Message from @ophiuchus

Discord ID: 483725306512015370


2018-08-24 04:14:59 UTC  

@Tanner - SC They still have a cap of 850$ per bet, right?

2018-08-24 10:43:22 UTC  

They most likely still have the bet limit.

2018-08-24 10:52:30 UTC  

@Tanner - SC the site says it has no fees on deposits but 5% withdrawal fee. Does this mean there are no fees on the bets themselves?

Example: bet $5.00 that GOP controls House after 2018. $5.00 / $0.36 = 13.89 shares. Acquire $13.89 if GOP controls House, so my total balance = $5 + $13.89 = $18.89. This balance stays at $18.89, and I can add more, but if I withdraw it I pay 5% x $18.89 = $0.94.

Is that correct?

2018-08-24 10:59:36 UTC  

Total balance = $13.89. If you withdraw, you pay 5% on that.

2018-08-24 10:59:46 UTC  
2018-08-24 10:59:59 UTC  

Oh, right. Thanks for that correction.

2018-08-24 11:02:31 UTC  

@ThisIsChris remember, you can for FOR “yes” and AGAINST “no”, thereby totaling twice the bet limit.

2018-08-24 11:03:56 UTC  

I had a blast doing that in 2016. FOR trump, AGAINST Hillary, FOR a male winning, AGAINST a female winning, FOR the gop, AGAINST the DNC. Kept stacking up so many different variations on the same that I made enough to buy a car afterwards.

2018-08-24 13:11:39 UTC  

@Tanner - SC PredictIt uses a credit card for funding; what is typically used for withdrawals?

2018-08-24 18:03:55 UTC  

@Ben - OH I think withdrawal is an ACH transfer to bank account. I’d have to check my records to be sure.

2018-08-24 18:38:16 UTC  

@Ben - OH @Tanner - SC in 2016 it was a check mailed to house

2018-08-24 18:42:13 UTC  

I learned that Florida is trying to restore the rights of felons to vote just now when I was perusing this site

2018-08-24 18:42:46 UTC  

It was never even in the news. A year ago, a guy approached me with a petition about it, but I didn't think twice

2018-08-27 06:42:19 UTC  

Today begins the first day of studying for the CFA 1. Wish me luck, this test ruins lives.

2018-08-27 12:07:35 UTC  

make flash cards to memorize the formulas and do plenty of practice problems before exam day and youll be fine

2018-08-27 12:07:46 UTC  

level 1 is not hard

2018-08-27 12:07:49 UTC  

level 2 is hard

2018-08-27 12:08:07 UTC  

and level 3 is easier than level 2 from what ive heard

2018-08-27 16:45:41 UTC  

@ophiuchus good luck man, I look forward to hearing how it goes.

2018-08-27 19:50:46 UTC  

@ThisIsChris thank you! I’m probably aiming to take it in June, and then 2 and 3 the following 2 years. That way when I finish, I’ll only have to wait about six months before I can accept the charter (4 years finance work required, etc.)

2018-08-27 19:51:40 UTC  

We out here

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/483725305786138624/image0.jpg

2018-08-27 19:52:06 UTC  

We’re luckily using this as a textbook this semester

2018-08-27 20:04:21 UTC  

I completely skipped the stats portion of level 1 and still passed

2018-08-27 20:04:41 UTC  

Lmao

2018-08-27 20:05:01 UTC  

I’ve heard the ethics portion is significantly more substantial that you’d think

2018-08-27 20:06:00 UTC  

Yeah I did well on that part because I’m Christian

2018-08-29 01:57:14 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/484179690873946115/image0.png

2018-08-29 01:57:52 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/484179851415388160/image0.png

2018-08-30 19:21:56 UTC  

@Tanner - SC I did a report with a buddy of mine on where the next credit bubbles in the economy are likely to occur. While everyone's mind usually turns to student loans, that sector is complicated with lots of mitigating factors. The sector that is ready to pop unconditionally is the autoloan sector. Subprime loans for automobiles account for about 33% of all autoloans at the moment. One third of those are already defaulted on as of last January.

2018-08-31 10:59:05 UTC  

Yikes.

2018-09-01 03:03:14 UTC  

Bought a bunch of silver.

2018-09-01 03:41:55 UTC  

@Freiheit - CA nice, from where? JM Billion offers 10ozs to new customers at spot and they cover shipping.

2018-09-01 03:42:06 UTC  

LCS

2018-09-01 03:42:14 UTC  

I only pay cash at local coin shop

2018-09-01 03:42:30 UTC  

No one wants canadian 80% so I buy that AT SPOT often

2018-09-01 03:43:52 UTC  

I also get 10oz bars or 1oz rds usually marked up 3-5% but I have no paper trail, a steady relationship with my dealer, and sometimes I get the inside info on some good stuff before it's ready for sale.

2018-09-01 03:44:08 UTC  

Online can be way better, but I like the relationship and anonymity.

2018-09-01 03:52:20 UTC  

Nice! Hm maybe I should get in touch with a coin shop

2018-09-01 07:31:51 UTC  

@ThisIsChris if that report is available to be shared publicly I’d love to read it

2018-09-01 13:47:51 UTC  

@ophiuchus on mobile right now, I'll look for it when I get home. I do have this relevant screenshot of the work though

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/352760194775777282/485445690802044940/Screen_Shot_2018-01-27_at_2.31.15_AM.png

2018-09-01 13:48:43 UTC  

The Quarterly report on household debt and credit was one of the main sources