Of course it isn't.

I'm probably gonna listen to the rest of the music and hit the bed

Hi probably gonna listen to the rest of the music and hit the bed, I'm Dad!

Also, he’s a definite scalie. No man has How To train Your Dragon profile pictures and does text emojis and isn’t gay and or a scalie

!q

Ah rock and roll mcdonalds

How apt that this plays now

Indeed.

We have a mascot and a theme song

!play https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKr46XveL6w

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKr46XveL6w`

@FLanon one of zak's schticks is to claim sarcasm and say you're taking things too seriously

just listen to the actual song roundabout

Our mascot is Tank nigga and our theme is Rock n’ Roll McDonald’s

That's the joke.

Roundabout is the actual ending of JoJo part 2.

!play roundabout

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `roundabout`

albeit a one minute, thirty second version

it's a good song anyways

Indeed.

the full thing is always a worthwhile listen imo

Post this whenever you dunce them

Along side a healthy bit of this

brings my soul alight

night walt

And leave the chat without sayin a thing in return

so how long do we lock them up this time

a couple days?

What posses them off more, ignoring them or messing with them. This should be an official RS experiment

yes

they shall be our guinea pigs

I say a few days. At least until the election in CA is over

Even then you might want to extend it

Just as an extended peace period

Ahh, a good jam👌

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/dianne-feinstein/
In cases wherein Nate Silver predicted Dianne Feinstein to disagree with Trump based on her state's views followed by Dianne Feinstein agreeing with Trump, it was almost universally a national security matter; however, she did vote against Gina Haspel regardless.

She specifically voted for Mattis, a few other natsec officials, Patriot Act reauthorization, and a few other things.

Well folks, I think I’ll go now. I’ll probably be awake reading and such for a while. Thanks for the god like night. We need to have these voice chats more often.

good night germaneastafrica

!skip

⏩ ***Skipped*** 👍

Gut Nacht

let's do the real one

Хорошо Ноч

real late night hours

Ah he already DC'd

crimson chat

Indeed.

Хорошо ноч, ФЛанон и други.

good night nuke

!play margaritaville

<:youtube:335112740957978625> **Searching** 🔎 `margaritaville`

**Playing** 🎶 `Jimmy Buffett - Margaritaville (with lyrics)` - Now!

@FLanon @Nuke I’m here for one last joke.

TFW your state is finally showing signs of going red on a serious level for the first time in 30-40 years but you still find a way to put a negative spin on it and say everything is over

some florida tune

Nice one haha

wasting awaaaay here in margaritaville

Meanwhile FLanon lives in a swing state and he's fine

how I miss my Florida

Indeed.

Headcannon, Button Mash does have a wife but it’s Zak

And Zak yelled at him over vc

interesting theory

And Zak, in his overwhelming blackpillied state voted Democrat

It all makes sense

yes

(s)he believed it would advance accelerationism

zak voted Democrat????

And therefore prove him “right”

it's a theory

No, it’s just a silly theory we’re coming up with

How blackpilled have zak and button become?

(s)he's so obsessed with being "right" that (s)he may just vote democrat to prove xis point

And due to the fact that he’s obsesses with being right he would accelerate the death of California to prove “it’s all over”

We may have to put them down

@Swamp Killer I think they’re to far gone

They're like rabid dogs

Im acutally glad im wrong about the governor primary

Hi acutally glad im wrong about the governor primary, I'm Dad!

I thought it would be dem vs dem

Still close between Baugh and Rohrabacher.

well

0.6% gap.

Too blackpilled to be recovered by anything

Just like how im glad im wrong about the 2016 election

22% left to report.

hopefully that closes

I'll catch the bed then.

56% of votes in district 39 are for Republican candidates

Le 56%

Hopefully bradley gets 2nd

what is your sort of estimation?

a key seat

so it wont be dem vs dem

how much do you think the dems could even get

house seat wise

I think that Democrats take 49 and possibly 10.

But it really is a true toss up.

Otherwise, they lose for the five other seats.

🆙 | **[Lex] leveled up!**

well that's much better than the *7* they wanted

It's so much better that it's enough to maintain a majority.

and with the summit coming up, hopefully that brings up Trump's approval enough so he can get campaigning everywhere and be a success

or at least that's my fantasy

in district 10, the democratic votes are stretched across many more candidates than the gop vote

and the gop vote constitutes 51-52 percent of the total votes counted

so district 10 is likely gop

Is a lockout still possible over there?

Wont the dems also try to mobolize more people after they saw how bad they did in the primary

possible but unlikely

An interesting quote that I found in Fahrenheit 451

maybe

this is a district to look for in terms of d-r flip however

pre-2014 republican seat

but it's a stretch

D+8

not to forget that looking purely at party, that dems overall are a higher portion of the vote

which closely represents this current vote count,

yes

But if that Sean Flynn guy does a good job, hey, who knows

very unlikely flip

but possible

aguilar could really fuck up

How's the district with that guy from the soap opera?

and i anticipate the gop reevaluating this seat as a potential battleground

which?

The one with Julia Brownley incumbent

58% Democrat

safe

post an image

I want to see how everyone is

Fuck

I wanted him to be in second

he's still a few hundred votes off, but still

ah well, I'll see the rest of the results tomorrow

catch you guys later

yep

many votes still to count

a ton, in fact

most districts still below 50 percent reporting

who won in cali?

Which district? @Deleted User 33b75db0

In terms of governor and senator

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/

***Blue wave*** TOP FUCKING LMAO

What a leftist joke

@FLanon well, as of 100% in this morning for District 26, Sabato is now in 2nd place

what do you like about him

Oh great

I think he's gonna be good for fundraising and that sort of thing

@Swamp Killer

"Wont the dems also try to mobolize more people after they saw how bad they did in the primary"

the thing is, I don't think the Democrats will perform much higher than they did today

It's the principle: If you're a Republican in California, your best shot to win is to be a celebrity.

@FLanon What is your overall impression of the results of June 5 ? I'm starting to lean even further toward the idea that there will be no blue wave

The Schwarzenegger Principle

at worst, we'll have a thinned House majority and a slightly larger senate majority

It was a good day, shame that CA-08 was the only lockout, but the numbers were good enough for us that I think we can hold and maybe expand in CA

but if you get a little more optimistic, ...just a little bit, I think we can get a slightly thicker House majority than what we have now, and a 60+ Senate majority

yeah, the thing is, I don't think it matters much that we didn't have many lockouts

for instance, what do you think of Dana Rohrabacher's chances of winning this November

Yeah but they would've been so butthurt

Well lemme just add up the R and the D votes

many of them are stil butthurt regardless when you look at the screenshots @GermanEastAfrica posted

of course

my reasoning is -- Dana Rohrabacher survived 2008 and 2012, which were solidly blue years

and if you compare GOP primary votes from 2014 to 2018, you'll see a general increase nationwide

Yeah but you have to look at it this way: the demos aren't getting any better in California

which means that GOP voters shouldn't be staying home for November like they have for all these special elections

I think what we can do is give GOP candidates a floor/minimum of the votes they got in 2014

for instance, Rohrabacher got 112,082 votes in 2014

I think he'll get at least that amount

Overall Republicans in CA-48 (Rohrabacher's district) got more than 50% of the vote

So that should bode a bit well

the Democrats, however, got 127,715 votes in 2016 in that district (Rohrabacher got 178,000)

now, if the Democrats squeeze a high amount of their 127,715 and Rohrabacher doesn't improve much, they could win, but I think Democratic enthusiasm won't be that high

they were able to make it high for Roy Moore, but that's about it, and it's partly due to R's crossvoting

so basically, I think we can say that

the minimum votes a GOP candidate will get, barring a major scandal, is the amount they got in 2014

the maximum votes a D candidate can get, if they squeeze everything out, is the amount of votes that Hillary got in their district in 2016

Well that's a nice thought

You know part of what I'm banking on is this summit

Damn, CA 48 wasn’t a Republican vs Republican.

But I think we are losing seats in California.

@Ghawk why do you say that

I should say we aren’t losing seats.

ah, so why do you say that though

@Deleted User I say that because of the lower than expected Democratic margin.

<@&432627153805377536> <@&399683356218097667> any of you available to jump in Voice Chat with me right now? We'll get some work done regarding editing articles, analyzing House races (we haven't really looked at them in detail compared to Senate races) and analyzing Gubernatorial races

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/

the first task is to look at this and determine the chances of who will win in each state

>Not using Red Storm Crystal Ball

I'll listen to the chat, can't talk exactly because not on PC, but I'll talk in chat

Also, TX-2 is a district that worries me and nobody talks about it.

I'll get on chat in a sec.

Oh yeah, Pie, how are your rating updates based on the California result?

So I'll listen, just not talk in mic

Have you landed in the chad state of Florida yet?

nope

still stuck in cali hell for three more days

Why are you in California for so long?

I don't think they've changed at all.

In san francisco (AKA Hell 2) right now

That's just how it was

Not at all?

Not even CA-31?

Hey guys

Hello

I'm in sf because that's where the people in CA we know live

Hi in sf because that's where the people in CA we know live, I'm Dad!

ah dad bot

He’s so annoying lol

Why do we have so many dad related bots

we go to the upper class parts so we don't see too many homeless

d!dab

there's just the one bot

Oh, I thought the dab bot and the sad bot were different

Trivia help

Oo

We have a trivia one

d!dab

The images of dads dabbing are priceless

but anyways, I think there's an argument you could make that we'll have an increase in GOP turnout this november compared to 2016

They will be he future currency of the earth

If you weren't voting for Trump in CA, you had no reason as a Republican to go to the polls

And everyone knew he wouldn't win CA, so a lot of people stayed home because the Senate race was D v D.

https://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/

Is my mic working?

I think the fact John Cox got to the general is going to make a lot of Rs go to the polls to vote for the gubernatorial and ergo, the House elections.

Can't hear you

Yep

Little fuzzy but I can hear you well

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/MK21x9l

Was it overwhelmingly white?

This group is making my realize I’m not the smartest girl in politics

How sad

just overall?

Yes. The exit polls.

huh

I think that relative to 2016 that we might have a better turnout in CA this november

Gimme a few minutes I got to take a shower