yeah, that's the thing. Alabama gives them false confidence

do you know about the website predictit?

the comments section is dominated by leftists for some reason

(I'm not sure why they like to gamble...I'd have thought it would have been more right wing because of that)

Actually, the problem with Beto's campaign is that it isn't as funded as much as Ted Cruz's campaign. Many people don't know O Rourke, but a lot of them know Ted Cruz.

https://www.predictit.org/Market/2703/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2018-midterms

Democrats know very well that Texas is a goner and are not aiding them as much as the Reps are with Cruz

people in the comments section are circlejerking about how the Democrats caan take Texas

be back in a while, I'll have more data when I return

and about how "deep red Alabama turning blue means the other deep red areas can go blue, like Mississippi"

As a leftist, I know it's not true. Ted Cruz isn't as hated by Texas as Roy Moore was in Alabama

I think they're butthurt after a year of constant defeat, so they're clinging desperately to their victory in Alabama in December

what kind of leftist are you btw

I mean, two of the governorships went towards Democrats this year (although they are neoliberal corporatists)

Just a regular progressive

'regular progressive' in 2018 is different from 'regular progressive' in 2013...a lot has changed since then

I'm both fiscally and socially liberal.

fiscal as in Keynesian? or social democrat?

Not a Keynesian.

as long as you aren't pro Warren you may very well be safe here

Didn't Warren vote for like 80 million dollars in aid towards some War?

wouldn't surprise me

also never paid car taxes

ever

and never sent voluntary aid to schools even though she claimed she always had

http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/156386110

can someone bump the thread

thanks

Yeah. I think Warren isn't really a progressive. Maybe on some issues but others not so much

But I wouldn't trust the media on whether or not hter will be a blue or red sweep. CNN, Fox, MSMBC are all biased in their own ways

yeah, also it's January

a lot can change between now and November

I would be willing to think there's a Blue Wave if the economy tanks

And most of them dont report on the grassroots campaign (Progressives and Social Democrats from CNN and MSNBC/Austrians and Libertarians from Fox)

if the economy is doing even better, I think the GOP can get a net-gain even in the House

yeah, that's the thing

they're touting it on a national level

with bullshit polls https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2018_generic_congressional_vote-6185.html

Polls are retarded, but most people look at the polls and no the candidate's voting history anyways so thats what the media goes for

Democrats having "48.8" to GOP's "36.7" doesn't mean shit because

1. It's national level, not district by district
2. It's fucking January, not November
3. How are they sampled?
4. How do they know who's voting

The only people participating in the polls are likely subscribers or some shit