Message from @zakattack04

Discord ID: 422834830338949120


2018-03-12 19:00:29 UTC  

I think 372 is a pretty small polling sample, isn't it?

2018-03-12 19:00:45 UTC  

Depends

2018-03-12 19:01:17 UTC  

depends on how accurate the sample represents the district

2018-03-12 19:02:36 UTC  

From Nate Silver "It encompasses parts of four counties: Allegheny (home to 43 percent of the district’s voters, based on 2016 presidential results), Westmoreland (33 percent), Washington (22 percent) and Greene (2 percent)."

2018-03-12 19:02:59 UTC  

hmm

2018-03-12 19:04:12 UTC  

BUT the Parts of Allegheny are very different. Like around Mount Lebanon is probably like 70% Dem and parts of Southern Allegheny are probably 70% Republican. So who knows where they took the samples

2018-03-12 19:04:40 UTC  

Fucking Union Voters though

2018-03-12 19:05:03 UTC  

We're definitely going to have to do something about RTW soon

2018-03-12 19:06:51 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/422832869522669568/image.png

2018-03-12 19:07:59 UTC  

I don't know. It just seems mathematically impossible to me.

2018-03-12 19:09:05 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/422833427780337664/llamfa.PNG

2018-03-12 19:09:11 UTC  

I mean the district isn't even very elastic

2018-03-12 19:09:12 UTC  

@Den how realistic does this look for your area

2018-03-12 19:10:57 UTC  

129 Rs and 139 dems? Did they account for that?

2018-03-12 19:11:12 UTC  

It's hard to say especially since Lambs people were stealing Saccones signs. I will say I went all though the district on way to Trumps Ralley and I didn't see near the number of Lamb signs that I thought I would around certain areas like Mount Lebanon

2018-03-12 19:11:54 UTC  

Every other commercial is bashing Lamb but it's that retarded Pelosi's little Lamb one

2018-03-12 19:12:10 UTC  

why the fuck did they make that

2018-03-12 19:12:24 UTC  

the rnc is headed by clowns, I swear

2018-03-12 19:12:31 UTC  

Like I just found out that Saccone wrote 12 books and lived in North Korea. They never even mention Saccone

2018-03-12 19:14:39 UTC  

EXACTLY

2018-03-12 19:14:49 UTC  

HOLY SHIT, that's what I was saying

2018-03-12 19:14:49 UTC  

OK 24% of our population is NOT liberal!

2018-03-12 19:15:43 UTC  

It's not staunch conservative either

2018-03-12 19:15:58 UTC  

It's a blue collar district

2018-03-12 19:16:01 UTC  

But the poll over sampled Libs

2018-03-12 19:16:35 UTC  

It's hard for me to get a good feel for the district. I know very little about Washington County

2018-03-12 19:17:11 UTC  

Are you a suburban or rural retard?

2018-03-12 19:18:03 UTC  

Suburban.

2018-03-12 19:18:12 UTC  

Hmm

2018-03-12 19:18:41 UTC  

I know Southern Alleghany and even that like I said very s from Town to Town.

2018-03-12 19:19:11 UTC  

@FLanon @🎃Boo-ton🎃 @Den How would you guys react if the Monmouth Poll turns out to be wayyyyyyyy off ? Like a 10%+ margin for Saccone

2018-03-12 19:19:29 UTC  

I would faint

2018-03-12 19:19:36 UTC  

It would be a relief.

2018-03-12 19:19:46 UTC  

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lol I'm not surprised you pussy

2018-03-12 19:19:47 UTC  

lmao

2018-03-12 19:19:54 UTC  

you gotta start lifting

2018-03-12 19:20:00 UTC  

Fuck off lol

2018-03-12 19:21:16 UTC  

I'd be pretty happy, I wouldn't say it's unexpected though, this is a heavily Trump district.

2018-03-12 19:23:49 UTC  

I need to reiterate,

2018-03-12 19:24:05 UTC  

this is not a Republican district