Hold up

Button saying we'll keep senate?

Duh

It's the House we might lose

*might

Well that's oddly optimistic for you

AZ might go blue tho

Considering it's one step away from turning into Mexico

Not for the senate it wont

I actually see us gaining seats imo

There hasn't been a single poll thus far that suggests Rs will hold AZ

things can change

For the senate? Wrong

okay, show me one

no Generic ballot polls

McSally vs Sinema polls

or Ward vs Sinema

Literally this

I mean cmon

Primary

That isn't GE

Well either way outlook is still good for Republicans, nvm

My mistake

>These strong ratings for midwestern Democrats and Sinema

Well Button isn’t wrong, at least according to polls

I don't think Sinema is likely Dem, even if AZ does lean towards her.

It’s pretty heavily in her favor, but I can change it to lean

Also, according to some polls, NJ is already leaning Democrat.

I still don't necessarily disagree with the likely D rating, however, given the Tiger Inn "scandal" affecting Hugin.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Jersey,_2018#Polling_3

The only two polls since May show Hugin in second by only 2-4 points.

I still stand by this

fair and plausible

Agreed.

My personal (poll-based) prediction at the moment is like this.

http://www.thecrosstab.com/2018-midterms-forecast/

Not a good outlook in the House, however