Message from @Freiheit - CA

Discord ID: 435838314130702357


2018-04-11 13:29:39 UTC  

@ThisIsChris Florida has very high net in-migration, favorable tax rates, great weather, and many jobs/companies are moving here

2018-04-11 13:30:01 UTC  

Rents have been sky rocketing in Orlando bc of all the PR migration

2018-04-11 13:37:34 UTC  

@Zyzz thanks for the explanation.

2018-04-11 18:23:59 UTC  

I'm conflicted a bit due to rising interest rates.

2018-04-11 18:27:35 UTC  

@Argument of Perigee at some point we will get a recession. At that time there will be no(or very few) buyers in the market and real estate will be relatively cheap. The fed will lower interest rates to help in the recovery. Just remember you can always refi with a lower rate. You can’t change what you paid for the house

2018-04-11 18:28:09 UTC  

With the said, the longer the boom runs the harder/deeper/more prolonged the “crash” typically is.

2018-04-11 18:28:31 UTC  

Look at the dotcom bubble versus the recession we had in 2001/2002

2018-04-11 18:29:06 UTC  

Most people didn’t even know we were in a recession in the early 2000’s but we were. Everyone knows about the dotcom bubble

2018-04-11 18:30:26 UTC  

I'm fully expecting bad things soon for sure.

2018-04-11 18:31:08 UTC  

I'm under contract for a property as we speak though. Good thing Colorado properties are immune.

2018-04-11 18:31:36 UTC  

CO has performed nicely. That’s for sure

2018-04-11 18:33:04 UTC  

Yea, last time I moved to CO just following the big recession I wanted to buy, but prices hadn't moved. 😢

2018-04-14 05:16:48 UTC  

Market crash Monday my dudes, you all ready?

2018-04-14 15:13:46 UTC  

The market usually responds favorably to war. Not that I am condoning the Syria strikes at all

2018-04-14 15:16:54 UTC  

@Zyzz yeah last night I found myself wishing the markets were open. Trading gives a kind of outlet for "oh I have a new piece of information what do I do with it now", because otherwise all I can do is complain about the strikes or ignore them.

2018-04-14 16:13:22 UTC  

@ThisIsChris it certainly does although it’s probable it’s already been priced in. I have been heavy in defense and aerospace bc trump and Israel and neocons and all that. It doesn’t take a genius to conclude the chance of war/increased military spending under this admin will hopen

2018-04-14 16:13:24 UTC  

Happen

2018-04-14 16:17:28 UTC  

@Zyzz definitely, I'm starting to see the wisdom in that

2018-04-16 02:46:36 UTC  

Trying to learn a bit about algorithmic trading: https://www.quantopian.com/tutorials/getting-started

2018-04-17 16:22:50 UTC  

Wish I had had the agency to buy SBUX when the news broke of them being /our coffee/

2018-04-17 16:25:51 UTC  

Can't get lower...but now. Wait, can it?

2018-04-17 16:32:56 UTC  

It can, but I think the recent boycott news is priced in now. These emotional libby things I expect a quick dip then return, which is what already happened (dip on Friday, and then climb back up on Monday, so I think that ship has sailed already)

2018-04-17 20:30:17 UTC  

Any reason to think the VA 30-year mortgage rate will move in the next 20 days? I'm floating the rate at the moment.

2018-04-17 22:54:04 UTC  
2018-04-17 22:54:19 UTC  
2018-04-17 22:55:17 UTC  

@Argument of Perigee there is a fed meeting May 1-2. I don't think they are expected to hike rates but you never know

2018-04-17 22:57:03 UTC  

4/27 we have the 1st reading (out of 3) of 1Q18 GDP

2018-04-17 22:57:21 UTC  

negative news here would be in your favor

2018-04-17 22:58:04 UTC  

and then of course 1st fri of every month we have the unemployment reading

2018-04-17 23:18:34 UTC  

Always appreciate your input @Zyzz Thank you, Sir!

2018-04-17 23:31:26 UTC  

Rate hike on this much federal debt? Probably not.

2018-04-17 23:34:04 UTC  

They have been climbing...

2018-04-19 22:28:03 UTC  

@Argument of Perigee
Prediction: Long term rates will continue to rise.
Spring is the beginning of "home-buying season." This year loans are more expensive with less properties for sale nationwide.
There has also been an increase in govt interest in the wake of the Trump tax cuts. Although it won't be a dramatic increase, by any stretch of the imagination.

2018-04-20 03:32:16 UTC  

Ugh god the (((Black-Scholes))) formula is going to be the death of me this semester

2018-04-20 03:33:49 UTC  

Oh come on, basic economics

2018-04-20 03:33:52 UTC  

jk

2018-04-20 03:34:01 UTC  

That stuff hurts my head

2018-04-20 03:34:46 UTC  

I can't stand when #'s get too theoretical.

2018-04-20 03:37:37 UTC  

@ophiuchus what class is that? I actually know a little bit about that

2018-04-20 03:40:02 UTC  

Actuary hell

2018-04-20 03:40:41 UTC  

I’m retarded, so 1 sec