midterms-discussions

Discord ID: 399676530394923010


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2018-02-08 20:15:27 UTC

have gun, will travel

2018-02-08 21:31:21 UTC

there's a shitload of shills in there with meme flags

2018-02-08 21:31:36 UTC

its almost funny how hard they try to push

2018-02-08 21:56:09 UTC

what should we do about the Nat-Sco invading the thread? They (likely a leftist irl) is just derailing the thread

2018-02-08 21:56:25 UTC

just let them bump the thread for us

2018-02-08 21:56:29 UTC

start discussion about the general

2018-02-08 21:56:30 UTC

and spice up the discussion

2018-02-08 21:56:37 UTC

they give the threads some momentum

2018-02-08 22:32:14 UTC

updated for today

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411288141526466571/223_seats.png

2018-02-08 23:04:34 UTC

currently using this link as reference

2018-02-08 23:20:38 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411300321587888129/Washington.PNG

2018-02-08 23:20:43 UTC
2018-02-08 23:21:11 UTC

I more inclined to believe WA-08 will flip

2018-02-08 23:21:52 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411300634013335563/North_Carolina.PNG

2018-02-08 23:21:58 UTC
2018-02-08 23:22:49 UTC

no districts in NC will change

2018-02-09 04:57:29 UTC

opinion:

2018-02-09 04:58:29 UTC

it won't be enough for us to be anti-left and rely on liberals making fools of themselves. we on the right need to trout out a list of accomplishments come november (ex. tax cuts)

2018-02-09 05:19:50 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411390717454319616/public_policy_2018.png

2018-02-09 05:20:35 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411390907116552192/partisan_divide.png

2018-02-09 06:10:15 UTC

What's going on? Why isn't Rick Scott running as senator for Florida yet?

2018-02-09 06:10:20 UTC

just curious

2018-02-09 11:37:15 UTC

Scott's busy w/ governorship atm, he's got to announce a run, he's anticipated to and hasn't signalled anything pointing towards the contrary.

2018-02-09 11:39:19 UTC

@๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ the GOP should be acting on many of the reforms Trump proposed in the SOTU, these are things any American could agree with and would be a major gain.

2018-02-09 11:40:42 UTC

As for list of accomplishments, I think places like /ptg/ have a list of accomplishments in a pastebin

2018-02-09 12:11:51 UTC

โ€œPoliticians typically are thinking about their next job; Iโ€™ve got to continue finishing this job,โ€ Scott said when asked if his higher approval ratings make him more likely to run for the Senate."

2018-02-09 12:55:03 UTC

@FLanon I recall hearing about Rick Scott's unpopularity back then

2018-02-09 12:55:13 UTC

What made him more popular in the last couple years

2018-02-09 15:22:40 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411542427493597205/Red_Storm_-_States.doc

2018-02-09 15:22:46 UTC

I updated the state by state guide

2018-02-09 15:22:59 UTC

@everyone

2018-02-09 15:55:20 UTC

@FLanon he hesistating because FL has an extensive history of punishing the party in power during midterm elections

2018-02-09 17:02:16 UTC

egad,

2018-02-09 17:02:32 UTC

The Democrats are back at a +7.5 lead

2018-02-09 17:03:57 UTC

But isn't that because that Marost poll that appears to be an utlier? It has Trump's Approval numbers below most other polls as well

2018-02-09 17:06:05 UTC

WaPo is also saying that the Cook Political Ratings for the House have shifted towards the Dems favor. But I don't know how. There are currently 16 GOP house seats rated tossup or worse to 4 Dem Seats. So even if some miracle happened and they picked up all those while we got 0 they would still be 8 seats short from the house.

2018-02-09 17:06:26 UTC

Outlier. I mean I have no clue why I spelled it that way

2018-02-09 17:38:11 UTC

@๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ they're still lower than the double digit lead they had

2018-02-09 17:38:30 UTC

I predict it'll go wayyyy down over the next few months

2018-02-09 17:38:54 UTC

This is a list of Democrat House Reps who are incumbents in districts that Trump won. These will be especially vulnerable this November, and because Democrats need to flip 24 seats to win a majority, they cannot afford to lose any of these seats. Letโ€™s make sure they lose all of them.

AZ-01 Tom Oโ€™Halleran, 2016 House Margin (7.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.1% for Trump)

IA-02 David Loebsack, 2016 House Margin (7.5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (4.1% for Trump)

MN-01 Timothy Walz , Retiring, 2016 House Margin (0.8% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (14.9% for Trump)

MN-07 Collin Peterson, 2016 House Margin (5% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (30.8% for Trump)

MN-08 Rick Nolan, 2016 House Margin (0.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (15.6% for Trump)

NH-01 Carol-Shea Porter, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.6% for Trump)

NJ-05 Josh Gottheimer, 2016 House Margin (4.4% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.0% for Trump)

NV-03 Jacky Rosen, Retiring, 2016 House Margin (1.3% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1% for Trump)

NY-18 Sean P. Maloney, 2016 House Margin (11.2% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (1.9% for Trump)

PA-17 Matthew Cartwright, 2016 House Margin (7.6% for Democrat), 2016 Presidential Margin (10.1% for Trump)

WI-03 Ron Kind, 2016 House Margin (99%, faced no opponent aside from write-in) 2016 Presidential Margin (4.5% for Trump)

2018-02-09 17:39:16 UTC

@everyone anyone here live in any of these districts ?

2018-02-09 17:40:24 UTC

if the GOP wins all of these, the Dems will have to flip 35 other seats to compensate

2018-02-09 17:42:25 UTC

I am NH-2, but I can shill for NH-1, they are just a town away for area

2018-02-09 17:43:10 UTC

Would rather be rid of Stumps in NH-1, but we need a better known person locally for a canidate

2018-02-09 17:58:45 UTC

@Linkueigman NH-02 is also a competitive district, but one that Clinton won by slight margins

2018-02-09 17:58:53 UTC

MN-01 is the most likely to flip

2018-02-09 17:59:14 UTC

@๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ Yeah, looks like it

2018-02-09 18:00:48 UTC

I think the 2 competitive Nevada races are likely to flip as well. Those are places that will benefit a lot from the tax cuts. People who fled California for Taxes

2018-02-09 18:09:05 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411584306360745994/wvsen.jpg

2018-02-09 18:12:35 UTC

whenever I post the Discord link in /ptg/ I get accused of being CIA

2018-02-09 18:12:47 UTC

apparently Discord data mines us

2018-02-09 18:13:19 UTC

What do you guys think of that? I don't think it really matters because it's not like Discord will share our info with ANTIFAgs or something like that

2018-02-09 18:17:26 UTC

They will

2018-02-09 18:17:37 UTC

Take a quick look into who owns Discord

2018-02-09 18:17:47 UTC

staunch democunt

2018-02-09 18:21:22 UTC

do you guys think we should consider transferring to another place

2018-02-09 18:21:32 UTC

he also was sued for selling user data twice before

2018-02-09 18:21:37 UTC

on his last two platforms

2018-02-09 18:21:51 UTC

sheeeittt

2018-02-09 18:23:11 UTC

there's details about the guy in that vid

2018-02-09 18:23:13 UTC

and links

2018-02-09 18:27:14 UTC

what alternatives can we use ?

2018-02-09 18:27:20 UTC

riot ? IRC ? A forum ?

2018-02-09 18:38:46 UTC

I guess we can stick to Discord for now

2018-02-09 19:11:56 UTC

Nah, we'll stick w/ Discord

2018-02-09 19:16:04 UTC

Remember to use a "throw away email" website when creating accounts

2018-02-09 19:16:20 UTC

I'm using one rn so I'm fine

2018-02-09 19:21:56 UTC

@Red Storm (in NYC) that list of districts trump won w/ Dems is useful, add that to some sort of document or pin it

2018-02-09 19:22:17 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411602726833750016/Vulnerable_Democrat_House_Reps.docx

2018-02-09 19:22:19 UTC
2018-02-09 19:29:36 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411604570708639744/Vulnerable_Democrat_House_Reps.docx

2018-02-09 19:29:43 UTC

@FLanon I just updated it

2018-02-09 19:33:19 UTC

alright, great

2018-02-09 19:49:17 UTC

I wouldn't be too worried about data

2018-02-09 19:50:17 UTC

Thing is we've really got to be comprehensive, we must get it righht.

2018-02-09 20:02:29 UTC

oh my god

2018-02-09 20:02:40 UTC

this is one of the candidates for the GOP nomination for the Senate race, against Kirsten Gillibrand

2018-02-09 20:02:46 UTC

here in NY

2018-02-09 20:02:58 UTC

"This is like a Tyrany on our Government! We've been giving wemen rights on every issue in government for 29 years!Over even Military issues.Other Americans wants some rights too Now! Can somebody else in America get a chance?"

2018-02-09 20:03:13 UTC

"Crime will always be apart of life,but it's the staged ones that is an injustice for all!"

2018-02-09 20:03:43 UTC

"Blacks can recieve Respirations in the form of Government Grant money! This issue must be redressed before we as an United Government take one more step! It would be unamerican not to do so? All Men to recieve thier rights in that act alone!"

2018-02-09 20:03:44 UTC

what the fuck

2018-02-09 20:35:54 UTC

What a mess

2018-02-09 20:58:58 UTC

!!!

2018-02-09 20:59:07 UTC

MN-08 is retiring!

2018-02-09 20:59:31 UTC

another Dem seat moving in the GOP's favor

2018-02-09 21:03:28 UTC

updated

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411628192160415745/mn08_updated.jpg

2018-02-09 21:15:26 UTC

Damn, these representatives seem to be dropping like flies

2018-02-09 21:16:52 UTC

The fact is we're actually lucky to be able to hold reps in union-dominated regions of MN, southwestern mestizo-majority Texas, etc.

2018-02-09 21:17:22 UTC

Some of these districts are just getting tons of internal migration from Massachusetts, coastal California, and other left-wing areas, so they get blued.

2018-02-09 21:17:54 UTC

But we'll win

2018-02-09 21:18:18 UTC

I think we ought to have at least 230 in house, 55 in senate

2018-02-09 21:20:12 UTC

Remember, it's about margins, not just keeping a majority.

2018-02-09 21:20:54 UTC

You get a hanful of amnesty cucks in either chamber and it all comes crashing down.

2018-02-09 21:21:33 UTC

Trump doesn't have a majority in the Senate, the amnesty coalition does.

2018-02-09 21:22:21 UTC

Indeed.

2018-02-09 22:11:02 UTC

@everyone

2018-02-09 22:11:12 UTC

538

2018-02-09 22:11:22 UTC

updated

2018-02-09 22:11:23 UTC

the 7.5 lead is down to...

2018-02-09 22:11:40 UTC

6.9

2018-02-09 22:12:07 UTC

this is due to an ipsos poll showing the Democrats at a 3-4 lead

2018-02-09 22:12:17 UTC

good news

2018-02-09 22:31:58 UTC

lel

2018-02-09 22:36:27 UTC

@everyone Can someone willing to taint themselves with leddit post my copypasta into this subreddit

2018-02-09 22:36:40 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411651644951101443/Vulnerable_Democrat_House_Reps.docx

2018-02-09 22:50:17 UTC

actually nvm I'll do it

2018-02-09 22:55:20 UTC

Ipsos, huh? They had a poll from about a week ago showing D+9

2018-02-09 22:55:32 UTC

Good, we're trending upward with them

2018-02-09 22:57:05 UTC

@everyone pls upboat

2018-02-09 22:58:01 UTC

It already got zucked

2018-02-09 22:59:38 UTC

wtf

2018-02-09 22:59:48 UTC

fuck r*ddit

2018-02-09 23:00:37 UTC

I wonder why it was removed

2018-02-09 23:00:40 UTC

probably autoremoved

2018-02-09 23:02:27 UTC

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/399676530394923010/411658134826778625/Vulnerable_Democrat_Seats_with_Ballotpedia.doc

2018-02-09 23:02:37 UTC

anyway, I attached Ballotpedia entries to each race

2018-02-09 23:04:16 UTC

I am going to write an article on FashTheNation.com using that data. I want to give you credit. Who should I credit with it?

2018-02-09 23:06:53 UTC

just credit me as "Anonymous Founder of Red Storm" or something like that

2018-02-09 23:07:00 UTC

okay

2018-02-09 23:07:06 UTC

this is going to be an even worse request

2018-02-09 23:07:16 UTC

.....is anyone willing to shill my copypastas on Facebook

2018-02-09 23:07:40 UTC

I'm considering joining a couple Trump supporting facebook groups, but I don't want this shit tied to my real name

2018-02-09 23:10:14 UTC

hmm

2018-02-09 23:10:36 UTC

fuck it, I'll just make a fake profile with a random hot chick's pic and use that instead

2018-02-09 23:20:59 UTC

This is the most likely list of Republican primary winners for senate. How do you feel about this group? I think they're solid

Florida-Rick Scott
Arizona-McSally
Ohio-Jim Renacci
PA-Baretta
WV-Jenkins or Morrissey
Montana-Matt Rosendale
Wisconsin-Vukmir
Maine-Erick Brakey
Missouri-Hawley
Michigan-John James
Nevada-Heller
Minn Special election-Housley

2018-02-09 23:26:05 UTC

from what I know, Rick Scott and McSally are the most likely to win out of all the GOP candidates in their states

2018-02-09 23:26:16 UTC

even those on the left have stated that

2018-02-09 23:26:40 UTC

What happened with AZ?

2018-02-09 23:26:40 UTC

I don't know much about Renacci, but given how red Ohio became in 2016 I think he has more than a good chance

2018-02-09 23:26:44 UTC

@๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ yeah, that's a good list

2018-02-09 23:26:59 UTC

maybe John James can appeal to blacks in Detroit

2018-02-09 23:27:15 UTC

Flake is stepping down, and mcTumor is too right?

2018-02-09 23:27:27 UTC

after all, John James' opponent is some old white lady

2018-02-09 23:27:45 UTC

hmm?

2018-02-09 23:28:07 UTC

@Markus Anthony McCain isn't stepping down, but there's a good chance brain cancer will do that for us

2018-02-09 23:28:15 UTC

McTumor wont make it to 2020

2018-02-09 23:28:20 UTC

hopefully he retires

2018-02-09 23:28:36 UTC

@Markus Anthony we prioritized electability with the list, we're hoping to avoid another Moore, that's all

2018-02-09 23:30:16 UTC

Flake is retiring and he is up in 2018, which I think means that we need an AZ candidate right?

2018-02-09 23:30:56 UTC

@Markus Anthony Yeah, and McSally is the one

2018-02-09 23:31:01 UTC

Oh oops

2018-02-09 23:31:04 UTC

Skipped that part

2018-02-09 23:31:17 UTC

and if McCain dies this year, we have a chance at electing an uncucked GOP Senator in his place

2018-02-09 23:31:32 UTC

now Democrats are hoping for the opportunity to pick up 2 seats in Arizona because of that

2018-02-09 23:31:46 UTC

likewise, we have the opportunity to pick up 2 seats in one go in Minnesota

2018-02-09 23:32:42 UTC

careful now, Arizona is a purple state

2018-02-09 23:33:31 UTC

Whats the deal with romney and hatch?

2018-02-09 23:33:38 UTC

Romney is a dem vote

2018-02-09 23:33:48 UTC

just like flake and McTumor have been

2018-02-09 23:34:09 UTC

so we can count them as Dem votes for immigration issues and the wall

2018-02-09 23:34:35 UTC

which is funny because Doug Jones went with the GOP in the last few votes

2018-02-09 23:35:27 UTC

Did he?

2018-02-09 23:35:28 UTC

@Markus Anthony imagine the butthurt if Doug Jones turns out to be at least a more GOP oriented Senator than McCain

2018-02-09 23:35:41 UTC

@FLanon Doug Jones' Trump score is 100% so far

2018-02-09 23:35:51 UTC

Well shit

2018-02-09 23:36:05 UTC

actually, not recently

2018-02-09 23:36:14 UTC

but he was at 100% for the first four votes

2018-02-09 23:36:57 UTC

Huh, I wonder what he'd vote on w/ concern to immigration?

2018-02-09 23:37:14 UTC

He has to realize that his seat's going to be taken when it comes up, right?

2018-02-09 23:37:39 UTC

the thing is, if I were Doug Jones, I'd know I basically have no chance in 2020

2018-02-09 23:37:47 UTC

so I'd just vote straight Dem all the way

2018-02-09 23:37:51 UTC

but I don't think he'll do that

2018-02-09 23:38:05 UTC

With this record, this is something interesting

2018-02-09 23:38:15 UTC

he voted against the shutdown, which got leftists butthurt against him

2018-02-09 23:38:35 UTC

Earlier you mentioned, as a joke, about a dem running and then betraying the party line

2018-02-09 23:38:47 UTC

I think there's a nonzero chance that just happened

2018-02-09 23:39:40 UTC

I'd have to see his vote on immigration before I make any real judgements, because that's always revealing, but this is definitely unprecedented

2018-02-09 23:39:45 UTC

currently Jones is the most Trumpian out of all the D senators, but I wonder how that'll turn out

2018-02-09 23:40:03 UTC

Maybe it has to do with time and all that

2018-02-09 23:40:07 UTC

But damn

2018-02-09 23:41:09 UTC

WV had someone flip

2018-02-09 23:41:15 UTC

I think it was the governor

2018-02-09 23:41:47 UTC

Yeah

2018-02-09 23:41:49 UTC

@Markus Anthony I think Joe Manchin, the Democrat "blue dog" Senator, is considering switching

2018-02-09 23:41:50 UTC

Jim Justice

2018-02-09 23:42:06 UTC

Dem politicians in white working class areas are starting to see that the Dem party isnt a party for them anymore

2018-02-09 23:42:20 UTC

Heitkamp should flip too

2018-02-09 23:42:23 UTC

she really needs to

2018-02-09 23:42:32 UTC

The fucking House Liberty Caucus is more leftist than Jones

2018-02-09 23:43:01 UTC

@Markus Anthony I just hope the GOP properly funds their candidates like they're supposed to

2018-02-09 23:43:14 UTC

they haven't been doing that in the special elections, to @๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ 's dismay

2018-02-09 23:43:33 UTC

We all wish for flips to happen and for politicians to give Schumer the middle finger but we can't count on that

2018-02-09 23:43:35 UTC

I think it might be because they hold such strong majorities in state legislatures already that they don't care if Democrats pick up a few seats

2018-02-09 23:43:38 UTC

they have the money compared to the DNC. but we know how they are since the Moore thing

2018-02-09 23:43:50 UTC

What did Jones run on policy wise?

2018-02-09 23:43:57 UTC

@Markus Anthony Yeah, but this year a bunch of establishment R's will be running

2018-02-09 23:44:09 UTC

@FLanon he's in Alabama so he ran as a conservative Democrat

2018-02-09 23:44:11 UTC

Did he even spout any of the left wing dogma or was it just anti-Moore

2018-02-09 23:44:21 UTC

But heres the thing, the DNC money issue isn't the whole story, the story is that people arent donating to DNC but instead to local groups or special interest groups

2018-02-09 23:44:31 UTC

There is still the money out there, just not in the DNC bank account

2018-02-09 23:44:47 UTC

There is a black muslim runnign the show, who really wants to give money to the DNC

2018-02-09 23:44:53 UTC

Dems R the Real Racists

2018-02-09 23:44:59 UTC

Literally the only position I can think of is abortionism

2018-02-09 23:45:09 UTC

it was anti-moore

2018-02-09 23:45:26 UTC

it was a referendum on pedophilia

2018-02-09 23:45:36 UTC

It's some crazy shit I guess

2018-02-09 23:45:56 UTC

Not sure how Moore in the Senate would have affected the GOP image now that I think about it

2018-02-09 23:46:00 UTC

Huh

2018-02-09 23:46:25 UTC

The media framed the election as a referendum on if you support 32 year olds dating 15 yr olds

2018-02-09 23:46:39 UTC

The J-left media is very good at framing these things

2018-02-09 23:47:16 UTC

Yeah, drudge and Fox in particular shilled extremely hard to the point I've cut those from my media circulation entirely

2018-02-09 23:47:26 UTC

Mo Brooks was our guy. The GOP nuked him.

2018-02-09 23:47:31 UTC

Moore was never our guy.

2018-02-09 23:47:50 UTC

Its just stupid that Bannon decided to still support Moore.

2018-02-09 23:47:55 UTC

Moore never put out a position on immigration.

2018-02-09 23:47:57 UTC

He shouldve let McConnel eat the L

2018-02-09 23:47:59 UTC

He has his cancer situation sorted out I believe so in 2020 he may take Jones's seat

2018-02-09 23:48:00 UTC

Immigration is the key issue

2018-02-09 23:48:15 UTC

@๐ŸŽƒBoo-ton๐ŸŽƒ did you mean Jones?

2018-02-09 23:48:22 UTC

Mo Brooks is an immigration hardliner

2018-02-09 23:48:22 UTC

McConnell owns this L. Bannon decided to support Moore and make the L bannons. This killed Bannons nationalist uprising

2018-02-09 23:48:24 UTC

Moore definitely put out a position

2018-02-09 23:48:35 UTC

is that so

2018-02-09 23:48:57 UTC

His positions didnt make it past the accustations

2018-02-09 23:49:00 UTC

I remember him on the campaign trail talking about "we need to secure the border" etc

2018-02-09 23:49:02 UTC

he didnt debate either

2018-02-09 23:49:10 UTC

Yeah, reason he lost IMO

2018-02-09 23:49:18 UTC

Why the fuck wouldn't you debate

2018-02-09 23:49:36 UTC

He did against Strange, but when it matters, in the general election, he blew it off

2018-02-09 23:49:58 UTC

he thought he had it in the bad

2018-02-09 23:49:59 UTC

bag

2018-02-09 23:50:07 UTC

Despite the GOP dropping all funding.

2018-02-09 23:50:12 UTC

They have him 5k I think

2018-02-09 23:50:21 UTC

5k for a senate campaign

2018-02-09 23:50:40 UTC

It's AL, no one thought he would lose

2018-02-09 23:51:12 UTC

With concern to Bannon, his career is now dead anyway. For better or for worse.

2018-02-09 23:51:16 UTC

there was a lot of fraud. I bet the guys crunching the numbers were too naive to account for that

2018-02-09 23:51:27 UTC

Bannon killed his own career

2018-02-09 23:51:36 UTC

What a fat stupid drunk

2018-02-09 23:51:42 UTC

he couldve made the netx tea party

2018-02-09 23:52:15 UTC

I don't know how the president of fucking Blackwater is a nationalist candidate and suitable for Wyoming

2018-02-09 23:52:22 UTC

He could have fucked that one too

2018-02-09 23:52:59 UTC

He supported Moore. That ended everything. Moore is not a nationalist and Bannon bet his career on this guy

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