Message from @MOS MAIORVM (AKA Sola)

Discord ID: 311379171563536384


2017-05-09 05:46:49 UTC  

But it's important to get a large sample size

2017-05-09 05:47:16 UTC  

Maybe. It certainly isnt some inviolable principle. Maybe it is useful.

2017-05-09 05:47:22 UTC  

10 mil will still give you a more accurate result than 100k

2017-05-09 05:47:25 UTC  

It doesnt make it MORE TRUE

2017-05-09 05:47:47 UTC  

10 mil vs. 100k in coinflips

2017-05-09 05:47:56 UTC  

It's not about being "more true" but more accurate

2017-05-09 05:48:00 UTC  

Will not give you a more accurate result

2017-05-09 05:48:06 UTC  

it will

2017-05-09 05:48:19 UTC  

More accurate what though

2017-05-09 05:48:38 UTC  

Than what you'd likely otherwise get just doing 100k

2017-05-09 05:48:41 UTC  

in other words

2017-05-09 05:48:53 UTC  

Hang on

2017-05-09 05:49:00 UTC  

sure thing

2017-05-09 05:49:03 UTC  

100k fully establishes a certain premise

2017-05-09 05:49:07 UTC  

it does

2017-05-09 05:49:10 UTC  

and that premise is valid

2017-05-09 05:49:17 UTC  

How can you get more accurate than 50 50

2017-05-09 05:49:29 UTC  

why do you assume you'll get a perfect 50/50 at 100k?

2017-05-09 05:49:30 UTC  

Will it become 50.0n1 on one side?

2017-05-09 05:49:37 UTC  

You likely won't

2017-05-09 05:49:39 UTC  

but you'll get close

2017-05-09 05:49:43 UTC  

You will.

2017-05-09 05:49:46 UTC  

and you'll get closer at 10 mil

2017-05-09 05:50:26 UTC  

Why stop at 10 mil

2017-05-09 05:50:31 UTC  

You believe someone will always flip exactly 50k of their 100k flips on heads every time they attempt it?

2017-05-09 05:50:34 UTC  

Go for broke

2017-05-09 05:50:37 UTC  

you can stop at whenever you want

2017-05-09 05:50:51 UTC  

10 mil study under the same circumstances will be appreciated more than the 100k

2017-05-09 05:51:02 UTC  

and there's valid reason for it

2017-05-09 05:51:14 UTC  

No. But you can nevertheless extract the trend at 100k. 10 mil helps you not one bit.

2017-05-09 05:51:29 UTC  

Not even a little bit

2017-05-09 05:51:33 UTC  

Well it gets you a more accurate result

2017-05-09 05:51:37 UTC  

Its ridiculous you think so

2017-05-09 05:51:42 UTC  

Whether you think it's accurate enough is subjective

2017-05-09 05:51:44 UTC  

This is exactly what I meant

2017-05-09 05:52:15 UTC  

I'd certainly trust a 10k study over 10, and a 10mil study over 10k, though with all things being equal

2017-05-09 05:52:28 UTC  

statistics are ridiculous?

2017-05-09 05:52:50 UTC  

Obv not as stats is stats at 100k or 10 mil.

2017-05-09 05:52:54 UTC  

Stats is not amounts

2017-05-09 05:53:41 UTC  

well, again you're free to think what you want

2017-05-09 05:53:48 UTC  

Yes, we all have budget and time constraints