@🎃Boo-ton🎃 this graph must be fake

Because RS told me right wing is on the rise

@[Lex] right, so if we use the Obama years as an example we're screwed

Because we made history in 2010

The 2nd largest swing since WWII in the house

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/jun/06/donald-trump-justin-trudeau-burning-down-white-house-tariffs

Don't get too sad in here guys

@Winston But still...

Even though that's fantastic

Like anon says there

No one knows the true story

because the cable news is lying to them

Truth finds a way

@zakattack04 The swing won't be anywhere near that big.

I assure you.

This won't even be a 2006.

This'll be close.

@[Lex] lmao dude.

The watch dog party always has higher turnout

very true.

they're on a tear with recent elections

but will it be enough to unseat the significant gop majority?

Looking worse than a regualr midterm

don't think so.

Yes

The average house swing for the first midterm

is 32 seats

i would've said otherwise before these californian elections

According to Paul Ryan^

Furthermore, Republicans lost their incumbent advantage in many of the competitive districts

I think 22 republicans have retired or resigned already

We have a 23 seat majority

red meat for some Colorado faggots?

26 tossups. in order for the democrats to win the majority, they need to win 18 of the 26 tossups, provided the republican leans/likely republican flip

those tossups will now have been reduced by around 5-6 and have become lean/likely republicans

they'll need all twenty tossups to win a 1-2 seat majority

You need to eat into those lean/likely gop seats in order for the Democrats to win.

lol, it won't be 32 seats.

I bet your mother on it

Yeah, I have it at 26 tossups

http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/0pyq0Ap

Steve Knight's seat is a lean GOP, Rohrabacher lean GOP, Issa lean Democrat, Denham lean GOP

Whoever controls the House in 2019 will have a razor-thin majority

Steve Knight's seat ain't a toss up.

@[Lex] Even if we hold the House

(which we won't)

a Razor thin majority is pointless

it won't function

it's going to become the Senate

That's why you have a whip.

what

That's

that's not how it works xD

The NY and NJ RINO's will tank our agenda

Um no sweetie,

There won't be any Republicans in NJ left

They're already trying to do a amnesty bill now @🎃Boo-ton🎃

We'll see. It's been routinely done before.

Sure.

Amnesty won't pass.

IT

That's not the point!

Here's the thing

If Amnesty passes

The point is we have a large part of the party trying to pass Amnesty.

It's over for Trump and the Republicans

There's no way those people are going to vote for the immigration reform.

if they want to pass amnesty

Your forecasts notwithstanding, the House is by no means a certain loss.

All Trump has to do is veto it

Guys, that's not the point....

and that was this argument.

The point isn't about amnesty passing or not.

Yeah, the House is a tossup for sure

It's completely irrelevant,

The odds of the House going Democratic are 6-4

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Your wife is why it's a tossup.

The Karens of the world.

The problem is we have a part of the GOP that is trying to do this in the first place, and if we have a razor thin majority we will need every vote to pass good immigration reform. If these centrists want amnesty, there is no way they're going to support a anti immigration bill

Female voters.

Well, maybe it wouldn't hurt if Trump could stop trolling all the time

don't blame the victim, button mash

lmao.

trump is the VICTIM here

maybe it wouldn't hurt if females weren't so weak.

double neg

if they can't take anal, they shouldn't vote

White Women did vote for Trump

Lol

not by ENOUGH

not by the amount we need

College white women will sink us.

whites are held to higher standard than merely 52% of the vote

True but still

But there you go.

That's why it's pointless if we hold the house.

I go?

Here's the thing, folks