Like you said, he won with 67.2% but the majority of the people don't like Trump and blame all of the Republican Party for it, all of them.

Oklahoma HD-51 is now fully reported. GOP hold here will a 72.13%-27.87% margin.

This represents a 20.71% margin shift from the 2016 Presidential margin in the district.

**AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH**

@everyone I'm coming up with a Gubernatorial List right now

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 no boost from Trump, no shit

not surprising to see special elections for state legislatures go that way

@Deleted User SAY IT WITH ME

BLUE WAVE

you should go "AHHHH" to Ronna Romney McDaniel

🌊 🌊 🌊

@Mercer btw don't mind Button Mash, he's the resident low-T panicker

i think it's going to be closer in the Senate than we think

@Deleted User @Mercer
Average shift in 2018 specials is 26%.
Average since 2016 is 13%
This + polling predicts a 10-11% D win in November. That’s ~230 seat territory

lol it doesn't mean it'll turn out that way

I'm a mathematics tutor, but

elections are about more than just numbers

they're about the human factor more than anything

psychology is more important than math

when it comes to politics

Democratic turnout in the TX Senate race:

2018 senate with 1% (!) reporting: 426k votes cast

2014 was 510K TOTAL votes.

There’s something blue happening in the Lone Star State

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Commiefornia colonists

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lol, we'll still win and usher in a Red Storm

Red with Lead

COGNITIVE

dissonance!!!

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lol we'z gonna win niqqa

again,

compare the total votes

Shit sucks, there's no point saying this to just a discord with ~120 people in it.

so far:

>Dems: 441,662
>Reps: 586,205

^ Senate

You oughta take the complaints to the RNC.

lol, Reps are ahead

Only so much that can be done on the ground, really.

no point whining lmao

in tx

we's gunna winn

@FLanon i sent an op-ed piece to the NYTimes

the next is one you

Yep, good stuff.

i did my part, bucko

I'll see what can be done around me.

The situation is tough, definitely.

Why does JIDF shill so hard on 4Chan?

Cause Gary resgined

Literally right after that story broke they were all over /pol/

Who is Gary?

<@&414478847266783243> REMINDER THAT EVEN IF DEMOCRATS GOT A "MUH 105% BOOST" THEY STILL LOSE

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1520389530466.png

That's just one election though

Big thing with these Texas elections in particular that are different than 2014 are there's not as many new faces.

Abbott was new in 2014, Cruz was new in 2012, that may be a cause of lower turnout in a primary election due to lower competition.

this is what happens when you have an influx of Hispanics

>s. Kilgore

Yeah, that's another problem. I think it may be leftists moving into Texas more than hispanics.

Kilgore?!

Hispanics have a very low voter turnout, while liberals pouring in from cali will be more politically involved.

Demographics do remain a big problem in Texas though. The field is also less competitive on the R side than in 2012 or 2014 which leads to people not caring to turnout as they know what the result may be.

We definitely shouldn't ignore low turnout though, even if there's a chance something else may be the cause.

BREAKING | Incumbent Nico LaHood concedes Bexar County DA race:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nico_LaHood

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 >Bexar County DA race

how is this significant

this is my first time hearing of "Bexar County"

"LaHood was arrested in June 1994 for attempting to sell 200 Ecstasy pills worth $3,600, with a firearm to an undercover police officer at a strip club."

first person unseated

"LaHood also stated that Islam is a "horrifically violent" religion"

lmao wow

Yeah this guy wasn't going to make it another round in this environment.

RIP madman dem boi

With THREE PERCENT of precincts reporting (+ early vote), Texas Democrats have cast more votes than they did in the ENTIRETY of 2014 voting. That’s just nuts. Haven’t ever seen something like this.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 doesn't matter

Texas Republicans are also shooting WAYYYYY past their 2014 total

Where are results?

looks like higher turnout from both sides

MOTIVATION

@Pielover19 https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/texas-primary-election

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 with 3%, GOP total was ~600,000 which is proportionally much greater than their 2014 total

From greatest to least which demoshit senators could we make memes out of?

There was never any question Rs would cast more TX primary ballots than Ds. Question is what final ratio looks like. Was 2-1 R in both 2010 & 2014.

@Deleted User

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Yeah, and it still looks like it's much more

Turnout up on both sides, huh?

@Pielover19

Yeah

I think 2018 will be a case of high turnout on BOTH sides

everywhere

Ohio is going to be red so hard

based on what

That mick bastard ShartInMart Brown is an awful person and isn’t that popular

Only niggers and college kids love him

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 based on what's currently happening in Texas

turnout for GOP seems much, much higher than in 2014

TX primary turnout in recent midterms:

2006: 56% R, 44% D
2010: 69% R, 31% D
2014: 71% R, 29% D
Tonight: ??, ??

But so far, a whole lot closer to 2006 than 2010/2014.

"AnxietyDepressedFun"

lmao

>reddit

PANIC

Shit my twitter just got shut down

Sucks

What was your @?

AHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHA

"8 of 8 precincts reporting"

I'm imagining 6 or 7 polling places with some guy sitting on his ass doing nothing for the entire day, waiting for someone to show up

I would write myself in in that case.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Borden_County,_Texas

641 population

damn

Foard County currently has no GOP primary votes at all and more than 200 Dem votes.

oh shit

there were only 205 Foard County votes for Governor in 2014

Republican ones that is!

guys, remember

they count the big city votes last

this margin will close

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 lol Travis county has already finished counting

that's where Austin is located

@Deleted User Republicans are getting destroyed in TX-23...

Sad!

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Sauce?

I only see percentages

19.5K Republican primary votes (15K/80% Hurd) and 32K Democrat primary votes

(four major candidates, leading Dem has 39.7% -- hopefully to the detriment of their party)

29th is even worse

4-way Republican race, 4K Republican votes, <50% for the leader

Over 11K Democrat votes, mostly uniting around their candidate

hmm

you're looking at the Texas SoS site?

NY Times

I only see the percentages on the NY TImes

oh, just noticed there are sections for certain districts

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/texas-house-district-23-primary-election

meh, Hurd can still pull this off if he busts his ass

I TOLD YOU SO

REPUBLICANS ARE GOING DOWN IN FLAMES

lol they're pulling off a Red Storm

with our help, of course

Button Mash are you serious or kidding

@Nuke he fake-panics about an imminent blue wave to motivate himself and to motivate us

@Nuke we're going to lose TX-7, TX-23, and TX-32

I'm sorry, but there is NO way in hell I will accept my district TX-7 flipping blue

Did you vote today?

@Federal Agent Jim Goad the GOP only lead in TX-7 by 1665 votes

@Federal Agent Jim Goad please tell me you voted

Vote in November.

^from early voting last Monday

@Federal Agent Jim Goad well you're going to need to get as many people to vote GOP in November to fix this

You bet I'm voting in November. Going to encourage my family and friends to go vote for Culberson

Although he is a fatass

But whatever I'm voting for him anyways

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1520398425835.jpg

>I WILL TEACH THEM

I wonder if I'm allowed to vote in the Democratic run off 🤔

SECEDE Kilgore is awesome.

I love his campaign slogan. It's the same every election he runs in "Secede first, solve everything else later"

Lying in bed unable to sleep

So here are the approximate final results

So we win then :^)

wew

@Deleted User

@Federal Agent Jim Goad You should volunteer for a campaign. I volunteered with Trump and I plan on Volunteering with the Republican running for Pa Gov. it's really fun. They give you a list of Republicans in your neighborhood and you go walk around and talk to them. I did like 150 doors and not one person yelled at me. I enjoyed talking to the people

Gravis has Saccone at +3

And that is now the newest poll.

"On Tuesday, March 13th, voters in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District will go to the polls in what has become the highest profile special election since Doug Jones beat Roy Moore in December. Gravis Marketing has released their third and final poll in this race. The Likely voter poll, conducted March 1st-5th, shows the race continuing to tighten into a toss-up. The poll uses the same demographic model as the previous two Gravis Marketing polls of the race.

The State Representative Rick Saccone now leads former assistant U.S. Attorney Connor Lamb 45%-42%. The previous poll in February had Saccone up 45%-40%, and the first poll in January showed Saccone up 46%-34%. The race has undeniably tightened as Saccone’s support has been frozen in the 45%-46% range while Lamb’s support has climbed from 34% to 42%. While Saccone remains the favorite to win this race, there is a clear path to victory for Lamb. 13% of likely voters remain undecided.

Saccone is currently pulling 4% of Clinton voters while Lamb is taking 13.1% of Trump voters. Saccone, however, takes 16% of Democrat compared to Lamb’s 12.3% of Republicans. Lamb holds a 46%-27% lead over independent voters.

Donald Trump’s approval rating has taken a slight hit in the district over the three polls showing only a slight trend downward from 54%-39% in January to 49%-42% in the first week of March. Governor Wolf has remained stable and currently sits at 33%-47% in the district. Senator Casey’s numbers have also remained static and are currently at 33%-38%."

http://orlando-politics.com/2018/03/07/gravis-marketing-final-pa-cd18-special-election-poll-results/

>Lamb holds an enormous lead over independent voters

oh shit

Concerning

@Den I'll consider it. I could definitely find time. Thanks for the idea.

TX-7: +4856 R votes

TX-23: +13,369 D votes (!)

TX-32: +1275 R votes

@Nuke @🎃Boo-ton🎃 Lamb holds that lead because of his grassroots style campaigning, not that he's a Democrat

The issue with Texas, is that Dems don't turn out to primaries. In 2014 they had a 3-1 election to primary ratio. While the GOP had a 2-1 ratio. This is kinda scary. Hopefully the trump effect just had them come out to primaries, and it's not an indication of a surge in overall Dem voters.

^this

@Deleted User what makes you think that ratio will be the same though

in 2014, the issue was the Dems being apathetic...which means that a 3-1 primary ratio in 2014 makes sense because the people who vote in primaries are the people who care

Why is PA going to Cuck itself

@zakattack04 if you're referring to PA-18 it's because Lamb is an attractive, grassroots candidate who is busting his ass

and is marketing himself as a conservative Democrat

it's not that they're liking the Democrats more all of a sudden

same thing with Jon Ossoff

Well great... Just what we need is to lose another pro trump district to energize democrats even more..

Ossoff came close because he marketed himself as a conservative Democrat

@zakattack04 yeah, that's the main issue

I think the GOP needs to focus on winning these races to DEMORALIZE the Democrats

not because they need to keep seats in their supermajorities

it's a "kick the enemy while they're down, not because they're a threat right now but because they could be a threat later"

kind of thing

if I was in charge of the GOP, that would be my rationale

instead, Ronna Romney McDaniel is choosing to save up the $ for when midterm season is in full swing

I got a terrible feeling were going to get clobbered in the midterms

Maybe that's a good idea thouh

Cause the DNC is broke right now

@zakattack04 the DNC is broke but D candidates still get donors

@zakattack04 I have a feeling that the GOP will put up an actual fight in the actual midterms though

not every Democrat candidate will be like Conor Lamb

or Jon Ossoff

this looks like a repeat of GA-06, which came close

now, it might come close in the Democrat's favor

we'll see

Ughhh... I dunno man

Trump is showing up in the district on Saturday

Oh cool!

Haha yes, trump rally xD

<@&414473406264639488> lol you guys need to stop panicking. Panicking is useless. Are they putting estrogen in your water supply or something?

No other way to energize those blue collar industrial workers without him there

(well, there's likely estrogen in everyone's water these days)

I've been in panic mode since Virginia

yeah, but panic mode can be counterproductive

what's more productive is having concern, but being calm and optimistic and willing to fight

True

Can't be optimistic living here though :(

I've been in panic mode since 2016 when I saw the 2016 house results

@Deleted User I'm hoping the Trump effect only got the usual midterm voters to actually go to the primary polls. I am hoping this jump in numbers isn't from a really high turnout overall like we saw in AL

Trump's showing up on saturday?

This is definitely a good thing and could decide the election, Trump gets crowds and he gets people motivated. Twitter isn't what wins elections, if he makes a rally in the district and Saccone wins, he could see that that makes the difference.

He'll need to talk tariffs specifically.

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 why? GOP only lost 6 seats and the average swing is 23.

I made this one seem more professional.

Be sure to send it everywhere.

The fossil fuel thing will wreck him in the district

@Nuke looks fantastic

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Congress/comments/82shim/red_storm_report_3618_edition_excellent/

@everyone which one of you is this guy lol

https://i.redd.it/kmmdbxgt3fk01.png

@Deleted User What's the NM thing?

http://www.kob.com/new-mexico-news/election-results-new-mexico/4816363/

I think it's this

How'd that get under the radar?

they're Mayoral elections

hmm

http://www.twitter.com/NewMexicoGOP

"For the first time in over 40 years, Espanola has elected a Republican as their next mayor. ✅

Congrats Javier Sanchez!
#nmpol"

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Española,_New_Mexico

um

no sweetie!

A local election is not worth getting excited over

of course not, but we want to see how demographics are voting

"84.38% of the population were Hispanic or Latino of any race."