https://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2020/apr/05/europes-future-is-at-stake-in-this-war-against-coronavirus

@zgadnij when do u expect a *halt* (corona cooling down)

* beggining of summer *june-july)
* summer itself (july-aug)
* autumn *sept-oct)
* autumn-winter (nov-dec)
* 2021

and as we talk about predictions @zgadnij what do u expect about *may10*
* fullscale fraud-opposition 'disappears' *(venezuela 2005+2017 election)*
* zp balcanization (gowina've been kicked out)
* pis delays elections (20autumn-21spring)

* grodzki will be *A gamechanger* (eg freeze postal voting act till it turns useless)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2020/apr/05/boris-johnson-admitted-to-hospital-with-coronavirus

OOPS

@violetvenomkiss there's not enough info (too many variables) to speculate

(as to when corona will subside)

rip linkola

nigga was right

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/05/trump-administration-treaty-war-russia-withdraw

<:picardia:474501987241820170>

and as we talk about predictions @zgadnij what do u expect about may10
* fullscale fraud-opposition 'disappears' *(venezuela 2005+2017 election)*
* zp balcanization *(gowina've been kicked out)*
* pis delays elections *(20autumn-21spring)*
* grodzki will be *A gamechanger (eg freeze postal voting act till it turns useless)*

pis know the rules and won't do anything _too_ illegal

so option 1 is out

zp doesn't really matter in the long run without gowin

i don't know

@zgadnij and at this game (
1 what if... gowin its kicked out of zp
2 if *gowin its kicked out + gowin gets angry (eg became PM with KO+Lewica+KP support)

3 what would u do (u're pis leader + szumowski its having nightmare about this election)
4 could opposition try to survive 10may
> survive = duda gets less than 50 so we'll got a second round with full corona
> eg *PAD 46 / Kosniak 18 / Blonska 16 / Szymon 14 / Biedron 6*

5 How pis could postpone elections (by lawful - borderline-lawful means and without banana measures)
> banana laws = hungary
6 why MKB its doing that bat / WKK-Szymon're that strpnl

I'd answer but to be honest I'm not sure what you're talking about. I stopped following polish domestic politics a long time ago.

at least

@zgadnij what would happen if gowin its kicked out (of zp)

or kaczynski aint LUNATIC enough to perform election at this bat time
>so he'll calm down after holy week (15-18)

@zgadnij he've resigned

gowina

gowin is a funny figure

but what will he do (he've resigned)

* do u think that he would be capable to play edgy (hey if u hate pis so much... appoint me as PM)

@zgadnij

unlikely, he's compromised

what would (he) do (in ur opinion)

* pis will try to move elections to may17....... and grodzki will freeze it too

sorry for being annoying @zgadnij

and what will happen with konfederacja

* they'll be as lunatic as they should be (antilgbt, antijew, antiabortion) *hey im crazier than pis*
* or they might be tempted to *look as normal conservatives + supporting the opposition*
> i'm asking coz jobbik've choiced the second option... and they're doing reaaaally ok

> >being jobbik
> >hey i'll bark that im homophobic coz its pop culture (muh fidesz)
> >hey why i've got this bat results
*real homophobes, real nazis, REAL fascists votes fidesz coz if they've more seats they could do more*

> >now i'll pretend to be a normal conservative
> >talk about corruption / attack the *homo sovieticus-lack of opportunities* / attrack young protest vote
> >i'll support the opposition (even if they're libs) coz my voters values this (they wont life fidesz)

i'm genuinely not in the loop anymore

anything can happen at this point

some fascists/quasi-fascists may branch off from konfederacja and act normal

but kf itself (iask coz i *imagine* that they're aware about jobbik)

and im thinking that hungarian scenario... its close to polish scenario

*hate-based (antigay/antijew...) parties're a failiure coz REAL fascists votes officialism)*
*haters will vote for officialists*
*haters 're calling u )kf/jobbik) closeted liberals (u're dividing hatervote)*

*if u neeed votes u neeed to attrack 'non-aligned youth' - moderate officialists*