it's about setting priorities in strategy

But saying the same news over and over with the "IT'S OVER" and "TICK TOCK" shit doesn't do anything

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 I saw the Mark Bennett pick. Awful on guns.

https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/996119678551552000
This should've been his original tweet

Trump needs to improve with his optics.

And I told you guys, a good trade deal with China and North Korea played into this.

Alongside it benefitting US manufacturers.

Button Mash in a Nutshell: DRUMPF IS GAY!

Hi still not convinced Button mash is on our side, I'm Dad!

lol who said that

>muh 4d chess

because it really is le 4d chess sometimes

also, sauce on those picks

because of your...reputation it could be hyperbole on your partr

Missouri Senate GE:
Claire McCaskill (D) 48% (+4)
Josh Hawley (R) 44%

TJP Strategies/Missouri Scout 5/9-10
https://t.co/opHXqf9vcq #MOsen https://t.co/GPI8rCS8vQ

@FLanon @Deleted User <:wojaktrump:422438927631384577>

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 <:trumpepe:422440305548066818>

LOL

MISSOURI

LOLOLOL

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 didn't trump carry this state by like 20+ points!?

Leave it to the Republican Party to find someone capable of losing a 20+ point lead...

But FLanon would tell me this is good news, that's right

I must be mistaken

I agree! @zakattack04

Um no Sweetie

It was 19.1 points <:tfwtoointelligent:422441104391274497>

lol as I said before

same thing applies to Heller in Nevada

if an incumbent is only leading slightly this early in the game, it's not a good sign for that incumbent

>inb4 I get accused of being an overly optimistic cultist

also, as a New Yorker, I'm seeing advertisements for this guy named Bob Hugin who is running against Bob Menendez

apparently he thinks he has enough of a chance that I actually am seeing his ads this early in the game

he's probably pretty moderate (ala Scott Brown) but....better than Menendez

and imagine what it would look like to take New Jersey in a year when the left is rambling on about le blue wave

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 Who's running to replace Ryan in his district?

The days

I remember reading these books for days

Saying "OMFG Trump Can Win"

"I Know it"

I remember my teacher telling me that the book lies lol

Hilary's America?

@Deleted User

Which book lies?

Yep

Hillary's America

Didn't he make a documentary off of it too?

The documentary is amazing

I'll have to check it out.

MISSOURI
Gov. Eric Greitens (R) Job Approval:
Approve 34%
Disapprove 53%

TJP Strategies/Missouri Scout 5/9-10
https://t.co/opHXqf9vcq

Oof

he's been in quite a few scandals

Out of all of them, how many are fake and gay?

Most of them.

@Rhodesiaboo yfw everyday

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 *im an Annoying autistic faggot who keeps splerging out and acts like a bot like the shill I am*

@everyone

Who's party should I go to, Dean Browning or Marty Nothstein's?

What’s up peeps

MISSOURI
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 50%
Disapprove 44%

TJP Strategies/Missouri Scout 5/9-10
https://t.co/atK3VS8RvB

"Polls show McCaskill tanking"

>literally 4 points ahead

only 4 points ahead is shitty as an incumbent

it's not hard for Hawley to gain ground at all

That's not true.

that's what I've been saying

at the same time, it's not hard for Rosen to gain ground over Heller

@zakattack04 It says Greitens tanking

🆙 | **Button leveled up!**

Oh yeah

You're right

I can read

Who's Greitens?

@🎃Boo-ton🎃

Major set of elections tomorrow, gentlemen.

May 15th.

https://ballotpedia.org/Elections_calendar

Whoooo!

This will be fun!

More things to stress over when the democrats get their standard 20 point swing amirite? @🎃Boo-ton🎃

it's the primaries

we're going to be looking at turnout relative to 2014

not a swing in a D vs R race

@zakattack04 **20**

2014 or 2012

by the way everyone, the thing we'll be focusing on the most tomorrow is how many people turn out for the GOP primaries and the Dem primaries in Pennsylvania

yes

@FLanon 2014 is the last midterm year

I don't think it's particularly fitting to compare things to Presidential years

certain states had their last senate race in 2012

PA had it in 2014 though

also, keep in mind that

1. If the GOP gets more votes in the primaries than the D's, it doesn't mean the GOP will win the Senate and Governor seats

2. If the Democrats get more votes....same thing

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania_gubernatorial_election,_2014

How much cheating do you think the democrats will do?

nvm it was in 2016

ok, so in 2014, the Republicans got 373,465 votes in their primary and the Democrats got 845,009

i'm talking senate with the 2016 figure

Hi talking senate with the 2016 figure, I'm Dad!

@Deleted User I disagree

You see how it works

Tom Wolf won the election with 1,920,355 to 1,575,511 (his opponent was a Republican named Tom Corbett)

2014 for governor is what we want, yes

Is if we get more votes in the primary, the democrats win the midterm

lemme check the ratios

If we gets less votes in the primary

The democrats win the midterm

(sarcasm)

lmao

yes

blue wave

anyway, Bob Casey is harder to unseat than Joe Donnelly, no doubt about that

it's over

unless we find out he molests kids

*If you kill your enemies, they win*

You're not going to unseat Bob Casey.

@Deleted User Like what 90% of the Democrat party does but only 1% admits it

The full might of the Democrat party is behind that homo

uh, I'm not, but Lou Barletta might

NAh you saw the PA-18 rally.

When Trump brought up Barletta the crowd even booed

Conor Lamb is more charismatic than Bob Casey

well, let's see what happens

Lou Barletta is clearly the underdog

but does that mean he's 100% guaranteed to lose ? Nope

I'm saying that even Trump's supporters don't want to get rid of Bob Casey is.

Hi saying that even Trump's supporters don't want to get rid of Bob Casey is., I'm Dad!

well, maybe we could tap into that amish vote

Really.

Yes

We're going to reach people that don't use the internet by making memes on the internet.

Smart strategy

>memes on the internet

posters, signs

the blue-to-red states -- Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, are harder than states like Indiana, but they're not impossible

Who do we have from PA that wants to drive to an Amish place and post signs of your memes.

get some pictures of these fags saying they want to indoctrinate children and tell them they're next

Well we need to take Wisconsin and Michigan if we want to do anything we want to accomplish.

we need to grab all we can get

Michigan Governor is looking really bad now, Wisconsin US Senate.

Would Ohio be considered a blue to red state or is it just a swing state?

oh, here's one thing to keep in mind from that Wikipedia article on the 2014 PA gubernatorial election

swing I think

Ohio is like purple.

but leaning reddish

Leans red.

"Corbett was considered vulnerable, as reflected in his low approval ratings. An August 2013 Franklin & Marshall College poll found that only 17% of voters thought Corbett was doing an "excellent" or "good" job, only 20% thought he deserved to be reelected, and 62% said the state was "off on the wrong track".[3] Politico called Corbett the most vulnerable incumbent governor in the United States,[4] The Washington Post ranked the election as the most likely for a party switch,[5] and the majority of election forecasters rated it "likely Democratic"."

hivemind

Because red state legislature.

basically, Tom Corbett was the Bruce Rauner of 2014

Who is this^

Oh.

Alright, lemme say something about the ratios

I think we all agree that Bruce Rauner is doomed, not that we really care

You're trying to beat Tom Wolf?

now, as I said, it's not guaranteed

In the primaries, there were 2.2 Democratic votes for each Republican vote

In the general, that was 1.2

easy win still.

Lol

1.2

there's nothing magical about politics. Rauner can win. Democrats can win Mississippi. Will they? Probably not

Illinois has always had shitty governors, I know that many governors got sent to prison for Shit they did.

Illinois is just a shitty state now

yeah, pretty easy win

@FLanon

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pennsylvania_gubernatorial_election,_2010

see if that ratio holds for 2010

Chicago runs it into the ground.

but it shows they have a major foothold in the primaries

>red Pittsburg

My dad is forced to work as an accountant for the state

lol yeah right

Youi need a Trump type of guy to get that.

And the GOP won't pick someone like that.

They're going to run

Saccone!

xD

Didn’t Rauner become Governor because the last Governor got in prison for some shit he did?

interestingly enough, in 2010, there were 857,142 votes in the GOP primary for the Governor race

in 2014, it dropped to 373,465

now that's because

1. There was also a Senate race in 2010 in PA

2. Tom Corbett apparently disappointed many PA Republicans after he got elected

In the primaries 2010, the ratio is 1.2 Dem votes for each R vote

@Rhodesiaboo I don't know.

In the general, that became 0.84

(R win)

@Rhodesiaboo Well also because 2010 was the year of the republican

wait

So, if we manage to make it slim, that's a good indicator

I pinged the wrong person

@FLanon yeah, the thing is, 2014 in PA was a mediocre time for the Republicans

now, they did well in other parts of the country, but it just goes to show what kind of an effect a shitty incumbent will have

If it's 2:1, it's a bad sign

@zakattack04 both 2010 and 2014 were GOP dominated years

2014 I'd say was a good year

that's why it's not all about trends

eh

there can be special cases that defy the norm

We've had better

like PA

Now, remember this.

with an unpopular incumbent

No matter what happens, we fight hard and to our largest capacity.

Races to keep your eyes on in tomorrow’s primary and special elections:

PA Senate GOP primary
PA05 Dem primary (whoever wins probably wins seat)
PA07 Dem primary
PA14 (RICK SACCONE IS BACK)
NE02 turnout

PA178 (special): R+7
PA48 (special): R+15

No you're kidding...

Saccone is back?

Yep!

@zakattack04 Saccone is running for a redder district

NO

Push him to the floor

GO AWAY

the newly redistrictred PA-14 is more safely GOP than the previous PA-18

he shouldn't be in politics after that embarrassment

now, he still shouldn't be running, but it's not as big of a deal as running in a more swing district

+20 R district lmao

Wathc him lose it again.

fucking lazy old deadbeat

So what's the deal with PA-05

PA-05,

Nebraska-02, I'm assuming that's the very small one, right?

near Omaha

Yes

LOL

@FLanon Nebraska-02 went for Obama in 2008

He got moved across the state

Ok PA Supreme Court..

@zakattack04 with a bad dem, it could flip

likely won't tho

Nebraska is one of those states, like Maine, where you can win specific districts for their electoral vote

those seem in short supply this year unfortunately

yeah but that doesn't happen

How will the Drumpf administration ever recover

It did in 2008

*5 months later*

*loses 36 seats in the US House*

Is Den still here

Poor guy.

He goes by Jax now

Oh

We bombarded him so hard on that special election day

I can see it now

@Den Don't fail us this time

I'm worried we could lose 3-4 seats in PA alone

Hi worried we could lose 3-4 seats in PA alone, I'm Dad!

Fuck you, bot

Button: "How was turn out!?"
Den: "There was a lot of people there."
Button: "It's over..."

And you were right Button

Exactly

Alright so I'm looking at Nebraska-02

High turnout will typically always benefit the Democrats

despite an energized opposition,

In 2014 the incumbent R had a tough primary challenge, but there were a ton more people in the R primary than the dem

Lost the seat

the GOP triumphed also because of low turnout in 2010

Who's that blackpiller from Nebraska