Message from @Kevin
Discord ID: 418133851148124176
it can be safe to add +10%
every non-averaged poll can be safely skewed to the MOE of 3% because of this
maybe even an additional 3%
Yep, and I'm sure many of us here will be Red Storming in 2020 as well
and will learn from the right things we did in 2018 and the wrong things we did
@everyone some of you plan to run for office one day, so participating in this group will give you quite a few insights for your future endeavors
complex us demographic groups:
White Christian (43%)
White Working-class (33%)
White Protestant (30%)
White Christian, 65+ (28%)
White Christian, 50-64 (23%)
White Working-class Christian (23%)
White College-educated (21%)
White Evangelical Protestant (17%)
White Christian, 30-49 (16%)
White Evangelical Protestant Homeowner (13%)
White Mainline Protestant (13%)
White Catholic (11%)
White Christian, 18-29 (11%)
White Evangelical Protestant Married (11%)
White Evangelical Protestant Female (10%)
White Evangelical Protestant Working-class (10%)
White Mainline Protestant Homeowner (10%)
White Catholic Homeowner (9%)
White Working-Class Midwesterner (9%)
White Evangelical Protestant HS or less (8%)
White Evangelical Protestant Male (8%)
White Evangelical Protestant Southerner (8%)
White Mainline Protestant Married (8%)
White Catholic Married (7%)
White Mainline Protestant Female (7%)
White Mainline Protestant (7%)
White Catholic Women (6%)
White Catholic Working-Class (6%)
White Mainline Protestant Male (6%)
White Catholic Men (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 65+ (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 50-64 (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 30-49 (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant Parent (5%)
White Evangelical Protestant, Some college (5%)
White Catholic, 50-64 (4%)
White Evangelical Protestant Parent, 3 children at least (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 30-49 (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 50-64 (4%)
White Mainline Protestant, 65+ (4%)
White Mainline Protestant Parent (4%)
White Catholic, 30-49 (3%)
White Catholic, 65+ (3%)
White Catholic Parent (3%)
White Mainline Protestant Parent, 3 children at least (3%)
White Catholic Parent, 3 children at least (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, College graduate (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, 18-29 (2%)
White Evangelical Protestant, Post-graduate (2%)
White Mainline Protestant, 18-29 (2%)
White Catholic, 18-29 (1%)
^will be adding more later
''There are a record number of GOP retirements—42, so far—including many in the kinds of suburban districts that will be hardest for the party to hold''
as I have stated before, the suburbs are what matters
AHHHHHHH
PA-18 IS NOW A TOSSUP
@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Wtf, what's happening?
@everyone 🚨 SPECIAL ELECTION ALERT 🚨
Isnt there voting today
>Connecticut House of Rep. District 120 - vote Bill Cabral
>Kentucky House of Rep. District 89 - vote Robert Goforth
>New Hampshire House of Rep. District Belknap County No. 3 - vote Les Cartier
>Arizona GOP Senate primary vote Martha McSally
Is there a timeline for all these special elections?
good news
(I don't particularly care for the wall though)
i want it to be like the one from pacific rim
tall thick and heavily armed
back when Pacific Rim came out I thought it was some Filipino porno
no doubts about trump winning in 2020 if he runs
if he ran in 2012 he would'e probably won too
i'm worried about the demographics
in 2020
looking at the dem's current plan for "winning" 2020
which is just to run a shit ton of random people and hope one wins
that's
that's sort of a simplistic way of looking at it
there is a huge contingency of Americans who will vote for a certain party no matter what
but you gotta remember that almost two thirds of the nation didn't vote at all in 2016
probably because they didn't like hillary but weren't sure about voting for trump