Message from @herm-3x-gr8
Discord ID: 466280630674784257
I generally agree with your map.
However, I'm a little weaker on Nevada, a little more inclined to call Colorado a toss-up, and maybe a bit more likely to call PA a toss-up as well.
Nevada's R governor is actually quite popular.
The nominee is of a Nevadan political dynasty.
It's still on the border of Likely, just thought that there was a larger change of a Dem upset than first thought.
Oh okay.
Colorado could be a tossup, but there's been such little polling and info that it's basically useless to change.
Yeah I understand that.
Pennsylvania is also shaky. Little polling done there, too.
And Wolf isn't too unpopular.
Yeah, we really lack a line of attack against Wolf, unlike Casey; if anything, Casey could bring him down.
Casey looks like a creep.
I actually think a scandal surrounding him might surface.
Would sink Pennsylvania Democrats.
Indeed.
unfortunately casey is crushing lou in the polls and lou's campaign is seriously mismanaged
lou's campaign manager was supposed to be fired a few weeks ago but he is still around because they dont have anyone who is willing to step in and replace him. the reason for this is the internal numbers do not look good.
complacency is a motherfucker and lou has complacency in spades
he breezed through every election in his life, and the nomination was not even a contest
barletta has zero support in the cities and the current statewide numbers do not allow for a win without the suburbs of philly and pittsburgh
wolf however has plenty of edges we could erode, unfortunately his opponent is poorly suited to beat him it doesnt matter
this is important and in terms of the larger picture needs to be appreciated. Wasting time dying on the cross to beat wolf will cause the entire state of PA to turn blue
wolf will reinvest his 50 million into every downballot/state senate/legislator, congressional race in the state. He knows he doesnt have to fight to win and will focus his efforts on creating the infrastructure he needs to destroy our states chances at going red in function
it would behoove this group to focus on the state level races, congressional races, and the senatorial race.
wolf will be gone in 4 years, but if we can keep the state reps/ senators red, and get a few wins for the congress, it will pass. If we focus all of our attention to wolf and casey, it will cause su to lose the other winable races and wolf will have the ability to restructure the state as hed like to
something else to consider..... after wolf runs out his second term, Fetterman will be the dems nod for governor in 4 years. He is an openly devout socialist who makes wolf look like tom ridge
Isn't Barletta the Senate nominee?
Mango, who has a solid grass roots till pestering wagner, is going to work for the President. Call it something more than a hunch, but Mango will be rerunning in 4 years for governor and when he runs against fetterman it is a lock
yes
it relates to the gubernatorial discussion
the PA gibernatorial race will effect everyother race depending on what resouces go to it
my main point is focus should be placed on the congressional races first and foremost, then the state level races, then the senate race, and lastly the gubernatorial race
Do you have insider info on the Barletta campaign
How do you know that stuff about his manager
i have insider info on a lot of stuff
told u from the get go i work in the field
and i am a behind the scenes ghost
so i can spout what ii know without much risk