Message from @NewRogernomics

Discord ID: 649091747028271114


2019-11-27 03:29:50 UTC  

it's tied to the mechanics of how gov issued fiat money works

2019-11-27 03:30:38 UTC  

in barter system, including gold standards and the like, the same issues are there, but they are shifted almost totally into the private credit arena

2019-11-27 03:31:13 UTC  

extremes would be islamic banking, but they deal wtih the unspent income issue and thus the economic stagnation that results

2019-11-27 03:31:59 UTC  

If we talk about the Asia-Pacific, countries alternate between deficits and surpluses.

2019-11-27 03:32:45 UTC  

at any one point in time, they could be in one or the other, but its eventually going ot end up in a gov deficit with massive gov debt as soon as the private debt ratio gets to the turning point

2019-11-27 03:33:19 UTC  

hk perfect example, something like 800 percent now

2019-11-27 03:33:31 UTC  

also talked about in that kyle bass video i clipped from

2019-11-27 03:33:42 UTC  

Australia is the most advantageous I'd think as it has massive mineral wealth, and avoided a technical recession.

2019-11-27 03:33:58 UTC  

australia doubled down on the credit expansion in 08

2019-11-27 03:34:06 UTC  

but now their problems are even bigger

2019-11-27 03:34:22 UTC  

see my boy steve keen on exactly that, most of those pics are from his wor

2019-11-27 03:35:43 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649090948369743883/Screenshot_6.png

2019-11-27 03:35:45 UTC  

Tbh, grew up in New Zealand, so larger economies are harder to fathom for me.

2019-11-27 03:36:35 UTC  

NZ is more simple in that it can survive on tourism and niche exports.

2019-11-27 03:36:49 UTC  

it's not the size, it's "kind". certain blocks took different paths after credit crisis, australia and oceania doubled down(except for the pegged countries), the us and most of europe accepted contraction and some de-leveraging, but not nearly enough

2019-11-27 03:37:12 UTC  

main problem on my side of the world is austerity and trying to 'balance the budget', avoiding fiscal policy

2019-11-27 03:37:24 UTC  

it's a disaster but it's an entrenched belief system

2019-11-27 03:37:38 UTC  

(and/or corruption by people who know exactly what they are doing)

2019-11-27 03:37:47 UTC  

Well, NZ did its own version of austerity, which was a mistake as far as healthcare spending for sure.

2019-11-27 03:38:52 UTC  

Basically, the last government raised sales taxes, and cut healthcare and social welfare spending.

2019-11-27 03:39:07 UTC  

So now the current govt is having to pay for the gaps that resulted.

2019-11-27 03:39:58 UTC  

that's what happens when you try to balance the budget

2019-11-27 03:40:16 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649092097466564608/Screenshot_7.png

2019-11-27 03:40:20 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649092110666170388/Screenshot_8.png

2019-11-27 03:40:56 UTC  

there is no free lunch, aggregate demand is going to come from somewhere(or you will get a deep recession/depression)

2019-11-27 03:40:59 UTC  

Well, it is more problematic than that...as NZ has a house price boom, and general costs of life are high.

2019-11-27 03:40:59 UTC  

GG @NewRogernomics, you just advanced to level 8!

2019-11-27 03:41:09 UTC  

yea im watching the housing down there

2019-11-27 03:41:45 UTC  

that's another problem you instigate when you dont use fiscal policy, bank reserves tend to end up in speculative areas

2019-11-27 03:42:07 UTC  

QE in the US is doing that almost as a goal, for same but outsized reasons

2019-11-27 03:42:25 UTC  

it comes from a belief in monetary policy to do things it simply cannot do

2019-11-27 03:42:28 UTC  

Mostly, NZ is doing well due to exports and foreign investment, but that has its problems.

2019-11-27 03:43:27 UTC  

Housing is built that is not affordable for residents and is more of an investment for foreigners, and never lived in.

2019-11-27 03:44:02 UTC  

Residents can't afford housing, and the government tries to help by subsidizing housing for the poor.

2019-11-27 03:44:29 UTC  

But there is still not enough to go round and there are state housing waiting lists, as well as a lack of affordable private housing.

2019-11-27 03:45:15 UTC  

@Sh0t If you visit...you can see a lot of flashy apartments, but also you can see folks living in cars.

2019-11-27 03:45:36 UTC  

there is plenty to go around, kiwis just belief like somebody in this chat does about gov surpluses, yada yada

2019-11-27 03:45:53 UTC  

20% debt gdp ratio :/

2019-11-27 03:46:11 UTC  

Well, govt policy in NZ is to gradually decrease the ratio.

2019-11-27 03:46:25 UTC  

It is openly talked about.