Message from @Beemann

Discord ID: 481624769981054978


2018-08-22 00:41:57 UTC  

There are hardly any ex trump supporters

2018-08-22 00:41:59 UTC  

I would. I'll actually make you a bet if you want.

2018-08-22 00:42:06 UTC  

there are walk-away campaigns

2018-08-22 00:42:20 UTC  

think about that

2018-08-22 00:42:21 UTC  

Didn't matter the second the Republican press picked up on it.

2018-08-22 00:42:32 UTC  

And I haven't heard it driving people towards the Republicans.

2018-08-22 00:42:49 UTC  

It doesn't need to

2018-08-22 00:42:53 UTC  

Trump's black approval rating is a pretty big deal.

2018-08-22 00:43:01 UTC  

and hispanic

2018-08-22 00:43:05 UTC  

And the midterms are decided in the suburbs. Middle class women have been driving the resistance.

2018-08-22 00:43:06 UTC  

It's in the 30s now isn't it?

2018-08-22 00:43:14 UTC  

Yeah. It's histroically high.

2018-08-22 00:43:15 UTC  

People not voting for dems or voting third party against a solid repub bloc has the same result

2018-08-22 00:43:27 UTC  

Really what is happening is that the political divide is becoming a male/female divide.

2018-08-22 00:43:37 UTC  

nah

2018-08-22 00:43:49 UTC  

With millennial women being the tightest block. As tight as blacks now.

2018-08-22 00:43:49 UTC  

authoritarian and libertarian

2018-08-22 00:44:03 UTC  

>Middle class women have been driving the resistance.
Really makes you ponder women's suffrage

2018-08-22 00:44:23 UTC  

I'd argue it was #MeToo.

2018-08-22 00:44:40 UTC  

They've basically re-written alot of the Democratic party at this point.

2018-08-22 00:44:53 UTC  

Didn't the political divide map closest to guns?

2018-08-22 00:45:01 UTC  

Issue-wise, yes.

2018-08-22 00:45:14 UTC  

It's also heavily decided by population density.

2018-08-22 00:45:17 UTC  

that would be authoritarian vs libertarian

2018-08-22 00:45:22 UTC  

not left/right

2018-08-22 00:45:27 UTC  

many gun owning liberals

2018-08-22 00:45:38 UTC  

Guns are a true urban/rural issue.

2018-08-22 00:45:44 UTC  

Also didn't white wahmen get Trump elected?

2018-08-22 00:45:55 UTC  

In part.

2018-08-22 00:45:58 UTC  

many reasons trump got elected

2018-08-22 00:45:59 UTC  

Not in total.

2018-08-22 00:46:04 UTC  

I remember him scoring remarkably well within certain age groups

2018-08-22 00:46:16 UTC  

2016 = Hilary beat herself

2018-08-22 00:46:20 UTC  

2020 = people vote for trump

2018-08-22 00:46:23 UTC  

Mostly voter turnout was low, which favors Republicans.

2018-08-22 00:46:45 UTC  

So glad Harmful is back

2018-08-22 00:47:07 UTC  

Rural people (liberals included) tend to see guns as key tools for fending against animals and potential attackers.

Urbanites (conservatives included) see guns purely as a weapon for crime.

2018-08-22 00:47:51 UTC  

Which is interesting because there are more human attackers in the cities

2018-08-22 00:48:22 UTC  

A theory I like is that rural living tends to make people self-reliant. Urban living makes people dependent.

2018-08-22 00:48:44 UTC  

people in citys have a stronger force acting on them than self preservation