and there's also not much to do about it

spam it on /ptg/ I guess

http://wesa.fm/post/mon-valley-special-election-state-house-centers-jobs-crime-and-bus-service#stream/0

it's a female black Republican vs a black male Democrat

lmao

I didn't expect that

https://ballotpedia.org/Marc_Gergely

it seems to be a heavily Democrat seat

Been shilling like crazy, let's hope for the best

lol that was me

it's not a big deal if we lose

Good on ya

if the GOP wins though

we can definitely use it as a morale booster

the MSM would hilariously try to deflect

even if we lose

We should compare the margin from last year

yeah

I think the GOP candidate will do better than she did last time around

her opponent doesn't have incumbent advantage

the incumbent Democrat resigned because of a scandal

please

please let this happen

please

>conservative

>Nelson

so far, will be adjusting after today's election

Who won

@Red Storm (in NYC) Fuck that is amazing (@QueerCommunist lmao)

I'd join the campaign if I could

that's an issue of low GOP turnout vs high DEM turnout

it's not really a question of Trump's popularity

We've gotta get people to the polls

We need to shill the gov shutdown hard in these elections

Both for dems who voted to stop and start/continue the shutdown

Well, it looks like the district is heavily Dem, with Rs getting about 37% of the vote for the seat in the best instance.

Definitely look for swings, I doubt Dems could pull more than 75% of the vote, but we'll see.

hey guys

https://democrats.org/

sign up for these

my favorite website

we nee to keep an eye out on the enemy

http://obstructionistlosers.com/

here's a better link actually

https://gop.com/

sign up for these too

well the democratic party's official website is pretty blunt

so what, we /progressives/ now?

lol a

t these faggots

hmm I wonder if we can defraud the entire democratic party by putting a negative number in?

hahahahaha

4d chess

http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/157781495

new thread

Key Race Alert: it's TOO EARLY TO CALL in PA HD 35 special election

holy shit

that means the GOP must have made gains

because the last few elections there have been landslides in favor of Dems

https://ballotpedia.org/Pennsylvania_House_of_Representatives_District_35

Nice

62.5% for the Democrats in 2016

71.3% for the Democrats in 2014

people who are trying to shill that the Democrats are overperforming with state legislatures should be shown this

their overperformance can be attributed to funding and organization

not that people are somehow hating the GOP and Trump more

Which democrat senators voted in favor of keeping the Government on Shutdown. Out of the 11 States that have democrats in Red States which ones voted in favor?

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1516753389441.png

primarying those seats would be a disaster for them

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 where did you get that info about PA's election today

http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/

Donnelly and Heitkamp are disliked in their States, and Although Manchin is somewhat liked, he is in the State that when to Trump the most

🚨PROJECTION✅: The Democrat is the projected winner

hmm

now we wait for all the votes to come in

Remember the Georgia election

Dems spent over a Million dollars

And lost

29 out of 84 precincts reporting

now 40

Wanna see something funny?

sure

lol

Fawn Walker Montgomery (the GOP candidate) got 9702 votes in 2016

that's a boost Trump's wave gave her

let's look at how many votes the DEM candidate (Austin Davis) gets

if it's less, it shows that this was winnable for the GOP

so Dems won this district by 18 points in 2016

it looks like 25 points to me

62.5 - 37.5

my bad,

that was the Clinton-Trump margin

51% of the votes have yet to be counted

all I see is that 47.62% of districts are reporting in

where are you getting the 51% from

oops nvm

more districts now, but vote count not updated

oh dear this could be a boon for Democrats

how so

it's just another example of low GOP turnout

because people generally don't hear about local elections

which benefits the pissed off side with fundraising

turnout in this race looks pathetic lol

60 out of 84 districts so far

unless there are more votes to count in the remaining 24...

it means that the amount of total votes is a miniscule fraction of those cast in 2016

9,600 GOP votes to 500?

Jesus...

yeah that's 5 %

holy hell...

so far, the Dem has 10% of 2016

Dem turnout is low, but GOP turnout is _**PHENOMENALLY**_ low

I think it's not so much that GOP voters are demotivated, it's that nothings being done to get them to know about the race

756 GOP voters now

yeah, still no good signs for November

the DEM candidate probably won't break 9702 at this rate

which means that this was winnable

if the GOP got their voters to turn out

pathetic

it makes you wonder what the RNC is doing

if they lose in november,

it will be because they deserved it

they're not even trying

hmm, how can we target voters in specific districts through the Internet?

seems tricky

hmmmmm

Facebook I suppose?

this district is in "Allegheny County"

careful

so look through the profiles of people in it

that could alienate them and cause them to vote the other way

well, in that case you could do false flag operations

the PA House is still going to be 121 GOP, 82 DEM

90% of districts reporting in now

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania_House_of_Representatives,_District_35

so it looks like,

a +25 Dem margin in 2016,

to a +48 Dem margin in 2018

the national average of +21 swing that I showed earlier still seems to be in effect

interesting

3046 DEM votes so far

20% of 2016 DEM votes

in the general trend continues, then GOP could be in trouble

hopefully we see better results in March

As of the 2010 census, there were 1,223,348 people residing in the county. The population density was 1676 people per square mile (647/km²). The racial makeup of the county was 82.87% White, 14.39% Black or African American, 2.94% Asian, 0.03% Pacific Islander, 0.37% from other races, and 1.40% from two or more races. About 1.31% of the population were Hispanic or Latino of any race.

if

if the general trend continues

to be fair,

this isn't Trump country

urban,

large non-white population,

they've been Democrat since 1969

the swing is a bad sign tho

especially after the incumbent had to step down for a scandal

yeah, the thing is...it's not like the voters would blame the Democratic Party

the D candidate is some newcomer who isn't being charged in a scandal

What we should take away from this race is that it was WINNABLE for the GOP

in 2016 they got 3 times as many votes as the D candidate got today

As of November 7th 2017 there was 921,861 registered voters in the county. Democrats have a majority of the voters. There was 536,248 registered Democrats, 258,340 registered Republicans, 120,994 voters registered to other parties, 4,929 to the Libertarian Party and 1,350 voters registered to the Green Party.[11]

that's for all of Allegheny County though

2016: 39.5% 259,480 (GOP) 55.9% 367,617 (DEM)

for all of Allegheny County

updated

the Dem advantage grew by 2 points

what's HD?

AD?

House District

I wouldn't look too much into it

ah

seems to be the same trend

it shouldn't be a complicated or difficult thing for the GOP to fundraise and GOTV

I still think the dems are fucked

How many governorships are up?

https://www.facebook.com/vfawn.walkermontgomery

this is the GOP candidate's facebook

Can you tell me how many governorships are up

The only one I know is in my Home state

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2018

hey guys

https://www.facebook.com/vfawn.walkermontgomery?hc_ref=ARRxSesvM0DKtibW3zBErr82JCF-vd1B7EVFpcxaE_em75k1JqpyeTlaYQ_ozxmbgVE&fref=nf

look at the ad she has

I don't know much about the area, but apparently it's pretty ghetto

she says she's tired of hearing gunshots

drug epidemic

I don't see why we should feel bad about losing it

some GOP voters probably felt it was a lost cause

The governorship races looks good

Vermont Red?

Wow

if you watch Styxhexenhammer666

he talks about Vermont's GOP governor

they're Republican-in-name-only

Shit

the GOP Massachuetts governor attended the Women's March

yeah, Gubernatorial candidates are weird

two times

Kasich we all know is a RINO

Schwarzenegger was GOP Governor of Cali

him being 'Republican' doesn't mean much

Schwarzenegger was meh actually

he was an environmentalist

I live in Ohio

but he believed in promoting green jobs and not necessarily in cracking down fossil fuels

So I have to deal with Kasich

The good thing is that he’s term limited

isn't he not running again

let's go to the 4chan thread eh

He got elected in 2010 after beating incumbent Ted Strickland

Didn’t stop Strickland from running for the senate in 2016. He lost that as well.

also, what was the result of the district, what margin

this is a shot from the area inside the district

looks like a shithole

no reason to black pill over losing it

if I was a GOP voter it would come off as a lost cause to vote

I'm sure it was a loss, but what was the margin

do we know yet

granted, it was winnable for the GOP if they got enough of their turnout

here's the thing

many of the 9702 voters who voted for the GOP candidate probably turned out because they wanted to vote for Trump

and voted GOP downballot

Ohio will probably be the most interesting race. As we know Sherrod Brown is running again for the Third Time for senate

And The governorship is interesting cause Kasich is term-limited

It’s proabably going to be between Richard Cordray and Mike DeWine for the Governorship, and for the Sentate it will be between Sherrod Brown and either Mike Gibbons or Jim Renacci

so what's the rundown on Mike Gibbons and Jim Renacci

https://statisticalatlas.com/state-lower-legislative-district/Pennsylvania/District-35/Race-and-Ethnicity

http://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/157752171/#157754305

>>157753729
>county where whites vote democrat
>entirely working class or poor. 60% of infants are Non White
>thousands of trashy white girls with BLACK kids
>mostly former industrial cities not middle class suburbs
Not winnable
>>157753731
White male & Hispanic women maybe nationally. But the BBC controls PA state House district 35.

sounds like that Anon is speaking from firsthand experience

I think Renacci will be more reliable and safe as a pick'

I’ve heard that Renacci is the Trump of Ohio

Well that's a good sign

Served in Congress, has a decent voting record

good, we don't need a Romney-esque candidate

The Dems will spend lots of money to keep Brown in Office, after all he’s one of the most liberal members in Congress.

Well, I think that this is pretty winnable

Of course

He only won by 51% in 2012 when Romney was running against Obama, but a lot of money was spent

I think generally US Representatives are probably our best shot as Senate candidates

http://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/

final results

We can see their voting record and apply that to their next position

Democrats: 73.76% with 3,159 votes

Republicans: 26.24% with 1,124 votes

that's within the margin I said right

margin of 47.52%

Pennsylvania is beautiful outside of Philadelphia and a few other places