Message from @ophiuchus

Discord ID: 436733415509852182


2018-04-17 16:32:56 UTC  

It can, but I think the recent boycott news is priced in now. These emotional libby things I expect a quick dip then return, which is what already happened (dip on Friday, and then climb back up on Monday, so I think that ship has sailed already)

2018-04-17 20:30:17 UTC  

Any reason to think the VA 30-year mortgage rate will move in the next 20 days? I'm floating the rate at the moment.

2018-04-17 22:54:04 UTC  
2018-04-17 22:54:19 UTC  
2018-04-17 22:55:17 UTC  

@Argument of Perigee there is a fed meeting May 1-2. I don't think they are expected to hike rates but you never know

2018-04-17 22:57:03 UTC  

4/27 we have the 1st reading (out of 3) of 1Q18 GDP

2018-04-17 22:57:21 UTC  

negative news here would be in your favor

2018-04-17 22:58:04 UTC  

and then of course 1st fri of every month we have the unemployment reading

2018-04-17 23:18:34 UTC  

Always appreciate your input @Zyzz Thank you, Sir!

2018-04-17 23:31:26 UTC  

Rate hike on this much federal debt? Probably not.

2018-04-17 23:34:04 UTC  

They have been climbing...

2018-04-19 22:28:03 UTC  

@Argument of Perigee
Prediction: Long term rates will continue to rise.
Spring is the beginning of "home-buying season." This year loans are more expensive with less properties for sale nationwide.
There has also been an increase in govt interest in the wake of the Trump tax cuts. Although it won't be a dramatic increase, by any stretch of the imagination.

2018-04-20 03:32:16 UTC  

Ugh god the (((Black-Scholes))) formula is going to be the death of me this semester

2018-04-20 03:33:49 UTC  

Oh come on, basic economics

2018-04-20 03:33:52 UTC  

jk

2018-04-20 03:34:01 UTC  

That stuff hurts my head

2018-04-20 03:34:46 UTC  

I can't stand when #'s get too theoretical.

2018-04-20 03:37:37 UTC  

@ophiuchus what class is that? I actually know a little bit about that

2018-04-20 03:40:02 UTC  

Actuary hell

2018-04-20 03:40:41 UTC  

I’m retarded, so 1 sec

2018-04-20 03:42:40 UTC  

Have I set this up right

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/436733415015055379/image.jpg

2018-04-20 03:43:05 UTC  

squareroot of 0.25 is 0.5

2018-04-20 03:45:08 UTC  

it looks good

2018-04-20 03:47:09 UTC  

I keep borking it somehow

2018-04-20 03:47:40 UTC  

Man that is some crazy jew wizardry.

2018-04-20 03:47:41 UTC  

d1 here is -0.3931, I’m just trying to work out how

2018-04-20 03:53:45 UTC  

Got -0.4323 last time I worked it out

2018-04-20 03:54:03 UTC  

Using a calculator?

2018-04-20 03:58:05 UTC  

Pardon my lack of experience.

2018-04-20 03:58:15 UTC  

Order of operations?

2018-04-20 03:58:49 UTC  

Has to be something with that

2018-04-20 03:59:08 UTC  

I got -0.34896 just now

2018-04-20 03:59:15 UTC  

Or how you are rounding the numbers

2018-04-20 03:59:45 UTC  

to the hundred thousandth place with each number?

2018-04-20 03:59:54 UTC  

So if I get it to (ln0.94+0.02)/0.12

2018-04-20 04:00:27 UTC  

It’s just ln of 0.94 right, not ln(0.94+0.02)

2018-04-20 04:02:05 UTC  

Now that is too big brain for me

2018-04-20 04:04:35 UTC  

Better?

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/436738932131102720/image.jpg

2018-04-20 04:05:47 UTC  

.08-.25?

2018-04-20 04:05:58 UTC  

It’s a dot

2018-04-20 04:06:04 UTC  

Not a very well written dot