if Trump can revitalize his momentum in rural Minnesota,

I think we can barely keep the House majority

Even if you say 'oversample' or whatever, the election results have reflected the numbers since 2017.

I'm also praying on the primary jungle effect in CA-45 and CA-39

Any new polling from those districts btw?

I remember the last one had 2 Rs on top in I think 39

I can't access the firm

what's up

@FLanon try this link

https://morningconsultintelligence.com/

does it work for you?

Yeah

???

screencap?

Wait, are you on mobile

no

huh

well, there was a glitch when I was on mobile a few days ago where it didn't load

Anyways, here's the pic

what's that?

polling firm

Ah

got it up and running again, okay

@FLanon yikes

This is Trump's approval index in CA districts he lost in 2016:

CA-10: -27 (26-53)
CA-21: -31 (28-59)
CA-25: -20 (36-56)
CA-39: -14 (39-53)
CA-45: -7 (42-51)
CA-48: +3 (49-46)
CA-49: -11 (42-53)

yeah, got it, I want to know how the GOP candidates are polling

got it

@FLanon
CA-10: +8 R (35-27)
CA-21: +8 R (35-27)
CA-25: +6 R (37-31)
CA-39: Open
CA-45: +10 R (40-30)
CA-48: +8 R (42-34)
CA-49: Open

Huh

But you notice something?

Yeah, it's never above 50

Trump's disapproval is stronger than each of the rep's approval

that means that a lot of voters will vote against Trump,

rather than vote _for_ their representative

this proves the theory,

What districts have 2 Rs polling the highest?

in the country?

In CA districts where they have the rule

um