http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/163683596

>yfw a huge Saccone upset is waiting in the wings

Also, that poll sample is trash.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_110716/

Monmouth had Clinton+1 in North Carolina in October 23

Monmouth had Clinton+4 in PA in November 1

Clinton +7 in Wisconsin

it had Northam at +2 even though the final result was +8.9

the most similar race to this is GA-06 but they never did one for that

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1520884235884.png

ahahahahahahahahahaha

Button is heavily involved in politics.

that's the same Patrick Murray quoted in that article

about Saccone

Perhaps he remembers a time when it was a good poll.

*?

@Pielover19 Button just likes to panic

he's addicted to that feeling

Alabama

we're all addicted to certain emotions

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Saccone isn't accused of being a pedo

I live in Alabama.

You had HUGE amounts of voter indifference because Roy Moore was accused of being a pedo.

20 people in my neighborhood alone didn't vote for that reason.

Monmouth has been accurate 85% of the time

Some really bought into the smear campaign and voted for Doug.

One guy I know was in a "Republicans for Doug Jones" ad.

Without the smear campaign, Moore would've won by 25-30 points.

Still, this is before the rally.

If Trump went into my area and held a speech like the one last night, all twenty of those voters would vote for Moore. Guarenteed.

REALLY wish I would've done some campaigning.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 what do you mean by 85%

The rally effect, combined with the fact that this is probably going to be low turnout, means Saccone isn't down for the count.

maybe Monmouth just got lucky with Alabama

Still, hope and pray that we win.

@Deleted User are you a poll truther?

I get being pessimistic, though.

Because a win would feel a lot better.

Although I think that's not your reason for freaking out.

what's a poll truther

My blackpills and concern shilling is well intentioned

It certaintly makes me want to work harder.

A poll truther believes all polls are fake or rigged

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 what do you say to this then

Where is this from

I've heard the Mississippi special election is in July.

Is that true?

No

November?

Yes

Alright.

I think the Governor is appointing himself

I'll drive over with some friends and knock doors in Florida, then.

as Senator

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 you didn't see that before?

It's from the leaked emails

in 2016

Shill Rick Scott.

Where did you find this

God, I hope he doesn't drop out.

Or not join in, rather.

I saw it on /pol/

http://img.4plebs.org/boards/pol/image/1475/94/1475947227555.png

lol Monmouth had it at +13 for Hillary even though Sanders won

<:hilldawg1:422436466422185987> <:wojaktrump:422438927631384577> <:democrat1:422436466283511819> 🌊

If Lamb (D) wins, he'll be in a much stronger position to take on Rep. Keith Rothfus (R) in PA17 in the fall (in fact, he'd probably be a slight favorite). If Saccone (R) wins, he'll have inside track for PA14 to the south.

The map isn't confirmed, though.

@Pielover19 are you a coastal or Appalachia hick?

Appalachia.

Pretty close to a decently large city, though.

ah, Huntsville?

Around there.

Over the course of December, I learned more about Alabama than the average Alabaman,

Heh.

I was researching what specific areas Jones would need to perform well in to carry the state

Still surprised Talledega County flipped.

Black turnout combined with white apathy = competitive south.

It's why I'm worried about Mississippi.

Alabama losing a seat in 2020 would be interesting.

Jones got less votes than Clinton lol

There would be 6 safe R and 1 tossup, probably.

And he's more moderate

so what

Jones got 92% of the Clinton vote

Y'all should've listened to Trump, Strange was supporting him all the aay

Moore got 46% of the Trump vote

Didn't vote against him once

Yeah cause Bannon fucking got involved

that's what I was suggesting too

Mo Brooks was our guy.

Mo Brooks was the best option

biggest immigration hardliner in the House

Trip Pittman was good, too.

don't understand how he lost the primary

Brooks would've won with +20 points

>these shitlibs on Saccone's page

Lots of people votes for Roy Moore because Strange was a "McConnel puppet".

And voting Brooks would mean giving Strange the win.

SNOW SHOWERS IN PITTSBURGH ON TUESDAY

GOD FAVORS SACCONE

@Pielover19 wait,

actually,

it's going to rain in Pittsburgh,

the rural area that composes of most PA-18 will have snow

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 no

are you just making bullshit claims that favor the Dems now ?

https://www.google.com/search?q=weather+pittsburgh&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8&client=firefox-b-1-ab

Low turnout poll, which weather will effect, has Lamb i

up by two.

@Pielover19 Monmouth says that it's still Lamb even with low turnout, but Saccone has the best chance in such a scenario

I doubt that high turnout would somehow benefit Lamb more though

That's the margin of error. Combine that with the great Trump rally, and Saccone is looking better than what most expect.

@everyone

the area below that also is gonna have some snow showers

a new Emerson poll,

is it bad

DONT @ EVERYONE PEOPLE

ITS FRACKING ANNOYING

FUUUUUUUUU

@everyone cum here

it shows Lamb leading by +3, well within the MOE

this is a coin toss race

Before or after the rally?

When was it conducted?

"within 48 hours" of 2:29 PM PST today

What turnout are they expecting?

What's the actual margin of error?

no way of predicting turnout

4.8 MOE

I think the rally was started around a few hours from then. Most of the poll probably was conducted before the rally.

Pray for a win.

Why do we care about this so much?

um

Dude

the whole point of the server is to win elections

Because it sends an extremely important message to Trump if we win.

we should do a call where I explain the consequences of this race

This is the first time he's really rallied for a candidate, hasn't he? Did he hold rallies for Handel?

@FLanon he didn't hold rallies for Handel, but I think he endorsed her

He definitely endorsed her.

WE'RE ALL GOING TO MAKE IT

somebody, anybody, whitepill right now

SACCONE WILL WIN

i'm blackpilled af

The polls are within the margin of error and held before the rally.

<:wojaktrump:422438927631384577> <:wojaktrump:422438927631384577> <:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

Anyways, both Moore and Gillespie lost after Trump decided not to campaign for them, hopefully, if Saccone grabs that seat, Trump adds two and two together.

I have the Tism

I have many tisms

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Why haven't you long ago realized that the polls were agenda pushing since two years ago ?

@Deleted User okay, kid, what will you do if Lamb wins?

Keep on working to make a Red Storm

I'm not one of those faggots who cry and panic after a setback

the proper response is always to keep fighting

I would spam online about how candidate quality matters and probably post the pastebin of candidates for the primaries.

especially when things get hopeless

and even when things look certain

I'm a going to shill like crazy just fyi

the blackpills will be unrelenting

just a warning in case you believe Lamb is going to win

some of you are alright,

don't show up to Red Storm tomorrow

I don't know, the rally gives me a good feeling.

we'll see

In a seemingly close race like this, turnout is what counts, the rallies have to count for some effect, right?

sure

<:brainletwojak:422441696899629057>

Wait button mash

Are you not concern shilling now,

?

excuse me? <:tfwtoointelligent:422441104391274497>

"Just a warning in case you believe lamb is going to win."

You think he's gunna lose?

<:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648> <:soyboymeme:422497419838619648>

Just heard a funny quote from a western Pennsylvania man interviewed by PBS "The Democrats drink Budweiser and the Republicans drink Bud Light, after a few drinks you can't tell them apart." Perfect description of these swing voters imo.

Swing voters are retarded

who resized the emojis?

Like the most look warm and shallow people ever

because Thank you

<:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810> <:jeb:422443179887820810>

byooful

@FLanon screencap this for tomorrow:

I-It's all over now...Saccone lost...why didn't you listen...B-blue tsunami confirmed... <:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

Stop spreading blackpills

We didn't need the blackpill in 2016 and we refuse to have it now

🇺🇸

that concludes my blackpills for today

Go lift

Lifting helps me whenever I'm down

naw

Yee

ok

tfw had to make 6 blackpill screencaps

I need a fucking folder for this shit

lol let me see

running on win7 like an absolute champ

hey leave @zakattack04 out of this, he's a good lad

he is

he did add to the blackpill tho

i alone will take the arrows and slings for my blackpills

ok

ill just bin that one then

I don't know what's happening now >.>

what's up

Are suppose to be panicking or fighting

im to chill

xD your blackpill folder

Are there any Amish that live within the congressional district? Their vote is very helpful for Republicans.

@Den probably can answer that

@zakattack04 you're supposed to never panic

at this point it may be a little late to drive them to the polls unless we have them start the walk tonight

It's hard not too when you've grown up here.

With "Progressives"

And seeing how they unironically want to destroy America, and how they're gaining power

t. Californian

@Deleted User @FLanon 👀

@FLanon this is not Republicanland

>democrats always vote for democrats

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 they voted for Romney at nearly the same margin as they did with Trump

can't wait until 24 hours from now

No Amish in the district

what's your prediction @Deleted User

Was there a last minute Trump bump for saccone o no?

@jpc1976 the polls don't really account for the Trump bump

they were done mostly before that point

I think it's a Saccone victory

classic case of polling error

looking forward to the Democrats getting demoralized even further in 24 hours

well, unfortunately, if they lose, they can consider it status quo

they can certainly spin it if they are close

we need a big league victory

I thought Gianforte was going to lose after body slamming that guy, so I guess that was a big win

@jpc1976 well, they're expecting to win now because of the polls

they're bound to get disappointed

i need something to get my mind off our impending loss,

any good non-political /ourguy/ youtubers that i'm not aware of?

non-political...eh...

give me a genre...

culture