midterms-discussions

Discord ID: 399676530394923010


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2018-03-26 21:35:57 UTC

Slightly

2018-03-26 21:36:04 UTC

Huh?

2018-03-26 21:36:21 UTC

I'm confusing myself and taking this to an indefensible point

2018-03-26 21:36:22 UTC

Welp

2018-03-26 21:36:47 UTC

You're saying that polls oversample Democrats, right?

2018-03-26 21:36:52 UTC

Yes

2018-03-26 21:37:03 UTC

Well what would be a appropriate percentage of Democrats for a poll?

2018-03-26 21:37:15 UTC

I don't know

2018-03-26 21:37:40 UTC

obviously the percentage of Americans who identify as Democrat, right?

2018-03-26 21:37:43 UTC

Probably they just sample a area populated with more dems then reps

2018-03-26 21:38:00 UTC

that's not how a poll works

2018-03-26 21:38:13 UTC

they don't survey in one place

2018-03-26 21:38:28 UTC

most polling firms do random digit dialing

2018-03-26 21:38:38 UTC

Then survey multiple pro dem places

2018-03-26 21:38:47 UTC

*sigh*

2018-03-26 21:38:58 UTC

they do random phone numbers all across the country

2018-03-26 21:39:03 UTC

Posted that before I read your second post sorry

2018-03-26 21:39:11 UTC

"random"

2018-03-26 21:39:20 UTC

yes, it's random

2018-03-26 21:39:29 UTC

I've got to eat dinner, I'm out

2018-03-26 21:39:41 UTC

Not sure how much longer I can defend my point anyway

2018-03-26 21:40:13 UTC

""""random""""'''

2018-03-26 21:40:47 UTC

why would polling firms fake polls?

2018-03-26 21:40:52 UTC

they're private business

2018-03-26 21:41:22 UTC

they wouldn't make money if they couldn't accurately portray American public opinion

2018-03-26 21:41:36 UTC

nobody would pay them to make polls, in that case

2018-03-26 21:42:10 UTC

>private

2018-03-26 21:43:04 UTC

>private companies can't have an agenda, or the people paying for the polls don't have an agenda either

2018-03-26 21:43:27 UTC

The only "polling" agency I would consider trusting is Pew Research

2018-03-26 21:43:31 UTC

They're usually pretty good.

2018-03-26 21:43:59 UTC

Yeah, Trump's approval according to Pew is 37%

2018-03-26 21:44:33 UTC

Approval ratings have always been crap, Reagan's were terrible and then he swept the country.

2018-03-26 21:45:08 UTC

^

2018-03-26 21:45:20 UTC

Reagan won because America was Whiter in the 1980s

2018-03-26 21:45:27 UTC

.....

2018-03-26 21:45:34 UTC

that's not the point

2018-03-26 21:45:36 UTC

lmfao

2018-03-26 21:45:49 UTC

Seriously what the fuck

2018-03-26 21:45:51 UTC

we aren't talking about demographcis

2018-03-26 21:45:53 UTC

That wasn't even a dodge

2018-03-26 21:46:02 UTC

That was just mental gymnastics

2018-03-26 21:46:04 UTC

remember something

2018-03-26 21:46:13 UTC

My point of approval ratings are totally bullshit and always have been

2018-03-26 21:46:17 UTC

Reagan's approval was 49% at the end of his first year

2018-03-26 21:46:21 UTC

Trump was 35%

2018-03-26 21:46:25 UTC

........

2018-03-26 21:46:27 UTC

And there's historical evidence to prove that

2018-03-26 21:46:37 UTC

omfg are you reading his post

2018-03-26 21:46:39 UTC

lmfao

2018-03-26 21:46:45 UTC

His was 49% and he carried every state except MN

2018-03-26 21:46:46 UTC

Reagan's approval went up before his re-election

2018-03-26 21:46:55 UTC

no it wasn't

2018-03-26 21:46:56 UTC

Does that seem like a 49% to you?

2018-03-26 21:47:05 UTC

"End of his first term was 49%โ€ข

2018-03-26 21:47:09 UTC

Literally what you just said

2018-03-26 21:47:15 UTC

I think it was actually worse

2018-03-26 21:47:19 UTC

first year of office, i meant

2018-03-26 21:47:35 UTC

>cares about approval ratings

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/427946747025686550/pepe_meme_map.jpg

2018-03-26 21:47:45 UTC

Haha that's pretty cool

2018-03-26 21:47:47 UTC

reminder Trump lost the popular vote

2018-03-26 21:47:52 UTC

Umm

2018-03-26 21:47:56 UTC

christ sake dude

2018-03-26 21:47:59 UTC

Remove CA from the picture

2018-03-26 21:48:00 UTC

And he wins it

2018-03-26 21:48:03 UTC

are you being serious

2018-03-26 21:48:09 UTC

So literally our state is all that matters in popular vote

2018-03-26 21:48:37 UTC

Remove just one state, California from the picture, and Trump wins the popular vote tooz

2018-03-26 21:48:54 UTC

You can't just exclude votes because you don't like where they are concentrated in

2018-03-26 21:48:57 UTC

So popular vote isn't the best indicator of why a county wants

2018-03-26 21:49:02 UTC

Because California has a culture

2018-03-26 21:49:02 UTC

omfg

2018-03-26 21:49:07 UTC

ARE YOU BEING SERIOUS

2018-03-26 21:49:15 UTC

I can't take you seriously

2018-03-26 21:49:19 UTC

And or culture is totally not like the rest of the US

2018-03-26 21:49:22 UTC

Our*

2018-03-26 21:49:29 UTC

That's why I exclude it

2018-03-26 21:49:33 UTC

Because it's an anomly

2018-03-26 21:49:36 UTC

listen to up drumpfkins

2018-03-26 21:49:39 UTC

SAY IT WITH ME

2018-03-26 21:49:43 UTC

MAGA

2018-03-26 21:49:46 UTC

Trump 2020

2018-03-26 21:49:47 UTC

BLUE

2018-03-26 21:50:00 UTC

>drumpfkins

2018-03-26 21:50:02 UTC

WAVE ๐ŸŒŠ <:hilldawg:422436466422185987> <:democrat:422436466283511819>

2018-03-26 21:50:14 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/427947415627235329/1522094776394.gif

2018-03-26 21:50:22 UTC

Trump Train Bitch

2018-03-26 21:50:31 UTC

button mash why do you always go to concern shilling after losing an argument

2018-03-26 21:50:35 UTC

^^^^

2018-03-26 21:50:39 UTC

I'm not done,

2018-03-26 21:50:40 UTC

holup

2018-03-26 21:50:48 UTC

let me get the polls

2018-03-26 21:50:55 UTC

"""polls"""""

2018-03-26 21:51:09 UTC

I thought we just talked about how polls and approval ratings are total bullshir.

2018-03-26 21:51:10 UTC

the same one's that said Trump like a 2% chance of winning the election

2018-03-26 21:51:22 UTC

the same polls that said Trump would lose the rust belt

2018-03-26 21:51:30 UTC

Every single poll of WI said Clinton would carry that staye

2018-03-26 21:51:32 UTC

State*

2018-03-26 21:51:34 UTC

the same polls that said Trump can't get the Nomination

2018-03-26 21:51:47 UTC

>lemmie get the polls

2018-03-26 21:51:53 UTC

I don't read polls anymore

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