I can't be assed to look back at all his predictions, but I'm sure some of them turned out to be incorrect

@Deleted User the majority of them are

And yes some people subconscious influences overrule the tangible data they observe, I'm not one of them.

There are people that enjoy being sorry for themselves, there are also people that enjoy being pitied

I'm not either.

Hi not either., I'm Dad!

Nigger bot

"I'm not one of them"

well, do so more introspection

you probably like listening to emo shit

I promise you

I find no enjoyment in defeat

how coulddddd this happen to mee??????

I made my mistakes!!!

but life goes onnnnnnnnnnnnnn

as I'm fading awayyyyyyyyy

No I listen to orchestral music xD

Too Chad 4 u

Not that basic bitch simple music xP

lol it's probably sad sounding baroque shit

@Deleted User I listen to a wide variety of music tbh, anything except rape, indie, and that dubstep crap

So don't worry, I'm not a fsggot

Rape lol

Rap*

<@&432627153805377536> What is the "Real life warrior" role?

people who do public activism

ah, thanks

Is there a list of all the roles?

Here's all of the "specialty roles"

Thanks

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2018/05/02/s-c-candidate-transgender-people-have-issue-mental-illness/572763002/

Is he, dare I say, /ourguy/?

Sounds like it!

apparently he's running for Trey Gowdy's seat

I saw that lol.

d!dab

Perfection!

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanAFournier/status/991758008068734976

"BREAKING: North Korea has released all U.S. detainees at the request of President Trump."

Oh shieeeeeeeeeet

Excellent.

>yfw the usual people in this Discord spin this as "affecting nothing" for the midterms

West Virginia Senate
When: May 8
Who To Vote For: @DonBlankenship
Related Hashtags: #WVSen #MAGA # #independents #Republicans #Democrats #DefeatTheElite

Indiana Senate
When: May 8
Who To Vote For: @ToddRokitaIN
Related Hashtags: #INSen #MAGA # #independents #independents #Republicans #Democrats #DefeatTheElite

Houston, TX Congress
When: May 22
Who To Vote For: @DanCrenshawTX
Related Hashtags: #txlege #tx02 #CrenshawforCongress #KeepTexasRed #ArmyOfTrump #THSC

Ohio Governor Republican Primary
When: May 8
Who To Vote For: @MaryTaylorOH
Opponent: @MikeDeWine
Related Hashtags: #OhiosFuture #OHGov #DHFO2018 #LeadRight #2A #SecondAmendment <#399761047348707340> #GoBucks #RedWave
Relevant Article: https://bit.ly/2vYPlyN

@Deleted User *Cough* Button mash

They released *all* detainees?

Holy shit

I'm not surprised.

Hi not surprised., I'm Dad!

This is a precondition to unification--Trump probably doesn't have any tendency to work with half-measures, such as "release 5 plz"

Fuck off dad bot!

That bot has it all wrong

we're endorsing Mike Braun for Indiana, not Todd Rokita

if Rokita wins, we'll go with him though

I thought that was a person, not a bot.

oh yeah, oops

d!dab

d!joke

d!dadjoke

What do prisoners use to call eachother?
Cell phones!

http://i.4cdn.org/pol/1525297944813.png

ahahahahahahahaha

NO DON BLANKENSHIP

He's based, but won't win the election.

Oh I'm not touching a guy like that with a 10-foot pole

who are we definitely backing in West Virginia ? Jenkins ?

some guy in /ptg/ is butthurt about me endorsing Jenkins instead of Morrissey

http://boards.4chan.org/pol/thread/170223855#p170227848

Morrissey is a bit of a cuck

<@&417407302526828544>

"Reminder that the red storm faggot is a shill, Evan Jenkins is a weaker candidate than Patrick Morrissey and Morrissey is specifically against immigration while Jenkins is anti-RAISE

Red storm faggot ALWAYS tells people to back shitty candidates, it can't be a coincidence at this point"

On Blankenship, we shouldn't be pushing people linked to dozens of deaths when we want to win an election.

Morrisey said he liked the "diversity in the US"

so can you go into more detail about why it's Jenkins instead of Morrissey ? All I wrote was

"
Indiana - Vote for Mike Braun in the Senate primary. He will be /ourguy/ for taking down Joe Donnelly. For House primaries, vote for the most Trumpian candidate

North Carolina - No senate race, but for the House primaries, vote for the most Trumpian candidate

Ohio - Vote for Mike Gibbons in the Senate primary. He will be /ourguy/ to take down Sherrod Brown.

West Virginia - Vote for Evan Jenkins in the Senate primary. He will be /ourguy/ to take down Joe Manchin."

in congress he's supported every measure against immigration that's come to vote

Patrick Morrisey's website states under the 'immigration' section that "As a country of immigrants, Morrisey appreciates that America is a melting pot of different ethnicities, religious backgrounds, history, and culture."

Fuck that.

I have seen neither a condemnation nor endorsement from either candidate on the RAISE act, after combing both google and twitter searches, so it's safe to say that was a divide and conquer shill. We're sticking with Jenkins.

I know I’m a big Jenkins guy

also

https://www.predictit.org/Market/3005/Who-will-win-the-2018-Indiana-Republican-Senate-primary

PredictIt has Mike Braun in a distant lead for the Indiana Senate primary

https://www.predictit.org/Market/4101/Who-will-win-the-2018-West-Virginia-Republican-Senate-primary

and it has Jenkins in the lead for the West Virginia Senate primary, but slightly

for some reason, they're not doing a bet for the Ohio Senate Primary

https://www.predictit.org/Market/4176/Who-will-win-the-2018-Pennsylvania-Republican-Senate-primary

for the May 15 Pennsylvania Senate Primary, they have Lou Barletta in a distant lead

@Deleted User I think it's great, but no independent is going to vote for Republicans en mass because we got detainees released

Also, the Coal Barron is crumbling too, we'ew going to need to find a new candidate soon

en mass? Sure, but it's one in a potential list of many things

https://www.predictit.org/Market/3836/Who-will-win-the-2018-Arizona-Republican-Senate-primary

McSally in the lead, but dropping

@Deleted User We don't have a list of many things.

Independents care about healthcare.

We need to be on that issue.

And I think McSally would be a great Senator for us.

As long as her voting record remains consistant with the past.

https://www.predictit.org/Market/4327/Who-will-win-the-2018-Virginia-Republican-Senate-primary

they have Freitas in the lead for the Virginia Senate Primary, though he's dropping

"independents care about healthcare"

thing is, what kind of healthcare policy ? Keep in mind that many are disatisfied with the fact that their prices INCREASED because of Obamacare

@Deleted User They want socialized medicine.

are you so sure about that ?

It's not just what they want

And that's our fault for letting the media push that.

yeah

It's about making them want what we want

Look at how popular single payer healthcare is.

I mean, I see the polls say that "healthcare" is an important issue

but

I don't think that necessarily means they want the Democrats' solution

Well

And North Korea is honestly the biggest thing we can muster for independents at this time, so nut up because we have to capitalize on what we're getting

You take the fact that single payer is the most popular

Then yes

That's what they want,.

@FLanon what are your thoughts on this healthcare debate ?

I know many people IRL who don't like Obamacare

We have to hone in on efficiency

That's the way we get it, it's about costs of services at the end of the day

But anyways, in this election cycle, we need to focus on what we're getting and what's going to bring up approval ratings, and this is what's happening.

Well

AZ-08 was a good example of how that won't work.

We focused on what we wanted to bring to the table.

Immigration reform

Democrats focused on socialized medicine.

And who's the representative now?

And they had a 20 point swing.

Lol

Really?

please tell me you're joking.

That was a district where the incumbent resigned in shame

Of course there was going to be a swing

There are like 110 districts which was won by less then 20 points, if we do your plan that theoretically means there will be 100 new democrats.

Not 100 districts where they resign in a scandal

That has a major effect on swing

You can't attribute that to be the sole reason.

That's unreasonable.

It has a trend for both sides

And this is a different narrative you fed me than before the election

Anthony Weiner's seat, which is D+34, mind you, went Republican after his scandal

You said AZ-08 is a great example because they're no "X" factors, and the Republican is running on immigration reform and the Democrat is running on socialized medicine. So I was told it would be a great indicator of how the election cycle would go with our current platform.

I forgot about that one

And I Anthony weiner made national news for weeks.

And I don't think I said that, by the way.

I didn't even know their Republican resgined in scandal.

Anthony was all over the place, on every news station being talked about.

We suppressed their votes hard.

This is just an effect which happens after resignations, the incumbent party is always depressed.

That didn't happen in AZ-08

He wasn't near as paraded as Anthony was

It doesn't dismiss this effect

It minimizes it as an excuse

In my own district back in '06, the congressman turned out to be a pedophile and a dem came in and swept the seat

The truth is the 17-20 point swing has been the average.

Regardless of the X factors.

I think I read that on Washington Post.

That changed recently

With that average they're going to have themself like 80 seats

Oh it did?

We had districts go 2 points left and 4 points left

Last night

Ok so lets take the hundreds of special elections

And take the two new ones into account

And redo the average

@🎃Boo-ton🎃 by the way, how did those other districts last night swing?

Probably still going to be 15+

The thing is there's new factors that are coming up

Maybe we are just kicking the can down the road. Everytime we lose I see this discord try to blame it on something out of our control.
"Allegations, the enemy was a Conservative Democrat, the opponent looked better, the opposition party has better turnout."

Those hundreds of special elections happened before this whole issue with Korea's come up

All these excuses are still going to be prevalent in the midterms anyway

Maybe it's time we realize our policy's aren't near as popular as we need them to be.

maybe we need to compromise.

Leave

*sigh*

That has no place here

I'm just suggesting a way to victory.

Hi just suggesting a way to victory., I'm Dad!

@zakattack04 Conor Lamb said that he would strictly oppose Single Payer

"Everytime we lose I see this discord try to blame it on something out of our control.
"Allegations, the enemy was a Conservative Democrat, the opponent looked better, the opposition party has better turnout.""

...

@Walter Johnson Well that's good.

those are valid explanations

So i'm a bit skeptical of your argemnet that its "very popular"

@Deleted User Every single one of them is still going to happen in 2018 though.

and yeah, they are out of our control

I am suggesting you fuck off if you're going to act like a fag

so?

that doesn't mean they can't be counterbalanced

and it means we can learn from what happened

@FLanon Grow up and learn to hear things that don't fit your narrative

and tailor strategies accordingly

I'm not even doom posting.

Hi not even doom posting., I'm Dad!

This is a reasonable discussion.

Should we compromise on healthcare maybe?

although....that's moreso the GOP's responsibility, not ours

Listen, politics has absolutely nothing to do with what's popular, it's about taking what we believe and putting that into popularity

Support more socialized medicine.

the best WE can do is try to steer them in the right direction

@FLanon Dud you're in high school as am I.

No I'm not

Do not lecture to me as if you're an expert on what politics is.

anyway, you're talking total nonsense with "this Discord" trying to "blame"

we're giving valid explanations

Yes but my point is Redstorm.

That all these things will be prevlant in the midterms

They aren't one off

yeah, they're factors in the Democrats' favor

Things change, and they did last night

The Democrats are going to have allegations against republicans, they're going to run conservative democrats.

but they, in and of itself, won't guarantee Democratic victories

@FLanon BM predicted that.

As far as BM reported, we had a 2.5 point swing

He said the cubans would swing Republican because Trump wasn't on the ballet.

And how is that not just an excuse on another coin?

@Deleted User True, it doesn't guarantee a Democratic victory

@FLanon it's not an excuse.

it's an explanation for why the swing happened.

Yeah and I explained on why the swing happened in Arizona

And it's not something we can really parade as a victory because in that case, that was a one off.

And it's legitimate

Nah, it was still in line with the national average so far.

17 points.

2 points?

Arizona

You said Arizona

The scandal effect.

The GOP did better than Trump in the 6th district

Anyways, this korea situation is something to keep an eye on, I'm telling you, that's the way to the moderates, the only way.

Look my point is maybe we should consider compromising on some issues until we can make them more popular.

The GOP has "compromised" for the last 60 fucking years, no more.

And affluent suburban districts like the 6th are the ones that the Democrats are trying to flip in the midterms

You can't keep control of congress supporting unpopular positions

Compromise only alienates the core.

The core isn't why you win

It's the swing voters

This geopolitical situation is only a plus.

Yes it is!

The Independents

The core will still vote Republican most of the time.

We could win 2018 easily if we got enough of the core vote

it's the independents that change sides

It's turnout

idaho is probably looking to expand Medicaid so the GOP is sorta going to left on Healthcare in some places

Well our turnout is going to be lower in the current situation.

If we cuck and cuck and cuck, they won't turnout!

Just because of history

@Walter Johnson Yeah, maybe we need to.

"muh history"