I think it's going to be far more about candidate vs candidate, and somewhat about party vs party

not true,

to be fair,

all midterm elections are treated as a referendum of the sitting president and the party in power

remember in 2014?

"Soccer moms" are prevalent in the Midwest though, so I doubt its about who the people are more than the party they are currently in

Obama and his party got shlonged across the country

I think you could make the argument that the USA is still generally center-right, and that 2006 was an anomaly

neverTrumpers will still reliably vote for the GOP candidates in their district

Well, there was a resurgence of Tea Partiers at that time. Idk if there is going to be a progressive/populist resurgence this year

Maybe there is, IDK

and Trump democrats in the rust belt can be influenced to vote against Democrat candidates

Not if the Democrats are moderate Democrats though. Donnelly for instance is probably a more right-wing Democrat. Same with Manchin and Heitkamp

the GOP is going to spend a lot more money this year compared to the special elections last year, and they still managed to win most special elections

the only real victory the Democrats have was in Alabama, and that took a hell of a lot of money along with 24/7 pedo allegations running in the media

I don't understand why Democrats think that just because Alabama nearly went to Jones that somehow this is a referendum against Trump. Jones nearly won against a Pedo

it's good for us,

the Democrats will think they can win anywhere and with anyone

I mean, Jones did win

Moore was the one who 'nearly won'

Barely won***

despite the pedo allegations

My bad

they're going to run radical democrats in places like Texas and waste millions

yeah, that's the thing. Alabama gives them false confidence

do you know about the website predictit?

the comments section is dominated by leftists for some reason

(I'm not sure why they like to gamble...I'd have thought it would have been more right wing because of that)

Actually, the problem with Beto's campaign is that it isn't as funded as much as Ted Cruz's campaign. Many people don't know O Rourke, but a lot of them know Ted Cruz.

https://www.predictit.org/Market/2703/Which-party-will-control-the-Senate-after-2018-midterms

Democrats know very well that Texas is a goner and are not aiding them as much as the Reps are with Cruz

people in the comments section are circlejerking about how the Democrats caan take Texas

be back in a while, I'll have more data when I return

and about how "deep red Alabama turning blue means the other deep red areas can go blue, like Mississippi"

As a leftist, I know it's not true. Ted Cruz isn't as hated by Texas as Roy Moore was in Alabama

I think they're butthurt after a year of constant defeat, so they're clinging desperately to their victory in Alabama in December

what kind of leftist are you btw

I mean, two of the governorships went towards Democrats this year (although they are neoliberal corporatists)

Just a regular progressive

'regular progressive' in 2018 is different from 'regular progressive' in 2013...a lot has changed since then

I'm both fiscally and socially liberal.