Hey

kaisch is better than Democrat lol

I think Trump broke Kasich, because he was generally ok before the 2016 election, but afterward he become a total dipshit.

"NO ONE NEEDS AN AR-15!"

"THE NRA IS A PROBLEM"

How White Suburban Women would vote if House race was held today:

48% Democratic (+3)
45% Republican
7% Undecided

LIke what the hell

Kasich at least attempted to defund PP.

Ohio will never have another Democrat Governor after Strickland. He was a shitty governor who fucked this state badly

And then he tried running for senate in 2016

And failed because nobody liked him

How BLACK Women would vote:

86% Democratic (+80)
6% Republican
8% Undecided

@Rhodesiaboo Don't be too sure.

DeWine is having some trouble.

My state seems to always have a problem with the same people running again

Some Democrat will run a bunch of times

@Rhodesiaboo Why do think Renacci will win

Without mentioning Brown

Brown has it in the bag.

Strickland, Brown, Kusinich, Cordray, they all have been in some form of office before

I have no doubt in my mind Brown is going to win reelection, like I'm not trying to blackpill but.

it takes a fantastic opponent to unroot a Senator that has been around for a decade.

What appeal does Renacci have? @Rhodesiaboo

And renacci is nto fantastic.

He's just some old Italian

What's wrong with Italian?

Because I know something can change

People said Hillary had a 99% chance of winning

They're still white @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Um sweetie

Ohio is German

You think they’ll vote for a Potatonigger?

Yep.

If the potatonigger's name is Brown.

Why is it so hard to find a German to run for the Midwest

Saccone,

Renacci,

all Wops!

Saccone just looked like a slob.

Because Of 2 world Wars

He even had a developed Pedo stash.

The first one caused a lot of Anti-German feelings

The second one helped fuel it

It's simple, people!

Fucking Chicago

It also appears Texas is gone

Arizona looks savable though

What’s “American”?

Whites with numerous European ancestry

Oh

No, not really

It's Americans who have lived in the US so long they simply don't know what their ancestry is

or it could be Old-Stock American too, like you suggested

I see that there is a lot of variety with the White ancestry groups

why is this in senate election?

"Americans" are an "ethnic group" defined by being Euromutts in Appalachia.

They tend to be the biggest fans of civnat too as the identity basically only gets its existence from civnat, having been coined by Theodore Roosevelt in opposition to "hyphenated-Americans."

lol

@Pielover19 @🎃Boo-ton🎃 We've got tilt on Senate elections now!

Yes!

Renacci is gaining popularity among farmers, which is good. https://www.facebook.com/JimRenacci/photos/a.307728585922.192446.217695830922/10156265568010923/?type=3&theater

awesome

<@&462745116768075776>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aDHxxGwJzss

I've never seen John James speak before seeing this vid. What do you guys think of his speaking style, overall demeanor, etc?

I think it's mostly fine, but I'll nitpick a bit

-his default facial expression seems stiff, I think this might stem from being aware of his inexperience and being nervous as a result

-he delivers talking points in a very quick, robotic manner. Again, I think this stems from inexperience and nervousness

-now, his overall message is pretty effective, but his delivery and mannerisms aren't ideal. He isn't as bad as Tim Kaine, but it's still a flaw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_ZbzOlp21Q

to be fair, Debbie Stabenow is flawed as well. Seems like a less energetic, less ambitious version of Hillary Clinton

It's tough to be less energetic than Hillary and still be alive.

I've seen more energetic corpses than Stab-now though

H sounds a bit different from when he is speaking in front of a live crowd, he was more organic when I saw him. Showing up on Fox News is a big deal though and he is nervous most likely. He also talked about very different things when I saw him that he would never say on TV, for example, stating that veterans are better than refugees.

Vets are better than refugees

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q3pCnw9FBn0

also, take a look at Josh Hawley guys

Guys what is our opinion of the Global Leadership Summit

attractive, great voice, convincing talking points

https://www.facebook.com/repjimrenacci/videos/229433991050260/?hc_ref=ARQQ9M-O793xvbjW5RBLBvS6mvr7ua0pZmCDLdSN5ltmQhNAho3VLVFH1cZWjoXv4kU

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/297Mol

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/08/14/us/elections/results-wisconsin-primary-elections.html

Nicholson closed it from at 20+ point gap to a 6 point gap, but alas - it was not enough

I keep seeing ads for by Sherrod Brown, kind of getting nervous.

Sherrod has built up quite a few shekels, not surprising

though people have said early campaigning in ads is a bad indicator.

And Renacci has been active on social media.

We all know about how his first ad was and how it turned out he lied

Now he is trying to claim that he has helped create jobs.

Lol that’s a joke

I know

Obviously it was because of Kasich

I hate the motherfucker but he fixed a lot of problems Strickland Caused

Yes that is true.

Interesting poll from New Jersey.

Yep.

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1odR1vw2PmB2oArwqKL0dl1cJrEGB0tiE/view

<@&414809487132721184> Check the demographics of the poll. They are completely screwed up and the youngest demographic overwhelmingly supports Braun. This poll was a complete fuck up

Mmm

This is my first time seeing this poll and can say don’t trust it

But that’s just me

https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/west-virginia/articles/2018-08-01/data-bulk-of-names-on-blankenship-petition-are-democrats

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/aZQkGl

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES:

New Mexico: Safe Democrat to Lean Democrat

https://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2018/08/18/exclusive-jim-renacci-ohioans-should-not-be-fooled-by-sherrod-browns-fake-populist-magic-act/

Because North Dakota is relevant.
https://www.npr.org/2018/08/16/638972059/heitkamp-stresses-independence-as-path-to-re-election-in-trump-country

RRRRREEEEEEEEEEEEEEE HE WAS OURGUY https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/kevin-cramer-breaks-with-trump-on-legal-immigration-but-treads-carefully-on-trade

based ND

"Generous in volume"

Fucking pathetic

Want more doctors? Make more medical schools.

Stop making it so incredibly prohibitive to become a doctor.

The fucking uniparty

Plus, a legal immigration system with a low volume cap but prioritises the theoretically most necessary foreign labour Injections like doctors.

They should all rot, they've pillaged the nation

Yep

This is supposed to be a neo-Republican also and he won't wholly support Trump's most key agenda.

Demographics mean the very destiny of your nation and every issue you care about.

@FLanon My thoughts on Cramer

https://i.imgflip.com/2719da.jpg

Still better than Heitkampf

Heitdrumpf

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2018/08/17/gary_johnsons_entry_throws_new_mexico_senate_race_into_chaos_137827.html

New Mexico goes yellow???

I honestly wouldn’t care if Gary won

I still want Mick Rich but if Gary Johnson wins, I'll be happy.

https://electionbettingodds.com/

This site has added how betting markets thinks the Senate outcomes will be

http://www.chroniclet.com/Local-News/2018/08/24/U-S-Senate-candidate-Jim-Renacci-visits-Lorain-County-Fair.html

I can't tell what Jim means when he states:
“We’ve had eight months to work on this campaign so far, and Sherrod Brown has had six years,” he said. “And so, for every internal poll we have to show us within the margin of error is a huge victory, especially because we’re being outspent.”

Is he claiming internal polling is favoring him?

I suppose so, but of course he's going to say that

https://www.sherrodbrown.com/blog/2018/kavanaugh/

no surprise

I don't think that's going to fare so well for him

Well it’s clearly how he stands

But he has to remember that there’s a lot of Republicans in this state

In Ohio, 2,677,820 voted for McCain in 2008, 2,661,437 voted for Romney in 2012, and 2,841,005 voted for Trump in 2016

in 2012, Sherrod Brown got 2,762,757 votes

I guess you could say the partisan Republican vote is around 2.66 million

in 2006, Sherrod Brown got 2,257,369 votes

Renacci can win

I think so too

Polls have been wrong by over 10 before.

So anything is possible.

I never trust polls

But you all know that

we know

The Polls are biased

the poles are biased

Internal polling is the more trustworthy.

As for Brown being elected in 2006, he got lucky as everyone was tired of the Republicans.

>internal polling is more trustworthy

how many times do we have to relearn the lesson of not believing Romney's internal polls

https://hotair.com/archives/2018/08/22/poll-new-mexico-senate-race-gary-johnson-leading-gop-candidate/

Changing my ratings on New Mexico.

And North Dakota.

Your ratings look pretty good.

RED STORM CRYSTAL BALL RATINGS CHANGES (TILT STILL NOT WORKING)
Mississippi Special: Likely Republican to Safe Republican

Ohio: Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/aQ3V58

@Ghawk Oh come on, how is WV a tossup, AZ a GOP lean, and Ohio a tossup?

Let's be optimistic, not unrealistic.

@[Lex] Because that really far leftists bitch that challenged Manchin is attempting to do a write-in.

Yes, but we don't know whether that's possible + Blankenship's also running.

As for Ohio being a toss up, according to my connections the gloves are coming after labor day.

Blankenship lost his appeal in my opinion.

Trump needs to go to Tennessee soon.

Bredesen's leading in polls.

@[Lex] Trafalgar Group also released a poll saying Donnelly was +12 over Braun

which is BS

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/in/indiana_senate_braun_vs_donnelly-6573.html

they claimed that Donnelly's numbers would increase if he voted No on Kavanaugh

I think they're trying to influence the Donnelly campaign

make them complacent

Yeah, I saw that.

Very silly.

they could similarly be trying to influence Manchin's campaign

or possibly light a fire under the ass of GOP voters in WV (and Indiana)

SAY IT WITH ME

Polls are biased

Polls are biased

@[Lex] I voted today. Kelli Ward (sorry Sheriff Joe), Arellano, Ducey, Steve Gaynor for SoS, Brnovich for AG, Yee for Treasurer, Gelbart for Superintendant

🆙 | **Zeno Of Citium leveled up!**

Crisis possibly averted
https://twitter.com/wiredsources/status/1034866553861365761

Gewd

Yay

YES

Unfortunately this will also block the leftist

The leftist is doing a write in campaign though

Will Blankenship do one?

Apparently Blankenship is running as the Constitution Party nominee.

Worrisome.

Remember. Don Blankenship got 20% of the GOP vote in the primary.

Paula Swearengin however won 30% of the Democratic vote.

But unlike Blankenship, she's not on the ballot.

So she's a write-in.

Lol great

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 yep, that's the most likely imo

Think McConnell will invoke the nuclear option for legislation?

Immigration, the wall and so on. @🎃Boo-ton🎃

Told ya

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 @[Lex] Even if he invokes it though you still need 51 Republicans to support it, and I think 9 have already written a letter to McConnell saying they support the legislative filibuster.

So there's not cheat out of this, we need a supermajority just like Obama had.

issue with that senate map is the assumption that the election is tomorrow

Trump has a much higher popularity in WV than Manchin does, if he goes and stumps for Morrisey with a big rally, I don't think Manchin would be able to take it

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Please stop branding this shit with Red Storm.

Also I'm with McConnell on the nuclear option

The Democrats can't use it without a Democrat President.

@Nuke button cuck did it to attract our attention by shitting on /ptg/ with it

http://archive.4plebs.org/pol/search/text/RedStorm/

Can someone tell that hohol motherfucker who worships John McCain that I hope he gets hit by friendly fire?

I hate those guys.

hohol?

I intended that for <#444207253860515851> lol.

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/8b9yD2

Nevada: Tossup to Tilt Democrat

West Virginia: Tossup to Tilt Democrat

looooool

FUcking kill me.

This map is biased

Polls lie

^

Lmao

Polls suck

We should just shoot the pollsters - Rhodesiaboo

I love furry porn so much - Zakattack04

>zak btfo
>zak btfo
>zak btfo
>zak btfo

>zak btfo
>zak btfo

>zak btfo
>zak btfo

*wipes sweat from forehead*

They say a man never really knows himself...

Until his freedom's been taken away...

I wonder~ How well do I know myself now...

http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/l7b1L8

Probably not

@Nuke what do you anticipate happening before november?

I anticipate Trump endorsing Rosendale & holding rallies.

which leads you to believe it'll shift so much?

Hasn't he already?

I don't think he's done any rallies for Rosendale yet.

But he's done rallies for Kramer and Morrisey.

i thought so

But I still think he'll lose.

I don't think newspaper ads will do much.

Or anything

I doubt this will seriously do that much.

Manchin had to back the Wall.

Refusing to do so is suicide in West Virginia.

The GOP needs to dump some serious cash in these states.

remember - if they lie, they don't give a shit. they'll probably retire after the next six years.

democracy is disgusting