Message from @jackborne1893
Discord ID: 403223563336810507
a lot of organization through websites like the Daily Kos
put up fliers, etc.
GOTV efforts
oh yeah
yes, exactly
I'm not sure what the hell the GOP is doing
they should be aware of this
they already gave up
wtf
honestly one of the best things we can do is spread this information to every right leaning person we can find
as proof that they still need to vote for these elections
oh yeah
so here's something major we're going to have to push in the general
having everyone who browses the thread on /pol/ to make a list of all the people they know in real life willing to vote for GOP candidates
@Red Storm (in NYC) visit your local RNC office and ask them how you can help
and to PM them about it
btw, don't get anxious about this. The GOP won every other race yesterday, 6 to 1
can we get a spreadsheet or list over the results of every race yesterday?
on it fam
that was a lose we could afford
reality is if we lost every seat this year that is up for grabs (which wont happen since we've won these) the conservatives wont be at that much of a disadvantage.
or at least not what the liberals think
yeah, I'm not impressed by the Democrats' performances
all that money and turnout from pissed off spergs, only to lose all these races
only winning because Republican's aren't putting up a fight
picture what happens when the GOP actually does put up a fight
tbh can't wait for the Massachusetts elections
we got our Governor, both state reps, our attorney general, and nearly all our local positions up for grabs
Baker (sitting Gov. (R)) seems to be in the clear, liked by everyone (in the state)
Warren as I have said before is either loved or loathed and has some tough competition
and hopefully our AG dies from aids or some shit
seriously fuck O'Healy
wut?
where's that from
>Nate Silver
I've created a dynamic swing calculator in excel (basically accounts for the fact that it's harder for already very dem-leaning seats to swing the same amount as Republican seats)
The FiveThirtyEight poll aggregate currently has things as D+7.9, I accounting for the fact that there has been an average error of 2 points from the early ballot averages, and a theoretical error of 5 points, here are the following scenarios:
D+2.9: R 236; D 199
D+5.9: R 231; D 204
D+7.9: R 225 ; D 210
D+9.9: R 218; D 217
D+12.9: R 196; D 239
Dems need to clear the double digits in the generic ballot before the GOP gerrymander really starts to break down
With dynamic swing, Dem's take control at D+10.3; with universal swing it takes D+13.9.
Currently haven't factored in incumbency, but that probably makes things a little easier for the Democrats to take over given House retirements.
hmm