Message from @NewRogernomics

Discord ID: 649088158377443338


2019-11-27 03:13:20 UTC  

greek situation was 100% predicted in 90s

2019-11-27 03:13:30 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649085357870284820/Screenshot_24.png

2019-11-27 03:13:41 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649085407455084546/Screenshot_23.png

2019-11-27 03:14:02 UTC  

Euro zone is a vendor financing scheme for germany, there is nothing the greeks and similar countries could do

2019-11-27 03:15:47 UTC  

Think we are talking about different things. I am talking about a government budget surplus, and the debt directly related only to that.

2019-11-27 03:17:05 UTC  

gov budget surplus is terrible goal under fiat monetary system. the greeks were done no matter what they did as long euro zone has no fiscal union

2019-11-27 03:17:12 UTC  

we arent talking about different things

2019-11-27 03:17:16 UTC  

you just dont understand what you are talking about

2019-11-27 03:17:26 UTC  

i understand why you think the way you do though

2019-11-27 03:18:17 UTC  

just forget all that shit about gov balanced budgets, its non sense when talking about soft currency economics

2019-11-27 03:18:18 UTC  

```gov budget surplus is terrible goal under fiat monetary system``` No it isn't, it is a long-term achievable goal. Only if you try and achieve it all at once do you mess up.

2019-11-27 03:18:28 UTC  

negative

2019-11-27 03:19:08 UTC  

that is going to cause a depression, because gov decifits is how unspent income gets back into the economy(though it can be spent unwisely)

2019-11-27 03:19:37 UTC  

in a barter economy (including gold standard and receipt money), its somewhat possible

2019-11-27 03:19:46 UTC  

but fiat monetary economy is totally different

2019-11-27 03:19:54 UTC  

Eh...multiple countries run at surplus, with gdp growth.

2019-11-27 03:20:27 UTC  

if they have trade surplus, they can, for a while, but entire economy cannot do that

2019-11-27 03:20:30 UTC  

that's how oyu get greece

2019-11-27 03:20:49 UTC  

same way some us states run trade surpluses with each other, but entire internal system cannot

2019-11-27 03:22:01 UTC  

and/or if they have some sovereign wealth situation like qatar or noway, but that won't last and they have their own monetary issues

2019-11-27 03:24:36 UTC  

I think that when a country reaches a certain size it can't achieve an outright surplus, as it will require more resources/goods than it can produce internally.

2019-11-27 03:26:26 UTC  

a COUNTRY as a whole can do a variety of things, but the governments and the monetary system are going to be constrained by the mechancis of the system. gov deficits in a fiat monetary system is essentially unspent income gets back into the economy, else you will get unemployment

2019-11-27 03:27:03 UTC  

the only way to make up for it is to explode private debt, which we saw after the great moderation

2019-11-27 03:27:47 UTC  

that will directly affect worker share of gdp as interest's share of the national income rises, and they you get that version of a breakdown

2019-11-27 03:28:22 UTC  

there is no free lunch with fiat money, but gov debt for the monetary sovereign doesn't work the way you think

2019-11-27 03:29:00 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649089257096347658/Screenshot_8.png

2019-11-27 03:29:02 UTC  

That isn't always the case in smaller economies, even if it might be in larger ones.

2019-11-27 03:29:35 UTC  

the size doesnt matter if they arent in a barter system

2019-11-27 03:29:50 UTC  

it's tied to the mechanics of how gov issued fiat money works

2019-11-27 03:30:38 UTC  

in barter system, including gold standards and the like, the same issues are there, but they are shifted almost totally into the private credit arena

2019-11-27 03:31:13 UTC  

extremes would be islamic banking, but they deal wtih the unspent income issue and thus the economic stagnation that results

2019-11-27 03:31:59 UTC  

If we talk about the Asia-Pacific, countries alternate between deficits and surpluses.

2019-11-27 03:32:45 UTC  

at any one point in time, they could be in one or the other, but its eventually going ot end up in a gov deficit with massive gov debt as soon as the private debt ratio gets to the turning point

2019-11-27 03:33:19 UTC  

hk perfect example, something like 800 percent now

2019-11-27 03:33:31 UTC  

also talked about in that kyle bass video i clipped from

2019-11-27 03:33:42 UTC  

Australia is the most advantageous I'd think as it has massive mineral wealth, and avoided a technical recession.

2019-11-27 03:33:58 UTC  

australia doubled down on the credit expansion in 08

2019-11-27 03:34:06 UTC  

but now their problems are even bigger

2019-11-27 03:34:22 UTC  

see my boy steve keen on exactly that, most of those pics are from his wor

2019-11-27 03:35:43 UTC  

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/523835768813387796/649090948369743883/Screenshot_6.png