Message from @Reb Trump

Discord ID: 529456217492422696


2019-01-01 00:23:29 UTC  

it's analogous to pavlov's dog - you're still teaching it what to do if you keep smacking it each time it does something what you don't want it do

2019-01-01 00:23:37 UTC  

it just gets there by process of elimination

2019-01-01 00:24:48 UTC  

Where are you saying it goes by the process of elimination?

2019-01-01 00:25:17 UTC  

I'm imaging a naive model with finite options

2019-01-01 00:25:46 UTC  

I really mean that you're imposing it to search for the outcome that you're looking for

2019-01-01 00:26:05 UTC  

being the ethnostate, I assume you mean in this case

2019-01-01 00:26:11 UTC  

yup

2019-01-01 00:26:19 UTC  

because you don't know

2019-01-01 00:26:25 UTC  

you might toppple the gov

2019-01-01 00:26:40 UTC  

and then it naturally restructures itself into something worse

2019-01-01 00:26:46 UTC  

and then you gotta topple it again

2019-01-01 00:27:14 UTC  

Yeah, what I'm saying is that anything not organized according to nature will eat itself

2019-01-01 00:27:22 UTC  

marx was also an armchair anthropologist

2019-01-01 00:27:28 UTC  

That he was

2019-01-01 00:27:57 UTC  

and his idea to topple the bourgoise didn't end up in anything better

2019-01-01 00:28:12 UTC  

despite his model suggesting it would

2019-01-01 00:28:42 UTC  

it's dangerous to much such extreme decisions on such an inexact science

2019-01-01 00:29:34 UTC  

my eyes are getting blurry

2019-01-01 00:29:44 UTC  

let me ask you this

2019-01-01 00:29:54 UTC  

it won't seem relevant, but I'm curious how you'll asnwer

2019-01-01 00:29:59 UTC  

ok

2019-01-01 00:30:02 UTC  

Do you ever play poker?

2019-01-01 00:30:24 UTC  

last time was 2 hours ago, but it feels just like yesterday

2019-01-01 00:30:38 UTC  

How conservatively do you bet?

2019-01-01 00:30:47 UTC  

I get where your'e going with this

2019-01-01 00:30:59 UTC  

you're tellng me you make your decision based on expected value

2019-01-01 00:31:26 UTC  

however, you don't know what the deck is made of here, as the science isn't there yet

2019-01-01 00:31:35 UTC  

and , the variance is too large

2019-01-01 00:31:42 UTC  

Well, how do you play, though

2019-01-01 00:32:11 UTC  

I don't bet according to my psychological risk aversion, whatever it is

2019-01-01 00:32:16 UTC  

at least, I try not to

2019-01-01 00:33:17 UTC  

I folllow basic guidelines which are there to give me a sufficient probability to not go broke, given that I make +EV decisions

2019-01-01 00:33:38 UTC  

i.e 500th of my bankroll on a MTT

2019-01-01 00:33:50 UTC  

maybe 100th on a cash game

2019-01-01 00:34:27 UTC  

I don't know if you're familair with those terms

2019-01-01 00:34:33 UTC  

I'm a regular poker player

2019-01-01 00:34:47 UTC  

Can't say I'm an avid player

2019-01-01 00:35:00 UTC  

I was just curious how risk averse you were

2019-01-01 00:35:45 UTC  

everything is calculated before hand, so that the main decisions aren't up to my risk aversion

2019-01-01 00:35:52 UTC  

the one from my psyche

2019-01-01 00:36:06 UTC  

of course, I sometimes face boundary decisions within game