Message from @🎃Boo-ton🎃
Discord ID: 402699290256080896
So I've researched and found some projections for the house that are fairly whitepilling
Nice
thanks for the good work
they're from fairvote, a pretty accurate firm from what I've found
basically, the high confidence projections they have (which from past analyses they've accurately predicted 99.7% of, so it's extremely likely they'll get all of them right bar one or two at most) has 205 R seats and 163 D seats
this gives a field of about 63 seats in competition
218 seats are needed to have a majority, meaning Rs would need to grab at least 13 seats out of the 63 in play in order to keep the house
obviously we want much more than this for legislative purposes, but this effectively prevents any impeachment attempts
Now, if there's a 2006-esque "blue wave" with a similar makeup to that year, w/ 54% dems and 46% Rs, that still gives Rs a majority of 226 seats, at least according to FairVote
this is about 52% of the House of Representatives which would be Republican, or to give a frame of reference, about the same margin that we had in the senate before Moore's loss
Not good in my opinion, but not apocalyptic. I think the average House Republican is much more on Trump's side than the average House Democrat (anecdotal, but still my opinion), so Trump would still be able to get some good bills in I assume.
thanks, btw can you bump the thread
yeah, damn
btw don't let these results get you delusional or anything
for all I know, the dems could get a ton more seats than what's considered the "blue wave" in that scenario.
our goals this year are to:
a) maintain the margins in the House, as they're decent at getting legislation passed even with Cuck Ryan.
b) increase the margins in the Senate, as they're the ones effectively blocking legislation from getting passed with a couple Senators
c) maybe get Ryan unseated, as he is a poison pill for Trump's agenda.
The cucks in the senate are already retiring, so we'd also need to make sure to prevent Romney from getting office in Utah.
gotta go, anyways.
have a good night anon, thanks for your work
Wisconsin State Senate Special Elections TOMORROW
Wisconsin State Senate Special Elections TODAY
how did they turn out
the issue with state legislature elections is that people never really hear about them
which means that they can be gamed quite a bit
with money and get out the vote efforts
they could end up being a very good metric for the federal elections
are there any results yet?
looks like no results yet
alright, well let's keep the fingers crossed then
just came back from a solid day picking up chicks
let me write up a new general right now
bump this thread every so often so it doesn't get slid beyond pg 10
btw @Nuke @TrippyTurtle can one of you bump the thread
thanks
I'm banned atm.
lol, what for
Insulting the mod's waifu