition of the American public,

2018-03-26 21:35:36 UTC  

divided between Republicans, Independents and Democrats?

2018-03-26 21:35:57 UTC  

Slightly

2018-03-26 21:36:04 UTC  

Huh?

2018-03-26 21:36:21 UTC  

I'm confusing myself and taking this to an indefensible point

2018-03-26 21:36:22 UTC  

Welp

2018-03-26 21:36:47 UTC  

You're saying that polls oversample Democrats, right?

2018-03-26 21:36:52 UTC  

Yes

2018-03-26 21:37:03 UTC  

Well what would be a appropriate percentage of Democrats for a poll?

2018-03-26 21:37:15 UTC  

I don't know

2018-03-26 21:37:40 UTC  

obviously the percentage of Americans who identify as Democrat, right?

2018-03-26 21:37:43 UTC  

Probably they just sample a area populated with more dems then reps

2018-03-26 21:38:00 UTC  

that's not how a poll works

2018-03-26 21:38:13 UTC  

they don't survey in one place

2018-03-26 21:38:28 UTC  

most polling firms do random digit dialing

2018-03-26 21:38:38 UTC  

Then survey multiple pro dem places

2018-03-26 21:38:47 UTC  

*sigh*