how about the surrounding counties to the south

but this race doesn't have much

I'm feeling okay about this, a statement I may or may not regret in a few days.

hmm

The types of people who would vote Lamb in this district aren't welfare bums, but

ANY ONE ELSE REGRET VOTING FOR

DRUUUUUUUMPF

<:hilldawg1:422436466422185987>

maybe the fact that Saccone is in the lead, and the fact that there are snow showers on that day, will dissuade them from coming

<:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

will the yeb have his day this election

SAY IT WITH ME: YEB SUUUURGE

he'll strike when you least expect

what effect do you think the weather will have

@Den be ready for the snow on Tuesday

If it's just Pittsburgh that experiences it then it'll absolutely be positive.

@Deleted User @FLanon

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHH

well, we're gonna need to hope this works out then

screencap this, we're losing this district

If I'm wrong, no more blackpills even when appropriate

alright, we'll see.

If we lose this district, it will be evidence that Trumpgret is real, his White Working class base has deserted him, and Dems are retaking the House

Pray for the best

God, please let Saccone win.

Read this and let me know about the math behind it.
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/analysis-math-democrats-quest-win-pennsylvania-special-election/story?id=53639614

"If the rest of the 2016 Clinton-Trump modeling performance stayed the same and if, for example, Lamb was able to bring out his own wave of Democratic voters and increase the number of votes in the most heavily Democratic precincts so those areas made up 10 percentage points more of total vote as compared to in 2016, that still would only get him within 15 percent of Republican Rick Saccone in the special election."

"Likewise, if Lamb outperformed Clinton in the most heavily Democratic areas and most Republican areas, and, for the purposes of debate, took 72 percent of the vote in the bluest areas where Clinton only took 56 percent and 41 percent in the reddest areas where Clinton only took 26 percent, that would still only get Lamb within nine points."

It's possible for Saccone to pull off a win,

But only if turnout is low

even then, he would only win by 1-3 points

I don't know about this. According to this it's going to be pretty difficult

"One hypothetical model that puts Lamb just over 50 percent, includes, for example, him increasing the percentage of the vote that comes from the bluest areas by nine points, winning four percent more of the vote than Clinton did in those bluest areas, breaking even with Saccone in areas in the district Trump won by 21 points and, in the reddest areas were Trump won by 46 percent, only losing to Saccone by about 15."

Screencap, Saccone loses