Message from @DrYuriMom

Discord ID: 513765127191789578


2018-11-18 17:11:26 UTC  

As long as oil is a thing, money will flow to the Gulf...unless we can get the whole world to embargo them and actually respect the embargo

2018-11-18 17:12:01 UTC  

I can't imagine China paying us more for oil when they can get it cheaper from Kuwait and Qutar

2018-11-18 17:12:06 UTC  

We could bar the US oil services industry from operating in the Middle East. That would have them riding camels again really quick.

2018-11-18 17:12:32 UTC  

You're so confident that China and Europe and Russian experts wouldn;t fill the gap?

2018-11-18 17:12:38 UTC  

If the Saudi-Iranian conflict goes hot in the gulf, American oil will be pretty damned cheap in comparison.

2018-11-18 17:12:42 UTC  

Their oil is the easiest to get out of the ground

2018-11-18 17:13:00 UTC  

I'm confident that it would be an economic shock to the Middle East.

2018-11-18 17:13:18 UTC  

Possibly, but not for very long

2018-11-18 17:13:31 UTC  

And it would just continue to make the US irrelevant

2018-11-18 17:13:44 UTC  

Which is already slowly happening

2018-11-18 17:14:05 UTC  

Yeah, who knows how high the market's geopolitical risk premium on Middle Eastern oil can go.

2018-11-18 17:14:23 UTC  

Just witness how alternate currency transfer systems are being developed to get around the Dollar embargo in Iran

2018-11-18 17:14:46 UTC  

What did you expect to happen?

2018-11-18 17:15:01 UTC  

Exactly what is happening

2018-11-18 17:16:27 UTC  

The point of a US embargo is to cut the embargo target out of the US market, which it did.

2018-11-18 17:16:56 UTC  

I predicted the current middle east situation on 9/11/2001. I was stranded in Norfolk, VA a stone's throw from the biggest naval base in the world and outlined what I wanted to see (ME back to camel herding) and what i expected to happen (invasion of Iraq leading to civil war and an increase in world terror)

2018-11-18 17:17:46 UTC  

Iran won the US-Iraq War

2018-11-18 17:18:01 UTC  

All Americans go ahead and pat yourselves on the back

2018-11-18 17:18:30 UTC  

And terror won

2018-11-18 17:18:48 UTC  

I think everybody expects destabilization of any Middle Eastern dictatorship to unleash more global terrorism.

2018-11-18 17:19:11 UTC  

Assad and Saddam were actually good for us. Morality aside, realpolitik can be mighty handy.

2018-11-18 17:19:22 UTC  

Ghaddafi too once we tamed him

2018-11-18 17:19:51 UTC  

Everything Obama did in the Middle East defied realpolitik favorable to the US.

2018-11-18 17:20:08 UTC  

He only took over the mess that Bush II created

2018-11-18 17:20:16 UTC  

He made it 100x worse!

2018-11-18 17:20:16 UTC  

I can't think of a single good thing Obama did with respect to foreign policy.

2018-11-18 17:20:54 UTC  

He did exactly what he was elected to do. An election win that was the biggest since the Reagan era.

2018-11-18 17:21:05 UTC  

The Libya intervention was one of the worst blunders in grand strategic terms in the past century.

2018-11-18 17:21:07 UTC  

The American public in 2008 wanted OUT

2018-11-18 17:21:18 UTC  

The Libya intervention was done with lukewarm US support

2018-11-18 17:21:33 UTC  

I don't disagree that it was unwise

2018-11-18 17:21:50 UTC  

Obama's foreign policy was so consistently bad for us that it could only have been done with treasonous intent.

2018-11-18 17:21:57 UTC  

It's the European equivalent to Iraq for the US

2018-11-18 17:22:07 UTC  

Oh, pshaw

2018-11-18 17:22:13 UTC  

Without US military support it would not have been possible for France to do anything substantive in Libya. We only got involved at Hillary's incessant urging. She wanted to shore up her credentials for her presidential run.

2018-11-18 17:22:15 UTC  

I could say the exact same thing about Trump

2018-11-18 17:22:32 UTC  

Obama's Iraq (Syria) was a lot worse than W's Iraq.

2018-11-18 17:23:21 UTC  

But the American electorate wanted out. If there was support in 2008 to keep large quantities of troops in Iraq then McCain would have won

2018-11-18 17:23:45 UTC  

So basically Hillary thought she'd increase her Presidential cred by unleashing the migrant crisis on Europe.

2018-11-18 17:23:47 UTC  

Don't blame Iraq on Obama. It was Bush II that went in with no reason other than a family grudge.

2018-11-18 17:24:01 UTC  

Europe made Libya happen