Message from @Red Storm (in NYC)
Discord ID: 408402688548798464
lot of productive discussion going on in the general thankfully
Indeed
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Those are good stats for the House with positive R margins, but what about the Senate
also beyond a certain point, Republican majorities in the House won't mean much
a majority is still a majority
I'm not sure if generic ballot is the way to go when it comes to the senate, individual races are much more important
not much of a real difference between 260 Republicans and 300 Republicans in the House
At R+12.9, Republicans could get 59 seats
60 is literally impossible now because of Alabama
not sure too much about that
I think if we look at the races state by state, there's a chance if the cards are played right that 60+ could be possible
If MN goes the right way, we could see some good potential come out of that
I'm not too blackpilled on the Senate
if we manage to win both seats in Minnesota, we'd probably win in a whole bunch of other states too, and IIRC that would easily take us over 60 in the senate
I wonder how closely Doug Jones will vote with Trump. He's at 100% so far...imagine how butthurt the left would be if Doug Jones votes with Trump more than the average Republican senator
If we win all the safe red states
and Missouri, Pennsylvania, Montana, North Dakota, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, Florida, West Virginia, Virginia, Wisconsin, Michigan and the two seats in Minnesota...
That's a total of 64 GOP senate seats
64 I'll call our best case scenario
64 is definitely good enough
more than good enough
We don't even need much more than 60
Hell, high 50s would be decent
I think 55 at least will get whatever agenda Trump wants passed done.
Assuming we don't win all the former blue rust belt states, and both West Virginia and Virginia... That still places us at 57
did you take Nevada out of the equation
no, that's assuming we win Nevada
if we don't win in Nevada, it's 56
this is the scenario if we add the rust belt states, West Virginia, and Virginia on top of that
I think we can reach 300 posts if we keep the discussion going at this rate
Hypothetically...what do you guys think the 2020 Presidential results would be if John Kerry was the Democratic nominee?
I honestly think Trump has a good chance of winning all 50 states in that scenario
no one can win all 50 states no matter what
states are too partisan
Reagan almost won all of them in 1984
since 1992, states have been becoming less and less comptetive
yeah, but no state is truly 100% solid
it would be take disastrous scandals to flip MA and VT