it's a 5-point shift,

so not _that_ bad, but still

a loss

So was it a swing seat pretty much?

Trump won here with 52% of the vote

sort of

That's swing

rip my optimism

Yeah, state legislature situation's not as good as we need it to be, we're still in the "high and dry" mode down there

my blackpilled-self has returned 💊

Besides, +5 is nowhere close the old shit we got, +20, one of them was +50 right?

there's still elections in OK and GA

so let's see

The national GOP is not paying attention at the local level, that's the thing.

The thing is that the GOP is not in full activist/campaigning mode yet, the left is

We've just got to have to make things right at a national level, and then when state legislatures come up, then you'll see straight down the ticket voting

There's two groups paying attention to these elections, us in this discord, and leftists

i've been doing this wrong,

i should be analyzing the local elections by using a line chart to show the swing,

not averaging all elections together

Makes sense, it creates a trend

right

local elections don't predict federal elections,

but,

they do represent trend

They do predict whether one side is getting more popular or gaining traction

right

Now, if I were in control of some huge network of GOP voters and I could organize people to rush to X district when an election is coming, then we'd be able to do something about it

As it happens, that's not our reality, so we've got to take it as it comes and focus on the bigger picture

We still should have the data on state elections though

sadly we don't seem to have right wing online organization like what you see on r*ddit

Yeah, unfortunately we can't send people to knock doors or poster campaign to every election area coming up

/r/BlueMidterm2018 has enough subscribers to the point where for each special election for state legislatures, there's at least one user saying "I live in this district and blahblahblah"

https://www.reddit.com/r/BlueMidterm2018/comments/7xe2wa/breaking_margaret_good_has_won_florida_hd72/

Hopefully someday we get that kind of traction and are able to maintain it, but as it stands we can't get knocked off our feet by this kind of stuff

for years, the left has been much more active online than the right

Today I feel like we've got some good info, the idea that Trump is at positive favorability here is amazing, Scott gaining ground and Nelson losing it

@Red Storm (in NYC) yeah and they've capitalized by monopolizing it ideologically

that has been changing with the rise of the 'alt-right' and Gen Z and people getting disenfranchised with the left

but it's still the case that the right mostly consists of people who get their news from Fox and talk radio

Wherever the wind blows, I'll go, but as for right now, let's keep the focus on the national elections, and updating the maga db some more.