Message from @Atkins
Discord ID: 481624561939644426
@LotheronPrime
I don't think so. The momentum in basically all elections to this point has been heavily Democrat favored and reinforced the margins each one is suggesting. Energy is very much on the Democrats side and the Republican base seems angry with the mainline Republicans.
Add to this that Trump is kinda offensive to the suburban voters that tend to drive midterm results (the working class voters Trump brought in usually stay home during the midterms).
The Blue wave is looking very likely.
because they are egomaniacs w
I woudln't count on a Blue Wave
There are hardly any ex trump supporters
I would. I'll actually make you a bet if you want.
there are walk-away campaigns
think about that
Didn't matter the second the Republican press picked up on it.
And I haven't heard it driving people towards the Republicans.
It doesn't need to
Trump's black approval rating is a pretty big deal.
and hispanic
And the midterms are decided in the suburbs. Middle class women have been driving the resistance.
It's in the 30s now isn't it?
Yeah. It's histroically high.
People not voting for dems or voting third party against a solid repub bloc has the same result
Really what is happening is that the political divide is becoming a male/female divide.
nah
With millennial women being the tightest block. As tight as blacks now.
authoritarian and libertarian
I'd argue it was #MeToo.
They've basically re-written alot of the Democratic party at this point.
Didn't the political divide map closest to guns?
Issue-wise, yes.
It's also heavily decided by population density.
that would be authoritarian vs libertarian
not left/right
many gun owning liberals
Guns are a true urban/rural issue.
Also didn't white wahmen get Trump elected?
In part.
many reasons trump got elected
Not in total.
I remember him scoring remarkably well within certain age groups
2016 = Hilary beat herself
2020 = people vote for trump
Mostly voter turnout was low, which favors Republicans.
So glad Harmful is back
Rural people (liberals included) tend to see guns as key tools for fending against animals and potential attackers.
Urbanites (conservatives included) see guns purely as a weapon for crime.