Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Discord ID: 401221679189196801


2018-01-12 03:48:05 UTC  

wait, you're saying NY-14 can be won? It was taken by Clinton 78-20

2018-01-12 03:48:27 UTC  

Who cares about California though; It's a blue state for the most part (fortunately for me)

2018-01-12 03:48:28 UTC  

nope, NY-24

2018-01-12 03:48:43 UTC  

yeah

2018-01-12 03:48:44 UTC  

But the only two states Republicans have to worry about are Arizona and Nevada

2018-01-12 03:48:45 UTC  

NY-14 is in NYC

2018-01-12 03:48:55 UTC  

The rest is on the Democrats

2018-01-12 03:48:57 UTC  

pretty close to where I live

2018-01-12 03:49:00 UTC  

At least that's what I think

2018-01-12 03:49:12 UTC  

CA has a lot of vulnerable seats this year,

2018-01-12 03:49:41 UTC  

so what does your senate map look like for 2018

2018-01-12 03:49:54 UTC  

CA-10, CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49 could all go blue

2018-01-12 03:50:06 UTC  

What makes you say that

2018-01-12 03:50:18 UTC  

Idk that much about the House races

2018-01-12 03:50:33 UTC  

retiring incumbents, right?

2018-01-12 03:50:46 UTC  

Is one of the Darrel Issa

2018-01-12 03:50:51 UTC  

These are districts held by Republican congressmen that Clinton won in

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/401221462591275030/clinton_republicans.png

2018-01-12 03:51:09 UTC  

California has no anti voter fraud measures

2018-01-12 03:51:19 UTC  

I'm surprised there are any GOP incumbents at all

2018-01-12 03:51:42 UTC  

These are districts held by Democrats that Trump won in

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/401221679189196800/trump_democrats.png

2018-01-12 03:51:50 UTC  

I suspect that the "3 million voters margin" can be entirely attributed to voter fraud in Cali

2018-01-12 03:52:19 UTC  

thanks

2018-01-12 03:52:37 UTC  

The best oppurtunity for Republicans in the house race is Minnesota,

2018-01-12 03:53:00 UTC  

can you post those images in the current general btw

2018-01-12 03:53:02 UTC  

so it is crucial that all Minnesotans are out voting on November

2018-01-12 03:53:07 UTC  

I'm the OP so I can't bump the thread

2018-01-12 03:53:26 UTC  

yeah, how likely do you think the GOP can win both senate seats in Minnesota

2018-01-12 03:53:43 UTC  

Trump would have won it were it not for McMullin

2018-01-12 03:53:59 UTC  

(and Gary Johnson, though he siphoned some votes from Hillary)

2018-01-12 03:54:50 UTC  

I'd say there's about a 40-45% chance of winning the special election in Minnesota

2018-01-12 03:55:10 UTC  

If Michelle Bachmann runs, it'd boost the odds

2018-01-12 03:55:10 UTC  

Is Joe Arpaio running for Senate in Arizona? Will Arizona become blue or stay red?

2018-01-12 03:55:36 UTC  

He is, he won't win the primaries

2018-01-12 03:55:47 UTC  

McSally is most likely

2018-01-12 03:55:58 UTC  

That's only if the majority of the people are evangelicals in Minnesota. I don't see how any liberal or maybe any moderate conservative would vote Bachmann

2018-01-12 03:57:51 UTC  

But in general, the midterms are probably going to be a Red Wave or just a stalemate. IDK how a Blue Wave might happen

2018-01-12 03:58:14 UTC  

expect a blue wave in some parts of the country

2018-01-12 03:58:22 UTC  

my biases are skewed as a former leftist...but Bachmann seems to appeal only to religious conservatives. She was kind of a joke in 2012, but then again so was Trump

2018-01-12 03:58:32 UTC  

^

2018-01-12 03:58:43 UTC  

Trump's got a problem with white college-educated suburban voters (AKA Soccer Moms)