This is how the district swung from 2012 to 2016

It's not Trump country

It's still Republican country in theory

I'm predicting that if Democrats manage to flip it, it'll look like this

Yeah

High hispanic turnout will be key to winning this

for the dems

A dem victory here will also be a bad omen for Governors and senate races.

2 out 10 people in this district are Hispanic, very likely it's the same for the electorate

Also Kyrsten Sinema has outraised Martha McSally

6.3 million (Sinema) vs 4.2 million (McSally)

Do you know where you can look up the fundraising reports?

https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary?cycle=2018&id=AZS2

Thank you

Opensecrets is very good for congress elections

Every competitive senate race except nevada and new jersey have us outraised

New Jersey because Bob Hugin dumped $7.5 million of his own money into the race

http://img.4plebs.org/boards/pol/image/1524/33/1524335053504.png

Republicans can say all they want

We've been outraised by $200,000

so can Democrats

it's April

And the Democrats are having strong performances everywhere.

not November

that doesn't mean they will continue to do so

they lost in multiple races too

In literally every race the Democrats have strongly outperformed

so?

In Georgia 6th they had a 20 point swing

and they lost

Apply that nation wide and we're truely fucked

You have no idea

I do

special elections != midterms

it's April

not November

they show trends

trends can change

and they show the energy democrats are putting in

I think we can

and you think we can't put in energy as well?