But this is the presidential election of 2016 and isn't necessarily reflective of a meaningful rightward trend in Asian men.

I'd love to see how they vote where they're most plentiful like NYC, Cali, WA and so on.

I'm talking of the white voter groups by the way

Asians are also distributed across the country in a way which doesn't benefit the GOP either. They tend to occupy hard blue areas.

We have to focus on white voters

^

Asians are distribtued in areas like california

new york

winning them wont do shit for a presidential eelction

Trump largely failed on the childcare issue.

If we can get a very large turnout among them, and for us, boom, we win in a landslide. It's not worth it to pander to minorities.

He could have used it as an effective welfare concession to poorer, blue collar families.

And help lock up his Rust Belt clinch next election and into the midterms.

Even if Romney got 72% of the hispanic vote, he still would have lost, but 4% more of the white vote would have won him the election.

It's very clear the GOP policy has to shift.

Dont non whites have lower turnout rates?

Mostly.

They do

Blacks have marginally lower.

good

And in some cases, higher.

However, we need to be the highest we can be

It's a wonder how much free time to vote a person has when they don't have a job.

And we have to shift as a party to get this increased white vote turnout to happen. From free trade capitalism purism to more nationalist pro-family and pro-tradition platforms.

@[Lex] what no it doesn't

I can clearly see 'hispanics' keyed in the red

Some Hispanics identify as white some identify as Hispanic

Never mind, the 28% was a collection of all voters.

They're a minority's you can't question it

Since this is purely the electorate.

Not the entire population.

As you can see, white turnout was highest for several decades (possibly ever) for Trump

Hopeuflly we can keep it at the same level for the midterms

I expect a very deep depression this midterms.

Nah, impossible. Midterm and presidential turnout always ebbs and flows.

Trump needs to do something big

he pissed off his entire base last friday

We just need to make sure it doesn't collapse to an extent whereby the GOP loses the House and fails to expand its Senate lead.

We definitely need to get that vote in the next few decades. Either a direct appeal, or something more indirect, but with the same effect.

I dont thnink we need to worry about the house

house should be failry safe

we need to maintain the senate

if we lose just 2 seats

not maintain

No, the Senate is much safer.

Increase

^

We have to increase in the senate

Senate is a lot safer

how is the senate safer than the house?

There's just less margin for error

Even Button Mash will say that it's virtually impossible to lose the senate

What are the odds of losing the house

are they high

Many more Democratic seats in the Senate are toss-ups. something like 6-8. Only two GOP seats in the senate are toss-ups.

or low

Button mash is really pessimistic

Also, only certain seats are up in a midterm senate election

@Swamp Killer 56%.

In a midterm house election, they put every seat up for reelection

56% that the GOP loses the House by a reliable analyst.

This year we have a very good map in the senate

are we expected to gain seats

http://www.thecrosstab.com/2018-midterms-forecast/ - contains all swing seats.

(at this moment)

it actually is 56% i thought you were trolling

@Swamp Killer very few democratic seats are toss-ups in the House. Over 30 are toss-ups for the GOP in the House.

for now it's 56%

The House looks terrible.

but most polls are against us

remember the trump polls

Everyone single one.

the polls have been somewhat prophetic in the special elections

We can't keep saying "Trump polls" when all the polls are against us. They've been correct for most recent elections, within a margin of error.

The Trump election was an incredible anomaly.

We definitely have to make them look better, a lot better

Trump has to bring his approval up since his lines up pretty accurately with the results in the districts

Are most of the tossups in white blue collar areas?

https://media.cq.com/electionguide - good interactive map.

@Swamp Killer some.

Most, I'd say.

Others are getting swamped by the Mexican invasion.

we definitely need to shift to big tent

e.g. TX-23.

oh god

& AZ-02.

CA-10, CA-21, CA-25, CA-49, CA-39.

The GOP needs to be the big tent America First party if we want to remain politically relevant

These numbers are depressing

Many of these seats are toss-ups because the GOP rep retired.

rip

so we have more tossups than dems

in the house

we're betting on jungle primaries in California to maybe bail us out

Im guessing its gonna be between deleon and feinstein

in california

@Swamp Killer many, many, many more.

Debbie Stabenow's district could be flipped from solid by this smart black Republican in Michigan but that's very unlikely.

but that's the senate.