Message from @Beemann

Discord ID: 487432098152579084


2018-09-07 01:13:26 UTC  

Win or lose they'll double down. Anything to prevent introspection.

2018-09-07 01:14:12 UTC  

I don't know about 'solidly leading'. Trusting polls at this point is risky at best.

2018-09-07 01:15:34 UTC  

^^^^^

2018-09-07 01:15:50 UTC  

I think you guys are making excuses and living in a bubble.

2018-09-07 01:16:02 UTC  

But it doesn't really matter for the conversation.

2018-09-07 01:16:48 UTC  

>polls were wrong for Hillary
>but we need to trust the polls

2018-09-07 01:17:36 UTC  

I think the "blue wave" is going to be underwhelming at best

2018-09-07 01:17:51 UTC  

And if they do manage to gain ground they'll just be giving the Trump admin excuses

2018-09-07 01:18:20 UTC  

I'm definitely in a bubble. I just got burned really badly in 2016 by believing the polls and convincing myself that we were facing eminent civil war.

2018-09-07 01:18:42 UTC  

So I'm not going to ruin my state of mind this time.

2018-09-07 01:19:27 UTC  

I don't feel like fighting this again. You two can keep your heads in the mud for all I care.

2018-09-07 01:19:47 UTC  

But it's likely that this recent ban might actually be because Twitter expected worse than they got.

2018-09-07 01:20:01 UTC  

And the Dems clearly are providing cover.

2018-09-07 01:20:02 UTC  

That seems reasonable.

2018-09-07 01:20:05 UTC  

I'm not seeing enough of a change in contributing factors so far, but I'm not opposed to being wrong

2018-09-07 01:20:24 UTC  

>if you don't agree with me you're blind
👌

2018-09-07 01:20:32 UTC  

I think the Repubs in the hearing were scared of social media giant's influence.

2018-09-07 01:20:35 UTC  

I'm just looking at the actual numbers.

2018-09-07 01:20:43 UTC  

So they softballed them. Or maybe they're just out-of-touch.

2018-09-07 01:20:49 UTC  

That's highly plausible. I think it's both.

2018-09-07 01:21:08 UTC  

I think you're looking at the same narrow polling as last time

2018-09-07 01:21:15 UTC  

The one guy who has attacked them is Cruz and look and behold, he's struggling in what should be a safe seat.

2018-09-07 01:21:37 UTC  

We might already be living in the oligarchy of propaganda and not even notice it.

2018-09-07 01:21:58 UTC  

I'm actually really bothered by Cruz. If he loses, the social media giants will take it as a blank slate to go way off the far end.

2018-09-07 01:21:59 UTC  

Also pratel, you're in academia right? Maybe being immersed in all that concentrated leftism is making you more pessimistic.

2018-09-07 01:22:18 UTC  

Yeah I am actually a little concerned about the Zodiac Killer

2018-09-07 01:22:36 UTC  

Reddit in particular, hates him with a passion.

2018-09-07 01:22:50 UTC  

Cruz is suffering because of residual damage from the thrashing Trump gave him in 2016.

2018-09-07 01:22:50 UTC  

Reddit wouldn't survive the media purge tbh

2018-09-07 01:22:56 UTC  

I don't think that's it.

2018-09-07 01:23:05 UTC  

No I mean the lefty one

2018-09-07 01:23:16 UTC  

I think it's more the fact the Democrats are targeting his seat with all their money and influence.

2018-09-07 01:23:16 UTC  

They think they're safer than they are

2018-09-07 01:23:21 UTC  

Well, from what I've read from Texans on gun forums they lost a lot of respect for him at the end of the campaign.

2018-09-07 01:23:42 UTC  

Perhaps. But are they still planning to vote for him?

2018-09-07 01:23:55 UTC  

I wouldn't exactly call Beto gun-friendly.

2018-09-07 01:24:01 UTC  

And that vote is what matters at the end of the day.

2018-09-07 01:24:37 UTC  

@Beemann I think it's already undergone that purge and has been growing.

2018-09-07 01:24:38 UTC  

If they aren't enthusiastic about voting for him, and think he's going to win anyway because it's Texas, then they might stay home assuming the seat is safe.

2018-09-07 01:24:46 UTC  

Which is how you lose.

2018-09-07 01:25:12 UTC  

But the reason they're not enthusiastic about voting for him has nothing to do with Beto spamming ads.