Message from @Roland Delacroix

Discord ID: 683514846658166824


2020-03-01 03:21:10 UTC  

buttigieg doesnt have the black vote

2020-03-01 03:21:14 UTC  

he isnt a fly nigga and he eats ass

2020-03-01 03:21:18 UTC  

biden has the obama clout

2020-03-01 03:22:00 UTC  

Blacks aren't that necessary to slobber over, they're gonna go 80% Dem no matter how much they are ignored

2020-03-01 03:22:09 UTC  

80%?

2020-03-01 03:22:15 UTC  

more like 90% minimum lmao

2020-03-01 03:22:17 UTC  

Moderates and independent votes are the issue

2020-03-01 03:22:21 UTC  

Trump is gunna take an easy win in this election smh

2020-03-01 03:22:24 UTC  

the data says so

2020-03-01 03:22:30 UTC  

yeah probably

2020-03-01 03:22:39 UTC  

trump wasted a ton of time trying to appeal to dems though

2020-03-01 03:22:41 UTC  

Yeah, so who cares what the blacks want

2020-03-01 03:22:49 UTC  

4 years of LOWEST BLACK UNEMPLOYMENT and blexit nonsense

2020-03-01 03:22:55 UTC  

waste of energy and resources and money

2020-03-01 03:22:57 UTC  

misery index is low, approval rating is above 50%, and hes an incumbent republican

2020-03-01 03:22:57 UTC  

Dems just need someone who can take independent votes

2020-03-01 03:23:05 UTC  

all signs hes gunna take an easy win

2020-03-01 03:23:26 UTC  

Oh yeah, I'm just saying which Dem would lose the least badly

2020-03-01 03:23:33 UTC  

That was Gabbard

2020-03-01 03:23:46 UTC  

People were skeptical voters in 2016 and now he has a huge fan base

2020-03-01 03:23:58 UTC  

The elderly aren't going anywhere

2020-03-01 03:23:59 UTC  

Plus tons of people are closet Trump supporters

2020-03-01 03:24:04 UTC  

i think biden, bloomberg, and buttigeg would take the least damage

2020-03-01 03:24:05 UTC  

the trump admin is unfortunately full of swamp creatures

2020-03-01 03:24:12 UTC  

not a ton accomplished

2020-03-01 03:24:14 UTC  

I was not able to vote in 2016, but will be voting Trump in 2020!

2020-03-01 03:24:15 UTC  

keeps hiring retards

2020-03-01 03:24:17 UTC  

like bolton

2020-03-01 03:24:59 UTC  

i wouldnt call myself a trump supporter tbh but I definitely prefer him over the dems

2020-03-01 03:25:16 UTC  

i just see trump as less of an asshat than the dems

2020-03-01 03:25:26 UTC  

1. Black Americans are not monolithic.
2. Black Americans that vote will not vote 90% Democrat.
3. Voter motivation is an important factor when calculating predictions. In 2016, lack of motivation among black Americans is why Hillary lost PA and MI.
4. Voter motivation in regards to black Americans for Buttigieg is going to be nearing record lows, if such a nomination occurred.
5. Voter motivations for black Americans that support Trump will continue to be very high.
6. In the case that Buttigieg was nominated, there is a good possibility of Trump pulling ceilings of 40% black American votes in some states.

2020-03-01 03:25:50 UTC  

i am voting vermin supreme this election

2020-03-01 03:25:54 UTC  

he has a high chance of winning

2020-03-01 03:25:58 UTC  

buttigieg wont be the nominee

2020-03-01 03:26:00 UTC  

I don't think Buttigieg gets the nomination though, so all of that is really irrelevant.

2020-03-01 03:26:18 UTC  

literally the only way for republicans to make blexit a reality is to become really anti-LGBT

2020-03-01 03:26:27 UTC  

id rather have stagnant wage growth and shitty infrastructure than failed senate bills and a more broken economy

2020-03-01 03:26:31 UTC  

I think Bernie will win, but the DNC will contest it. The DNC will give it to Bernie in exchange for their picking of his running mate. Probably Bloomberg.

2020-03-01 03:26:49 UTC  

Black vote is a wild card, I'm excited to see how it goes

2020-03-01 03:26:57 UTC  

9%

2020-03-01 03:27:02 UTC  

A vote for Bernie is a vote for his running mate. The probability of Bernie surviving a full term as POTUS is extremely low.