Message from @mattforney
Discord ID: 633049560872255509
when I went to Warsaw for my friend's wedding in April, the Uber driver who took me to the Warsaw airport was Georgian
same thing will likely happen if/when Armenia gets visa-free access
They go then the way of Bosnia
Poland has depleted Ukraine's stock of guest-workers and they need more
yeah the ex-FSU states outside of Russia, Belarus, and the Baltics are basically going to get worse
Brain drain is the fertile grounds for future migration waves
they're losing human capital to the E.U. and Russia
and they're also flashpoints for CIA fuck-fuck games
Georgia will probably have some kind of color revolution shenanigans next year
there was an attempted uprising over the summer when the government declined to give extra police protection to the pride parade and they had to cancel
also, during an international conference of politicians from Orthodox countries, one of the Russian invitees gave a speech from the speaker's chair at the Georgian parliament
that ignited a week of tantrums from the opposition
the incumbent party are a bunch of cowards, despite basically being in the same position as Fidesz, having near total control over the government and country
in response to the protests, they changed the electoral law to remove the threshold
since they're only polling at about 20 percent that means five million parties will get seats in the parliamentary election next year
And what would come after a color revolution?
Liberal govt and mandatory poopdick?
the stridently pro-U.S. UNM comes to power
they're pro-gay rights and stooges for the deep state
they're Saakashvili's old party, he technically still leads them from exile
keep in mind that the existing government is pretty pro-U.S. as it is; they didn't make any major changes after Saakashvili got bounced out of power
they were also one of the first countries to recognize Guaido as Venezuela's president
but they've also tried to steer a moderate course in thawing things with Russia
the UNM will be far more belligerent
I see, it's all about its value as a piece vs Russia
Their biggest problem though is the siren song of "western lifestyle "
yeah the incumbent party is basically trying to acknowledge reality
Russia is Georgia's largest trading partner, it's biggest source of tourists
Putin's flight ban was a massive blow to the economy and the government will get blamed for the lari's collapse
WizzAir won't keep them afloat, huh?
nah there's no way that Georgia can make up the difference with European and American tourism
Georgia is cheap but it's also far out of the way
not really on anyone's radar
It is really just a small place up in the hills next to Russia
Armenia is also trying to eat their lunch with similar anti-corruption reforms
streamlining the bureaucracy, getting rid of pointless laws
so Georgia's selling point of being a good place to do business will also recede
So their future is pretty much being something like Bosnia?
my estimation is that Georgian Dream (the incumbent party) will remain the largest party but all the opposition parties they fucked over in the past decade will gang up on them in a coalition
Bosnia without the ethnic conflict I guess