Message from @Nuke

Discord ID: 472114359720607745


2018-07-26 18:41:36 UTC  

wow I think I remember reading about that, but I forgot

2018-07-26 18:42:04 UTC  

if Trump manages to win Virginia in 2020, maybe Freitas can ride his coattails

2018-07-26 18:46:57 UTC  

Maybe

2018-07-26 18:47:23 UTC  

Could be hard to swing that state back, but it's possible if Trump can get a lot accomplished

2018-07-26 18:47:59 UTC  

yeah, some states are more elastic than others

2018-07-26 18:48:15 UTC  

for instance, you pretty much can't swing Washington DC because of the inelasticity of black voters

2018-07-26 18:48:51 UTC  

however, the white vote in Iowa is very elastic. That's why Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016 won it at a decent margin

2018-07-26 18:49:29 UTC  

notably, Florida isn't very elastic. It swung slightly to the left for Obama, just barely enough for him to win

2018-07-26 18:49:34 UTC  

VA's always a close loss for us

2018-07-26 18:49:35 UTC  

and same for Trump, except to the right

2018-07-26 18:49:41 UTC  

Oh yeah FL is always close

2018-07-26 18:50:01 UTC  

The year the Rs nearly lost Montana, Obama only won the state by 3 points

2018-07-26 18:50:28 UTC  

one thing you'll notice when you compare Romney's results in VA to Trump's results is that Trump did better in western Virginia and rural portions of the state, but Romney did better in NoVa and most other suburban areas

2018-07-26 18:50:53 UTC  

which lead to Romney doing a bit better than Trump in terms of raw vote - Romney got 1.822 million and Trump got 1.769 million

2018-07-26 18:51:01 UTC  

if Trump can win back those Romney - Hillary voters

2018-07-26 18:51:12 UTC  

while generating even higher turnout in the rural areas he won

2018-07-26 18:51:14 UTC  

I think Stewart can do well in spots like Prince William County

2018-07-26 18:51:16 UTC  

that's the key

2018-07-26 18:51:47 UTC  

Candidates lost that county a lot, but Stewart did a great job serving them

2018-07-26 18:52:33 UTC  

Now that I look back at that debate, if I had to decide who "won" if I'm looking through a normie perspective, Stewart did if only because of the Rubio-tier shit Kaine tried to pull

2018-07-26 18:53:54 UTC  

Like what?

2018-07-26 18:54:46 UTC  

"make it nasty, make it personal, make it up"

2018-07-26 18:55:34 UTC  

Plus, if Trump wins this trade war and everyone lowers all their tariffs, all those "farmers that are suffering because of these tariffs" that Kaine was talking about won't be voting for the dems.

2018-07-26 18:55:55 UTC  

And Trump *will* win the trade war, it's a matter of how long it'll take.

2018-07-26 20:03:46 UTC  

one thing to note is that Trump withdrew all resources out of Virginia some time before the election in order to focus on the Rust Belt

2018-07-26 20:04:00 UTC  

maybe he would have done quite a bit better in Virginia if he hadn't

2018-07-26 20:08:30 UTC  

That's probably because the VAGOP withdrew its support.

2018-07-26 20:08:44 UTC  

Without their obstruction, we could've done tons better, too.

2018-07-26 20:08:59 UTC  

they won't make the same mistake again

2018-07-26 20:10:11 UTC  

That's something a lot of people forget, people like Paul Ryan and the normie conservative wing were abandoning Trump left and right after the tape, now, every single one of them is trying to court him.

2018-07-26 20:10:49 UTC  

He is the GOP now. He won with a somewhat divided party, now he has a united one.

2018-09-06 17:17:21 UTC  

<@&414591366945832962> Get out and volunteer for Corey Stewart!

2018-09-06 20:05:34 UTC  

^^^

2018-09-06 20:05:43 UTC  

dis nigga doin my job for me

2018-09-09 13:17:54 UTC  

wow

2018-09-09 13:17:59 UTC  

Make it nasty

2018-09-09 13:18:02 UTC  

Make it personal

2018-09-09 13:18:05 UTC  

Make it up

2018-09-09 13:50:59 UTC  

lel